Chargers vs Dolphins Prediction: Week 1 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 10, 2023

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Sunday, September 10, 2023 will see the Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) host the Miami Dolphins (0-0) at SoFi Stadium.

Chargers vs. Dolphins Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Chargers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Chargers have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Dolphins are listed at +136 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Chargers vs. Dolphins Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Inglewood, California
  • Stadium: SoFi Stadium

Betting Preview

Chargers

The Dolphins allowed 23.5 points per game last year, close to the same amount as the 23 the Chargers scored. In games where the Chargers scored more than 23.5 points last year, they were 10-6 overall and 12-4 against the spread.

The Chargers’ offense averaged 359.3 yards per game last year, 21.5 more than the 337.8 the Dolphins’ defense allowed. The Chargers earned 5.3 yards per play, while the Dolphins allowed 5.3.

When the Chargers offense put together a game with more than the Dolphins’ average yardage allowed (337.8) last year, they were 12-8 overall and 16-4 against the spread.

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Dolphins

The Dolphins’ average points scored last year (23.4) and the Chargers’ average points conceded (22.6) were within 0.8 points of each other. The Dolphins were 10-2 overall and 6-2-4 against the spread when they scored over 22.6 points last season. The average number of yards the Dolphins’ offense put up and the Chargers’ defense gave up last season was within 18.4 yards (364.5 compared to 346.1). The Dolphins averaged 6.1 yards per play, while the Chargers gave up 5.9.

In contests when the Dolphins offense accumulated more than the Chargers’ average yard allowance last year (346.1), the team was 6-10-2 against the spread and 10-8 overall.

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Chargers vs. Dolphins Injury Report

Chargers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Chris Rumph II OLB Hamstring Doubtful
Andrew Trainer OT Undisclosed Out
Daiyan Henley LB Hamstring Doubtful

Dolphins

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jeff Wilson Jr. RB Finger Out
Elijah Campbell DB Leg Out
Terron Armstead OT Back Out
Keion Crossen DB Undisclosed Out
Nik Needham CB Achilles Out
Justin Bethel CB Knee Questionable
Julian Hill TE Ankle Questionable

Chargers vs. Dolphins Betting Analysis

Chargers Betting Insights

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The Chargers beat the spread 11 times in 17 games last season. As 3-point favorites or more, the Chargers went 4-3 against the spread last year.

There were six Chargers games (out of 17) that hit the over last year.

Dolphins Betting Insights

Against the spread, the Dolphins were 7-8-2 last year. As 3-point underdogs or greater, the Dolphins went 5-3 against the spread last year.

Miami won two of the seven games it played as underdogs last season. Miami had a record of 2-5 when it was set as an underdog of +136 or more by oddsmakers last season. The Dolphins had eight of their 17 games hit the over last year.

The Dolphins were underdogs in seven games last season and won two (28.6%) of those contests. The Dolphins had a record of 2-5 in games where sportsbooks had them as underdogs of at least +136 on the moneyline.

Chargers vs. Dolphins Against The Spread & Betting Records

Chargers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.7 48.7 46.9
Implied Team Total AVG 26.2 26.8 25.7
ATS Record 11-6-0 5-3-0 6-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-10-1 3-5-0 3-5-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-2 4-2 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 1-1 0-4

Dolphins

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.8 46.5 47
Implied Team Total AVG 25.9 26.1 25.8
ATS Record 7-8-2 4-3-1 3-5-1
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 1-7-0 7-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 5-1 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 1-1 1-4

Players to Watch

Chargers

  • Justin Herbert threw for 4,739 yards last year (to rank second in the NFL), with 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He completed 68.2% of his attempts while averaging 278.8 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • Austin Ekeler had 915 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns, while averaging 53.8 yards per game and 4.5 per carry (22nd in the NFL).
  • Ekeler added 107 receptions (6.3 per game) for 722 yards (42.5 per game) with five receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 127 times in the passing attack.
  • Last year, Mike Williams caught 63 passes for 895 receiving yards with four touchdowns through the air. He was targeted 93 total times and averaged 4.8 receptions per game over 13 games played.
  • Keenan Allen had 66 catches for 752 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He averaged 6.6 yards per game over 10 games and was targeted 89 times.
  • Eric Kendricks amassed one sack to go with eight TFL and 137 tackles over 17 games for the Vikings in 2022.
  • Derwin James had four sacks in addition to his five TFL, 115 tackles, and two interceptions in 14 games.
  • Khalil Mack had 7.5 sacks as well as 11 TFL and 50 tackles in the 2022 campaign.
  • Kenneth Murray’s stats included one interception as well as 75 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 17 games

Dolphins

  • Tua Tagovailoa last season compiled 3,548 passing yards with 25 passing touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 64.8% completion percentage.
  • On 170 targets, Tyreek Hill had 119 receptions (seven per game) for 1,710 yards and seven TDs in 17 games.
  • Last season Jaylen Waddle reeled in 75 balls on 117 targets for 1,356 yards and eight touchdowns.
  • Raheem Mostert accumulated 891 rushing yards (55.7 per game) with three touchdowns in 16 games.
  • The pass-catching skills of Mostert led to 31 receptions (on 42 targets) for 202 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Christian Wilkins helped lead the defense with 98 tackles, 16 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 17 games.
  • With 100 tackles, six TFL, four sacks, and four passes defended in 17 games, Jerome Baker was an important contributor on defense last year.
  • Jaelan Phillips helped on defense with 60 tackles, eight TFL, seven sacks, and two passes defended in 17 games.
  • An important player on defense, Jevon Holland had two interceptions to go with 93 tackles, one TFL, 1.5 sacks, and seven passes defended.

Chargers vs. Dolphins Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Dolphins, and we predict that Dolphins will cover the spread (Chargers -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51 points.

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How to Bet on Chargers vs. Dolphins

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