Chiefs vs. Titans Prediction: Week 9 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – November 2022

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The AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans (5-2) hit the road to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (5-2), leaders of the AFC West, at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, November 6, 2022.

Chiefs vs. Titans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Chiefs as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Chiefs have -600 odds to pick up the win, while the Titans are listed at +450 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 46 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Chiefs vs. Titans Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium

Betting Preview

Chiefs

The Chiefs rank 26th in total defense this season (369.0 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking second-best in the NFL with 403.3 total yards per game. The Chiefs rank 23rd in scoring defense this season (24.6 points allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 31.9 points per game.

The Chiefs have struggled defensively against the pass, ranking third-worst in the NFL (277.0 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, they rank second-best on offense, totaling 296.0 passing yards per game. The Chiefs rank 23rd in rushing yards this year (107.3 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 92.0 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Chiefs rank 17th in third-down defense this year (41.1% third-down conversion rate allowed), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 51.9% third-down percentage. The Chiefs rank 16th in yards per play allowed this year (5.6), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 6.3 yards per play. With eight forced turnovers (22nd in NFL) against eight turnovers committed (seventh in NFL), the Chiefs (0) own the 15th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.

Titans

The Titans have been struggling on offense, ranking worst with 285.6 total yards per game. They have been better on defense, giving up 343.9 total yards per contest (15th-ranked). From an offensive standpoint, the Titans are putting up 18.9 points per game (24th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL on defense (19.7 points allowed per game).

The Titans’ passing offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, registering 147.6 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th with 254.7 passing yards surrendered per contest. The Titans have been excelling on run defense, allowing just 89.1 rushing yards per contest (second-best). Offensively, they rank ninth in the NFL by racking up 138.0 rushing yards per game.

The Titans rank 24th in the NFL with a 36.1% third-down conversion percentage, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks best by giving up a 25.6% third-down rate. In terms of yards per play, the Titans rank 26th in the NFL (5.0) and 19th on the other side of the ball (5.7 yards allowed per play). At +2, the Titans own the seventh-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 11 forced turnovers (10th in NFL) and nine turnovers committed (10th in NFL).

Chiefs vs. Titans Injury Report

Chiefs

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jody Fortson Jr. TE Quad Out
Lucas Niang OT Kneecap Questionable

Titans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Ryan Tannehill QB Ankle Questionable
Kevin Strong DE Ankle Questionable
Jeffery Simmons DT Ankle Questionable
Bud Dupree OLB Illness Questionable
Tory Carter FB Neck Out
Amani Hooker DB Shoulder Out
Elijah Molden CB Groin Questionable

Chiefs vs. Titans Betting Analysis

Chiefs Betting Insights

The Chiefs have put together a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season.

This season, four Chiefs games have gone over the point total. The Chiefs won 12 of the 17 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (70.6%).

The Chiefs played as a moneyline favorite of -600 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.

Titans Betting Insights

The Titans have covered the spread five times over seven games with a set spread.

Titans games have gone over the total twice this season. This season, the Titans have won two out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Titans have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +450.

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Chiefs vs. Titans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Chiefs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.2 52.7 50.1
Implied Total AVG 27.6 28.3 27.0
ATS Record 3-4-0 0-3-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 1-2-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Titans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.5 43.8 43.3
Implied Total AVG 23.7 23.7 23.8
ATS Record 5-2-0 2-1-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-2-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Players to Watch

Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes II has 2,159 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 20 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 308.4 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Mahomes has 113 rushing yards (fourth on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
  • Travis Kelce has 47 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 553 yards (10th in the NFL) and seven TDs. In seven games, he is averaging 6.7 catches and 79.0 yards per game.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire‘s output on the ground this season includes 288 yards and three TDs. He is averaging 41.1 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (34th in the NFL).
  • Edwards-Helaire has totaled 16 catches on 19 targets for 137 yards, with three receiving TDs.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster averages 4.9 receptions and 70.6 yards per game, and has 494 total receiving yards and 34 catches. He’s gotten 48 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.
  • On defense, Nick Bolton has 68 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks in 2022.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has 53 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks this season. He’s second on the Chiefs in tackles.
  • Chris Jones has put up 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 5.0 sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Jaylen Watson has one interception while tacking on 28 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four passes defended.

Titans

  • So far this year through seven games, Derrick Henry has churned out 755 rushing yards (leading the Titans and third in the NFL) and scored seven rushing touchdowns. He averages 107.9 yards per game and 4.5 per carry (29th in the NFL).
  • On top of his impact on the ground, Henry has caught 14 passes (on 18 targets) for 140 yards (third on the Titans). He’s averaging 20.0 yards per game.
  • Through six games, Ryan Tannehill has 1,097 passing yards, while throwing six touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 65.1% of his passes.
  • Tannehill also has one rushing touchdown and 29 rushing yards (fourth on the Titans).
  • Dontrell Hilliard has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season, but has totaled 109 rushing yards (18.2 per game and 7.8 per attempt).
  • Hilliard’s statistic output includes 13 receptions (2.2 per game) on 17 targets for 144 yards (24.0 per game) and three receiving touchdowns.
  • Robert Woods has been targeted 34 times, resulting in 22 catches for 256 yards .
  • So far in 2022, David Long has 3.0 TFL, 51 tackles, and two interceptions through seven games.
  • Jeffery Simmons has registered 5.5 sacks in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 25 tackles through seven games.
  • Denico Autry has 5.0 sacks (second on the Titans) in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 14 tackles.
  • Roger McCreary has totaled 1.0 TFL and 43 tackles.

Chiefs vs. Titans Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Chiefs, and we predict that Titans will cover the spread (Chiefs -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46 points.

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How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Titans

You can bet on Chiefs vs. Titans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Chiefs vs. Titans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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