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Mercedes-Benz Stadium is where the Green Bay Packers (1-0) will match up against the Atlanta Falcons (1-0) on Sunday, September 17, 2023.
Falcons vs. Packers Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Falcons as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Falcons have -155 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at +130 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 40.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Falcons vs. Packers Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, September 17, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Betting Preview
Falcons
The Packers’ defense allowed 21.8 points per game last season, about the 21.5 the Falcons scored. When they exceeded what the Packers gave up last year (21.8 points per game), the Falcons were 12-4 overall and 14-2 against the spread.
The Packers’ defense gave up 336.5 yards per game last year, just 17.9 yards more than the 318.6 the Falcons’ offense averaged. The Falcons picked up 5.4 yards per play, while the Packers allowed 5.8.
When the Falcons offense put together a game with more than the Packers’ average yardage allowed (336.5) last year, they were 6-2 overall and 6-2 against the spread.
Packers
The Packers put roughly the same amount of points on the board per game (21.8) as the Falcons gave up (22.7) last year. In games when the Packers scored more than 22.7 points last year, they were 14-2 overall and 12-4 against the spread. The Falcons’ defense surrendered 362.1 yards per game last year, 24.2 more than the 337.9 the Packers’ offense accumulated. The Packers gained 5.5 yards per play and the Falcons conceded 5.7.
The Packers’ record last season when they accumulated more than the Falcons’ season average in total yards conceded (362.1): 6-4 overall, 6-4 ATS.
Falcons vs. Packers Injury Report
Falcons
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | Thigh | Out |
| Logan Woodside | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Josh Ali | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jeff Okudah | CB | Foot | Out |
| Troy Andersen | ILB | Concussion | Out |
Packers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | RB | Hamstring | Out |
| Christian Watson | WR | Hamstring | Out |
| David Bakhtiari | OT | Knee | Out |
| Caleb Jones | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Brenton Cox Jr. | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Falcons vs. Packers Betting Analysis
Falcons Betting Insights
The Falcons covered the spread nine times in 17 games last year. The Falcons won once ATS (1-2) as a 3-point favorite or more last season.
In 17 Falcons games last season, seven hit the over.
Packers Betting Insights
The Packers had eight wins in 17 games against the spread last year. As 3-point underdogs or more, the Packers went 3-1 against the spread last year.
Green Bay won three of the six games it played as underdogs last season. Green Bay was 2-2 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +130 or more on the moneyline. Last season, eight of the Packers’ 17 games went over the point total.
Last season, the Packers won three out of the six games in which they were the underdog. The Packers had a record of 2-2 in games where bookmakers had them as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
Falcons vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records
Falcons
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 43.9 | 44.7 | 43.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 24.2 | 23.9 | 24.5 |
| ATS Record | 9-8-0 | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 7-10-0 | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-6 |
Packers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.6 | 43.3 | 45.9 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 25.1 | 25 | 25.3 |
| ATS Record | 8-9-0 | 4-5-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 8-9-0 | 5-4-0 | 3-5-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 |
Players to Watch
Falcons
- Tyler Allgeier rushed for three touchdowns last year, and put up 1,035 total rushing yards (64.7 per game and 4.9 per carry).
- On top of his rushing statistics, Allgeier caught 16 pass (on 17 targets) for 139 yards, with one receiving touchdown. He averaged 8.7 yards per game.
- Cordarrelle Patterson scored eight rushing touchdowns, while totaling 695 rushing yards (4.8 per carry and 53.5 per game).
- Over the course of nine games for the Commanders last season, Taylor Heinicke amassed 1,859 passing yards, with 12 touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 62.2% of his attempts.
- Heinicke also rushed for one touchdown and 96 yards.
- Drake London was targeted 117 times, resulting in 72 catches for 866 yards .
- In 2022, Richie Grant amassed 122 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions over 17 games.
- Kaden Elliss had 74 tackles, seven TFL, and seven sacks for the Saints.
- Grady Jarrett recorded six sacks as well as 12 TFL and 61 tackles in the 2022 season.
- Jeff Okudah’s season stats for the Lions last season include 73 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 15 games.
Packers
- In 17 games last year, Aaron Jones piled up 1,121 rushing yards and two touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per carry.
- In addition to the stats he generated on the ground, Jones had 59 receptions (on 72 targets) for 395 yards and five touchdowns.
- A.J. Dillon generated 770 rushing yards (4.1 yards per carry) and seven TDs.
- The air attack was also boosted by the receiving ability of Dillon, who caught 28 balls (on 43 targets) for 206 yards and zero touchdowns.
- Last year Christian Watson grabbed 41 balls on 66 targets for 611 yards and seven touchdowns.
- Romeo Doubs got 67 targets last season and converted them into 42 catches (3.2 per game) for 425 yards and three TDs.
- Last season Quay Walker posted 119 tackles, five TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 17 games.
- With 125 tackles, one sack, and four passes defended in 17 games, Jonathan Owens was a significant contributor on the Texans’ defense last year.
- Rasul Douglas played in 17 games and registered four interceptions to go along with 77 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and 13 passes defended.
- A big player on defense, Preston Smith had 59 tackles, nine TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
Falcons vs. Packers Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is the Packers, and we expect that Packers will cover the spread (Falcons -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.
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