Eagles vs. Patriots Prediction: Week 1 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – September 10, 2023

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On Sunday, September 10, 2023, the New England Patriots (0-0) host the Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Gillette Stadium.

Eagles vs. Patriots Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Eagles as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Eagles have -185 odds to pick up the win, while the Patriots are listed at +154 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Eagles vs. Patriots Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Betting Preview

Eagles

The Eagles put an average of 28.1 points on the board last season, 7.7 more than the 20.4 the Patriots surrendered. When they went over what the Patriots gave up last season (20.4 points per game), the Eagles were 24-4 overall and 16-12 against the spread.

The Patriots’ defense allowed 322 yards per game last season, 67.1 less than the 389.1-yard average from the Eagles’ offense. The Eagles picked up 5.9 yards per play and the Patriots gave up 5.

The Eagles’ record last season when they accumulated more than the Patriots’ season average in total yards allowed (322): 24-2 overall, 14-12 ATS.

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Patriots

The Patriots’ average points scored last year (21.4) and the Eagles’ average points conceded (20.2) were within 1.2 points. In games when the Patriots scored more than 20.2 points last season, they were 12-10 overall and 12-10 against the spread. The average number of yards the Patriots’ offense put up and the Eagles’ defense gave up last season was within 13.1 yards (314.6 compared to 301.5). The Patriots averaged 5.3 yards per play, while the Eagles gave up 4.8.

When the Patriots offense put together a game with more than the Eagles’ average yardage allowed (301.5) last year, the team was 8-8 overall and 6-8-2 against the spread.

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Eagles vs. Patriots Injury Report

Eagles

Player Pos. Injury Status
Trey Sermon RB Undisclosed Out
Isaiah Rodgers CB Suspension Out
Roderick Johnson OT Undisclosed Out

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
Rhamondre Stevenson RB Illness Questionable
Tyquan Thornton WR Shoulder Out
Riley Reiff OT Knee Out
DeVante Parker WR Knee Questionable
Jack Jones DB Hamstring Out
Isaiah Bolden CB Head Out
Matt Corral QB Personal Out
Tre Nixon WR Shoulder Out

Eagles vs. Patriots Betting Analysis

Eagles Betting Insights

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Against the spread, the Eagles were 8-9-0 last year. Against the spread, as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Eagles went 8-8 last year.

Last year, 10 of the Eagles’ 17 games went over the point total.

Patriots Betting Insights

The Patriots had seven wins in 17 games against the spread last season. The Patriots won once ATS (1-2) as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last year.

New England won one of the nine games it played as underdogs last season. Last season, New England was at least a +154 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests. Out of the 17 Patriots’ games last season, eight hit the over.

Last season, the Patriots were the underdog nine times and won one of those games. Last season, the Patriots were at least a +154 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

Eagles vs. Patriots Against The Spread & Betting Records

Eagles

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.4 44.1 46.9
Implied Team Total AVG 26.6 26 27.3
ATS Record 8-9-0 6-3-0 2-6-0
Over/Under Record 10-7-0 6-3-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 14-2 7-2 7-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 42.2 42.7
Implied Team Total AVG 23.3 23 23.6
ATS Record 7-9-1 3-5-0 4-4-1
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 3-5-0 5-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-1 4-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-8 0-3 1-5

Players to Watch

Eagles

  • In 15 games played last year, Jalen Hurts totaled 3,701 passing yards (10th-best in the NFL), while throwing 22 touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 66.5% of his attempts.
  • He added 760 yards on the ground, with 13 rushing touchdowns. He averaged 50.7 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt.
  • A.J. Brown put together a 2022 stat sheet that included 88 catches for 1,496 yards (fourth in the NFL) and 11 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL) over 17 games played. He was on the receiving end of 146 targets and averaged 5.2 receptions per game.
  • For the Falcons last season, Marcus Mariota passed for 2,219 yards last year, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He completed 61.3% of his passes while averaging 170.7 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
  • Mariota also rushed for four touchdowns and 438 yards.
  • DeVonta Smith had 1,196 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) and seven touchdowns from 95 receptions on 136 targets.
  • Haason Reddick’s 2022 showing included 49 tackles, 11 TFL, and 16 sacks over 17 games.
  • Josh Sweat had 11 sacks in addition to his 15 TFL, 48 tackles, and one interception in 16 games.
  • Brandon Graham recorded 11 sacks as well as 11 TFL and 35 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Fletcher Cox totaled seven sacks to go with seven TFL and 43 tackles over 17 games.

Patriots

  • In 17 games last year, Rhamondre Stevenson posted 1,040 rushing yards and five touchdowns while averaging 5 yards per carry.
  • In addition to the stats he posted in the running game, Stevenson had 69 grabs (on 88 targets) for 421 yards and one touchdown.
  • Mac Jones hit the gridiron for 14 games last season, and piled up 2,997 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, 11 interceptions and a 65.2% completion percentage.
  • When he wasn’t airing it out, Jones rushed for 102 yards (7.3 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 876 yards (58.4 yards per game) and 12 TDs with the Cowboys last year.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster was targeted 101 times with the Chiefs last season, leading to 78 catches, 933 yards and three touchdowns in 16 games.
  • On defense Matthew Judon, who was on the field for 17 games, compiled 60 tackles, 14 TFL, and 15.5 sacks.
  • On defense, Ja’Whaun Bentley totaled three sacks to go with five TFL, 122 tackles, and one interception.
  • In 15 games, Kyle Dugger recorded 72 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and three interceptions.
  • A key contributor on defense, Jonathan Jones had four interceptions to go with 68 tackles and 11 passes defended.

Eagles vs. Patriots Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Eagles, and we expect that Eagles will cover the spread (Eagles -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44.5 points.

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How to Bet on Eagles vs. Patriots

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