Steelers vs Buccaneers Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 6 – October 2022

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4), who are in the midst of a four-game losing streak, enter into a tilt against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) on Sunday, October 16, 2022 at Acrisure Stadium.

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing the Buccaneers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Buccaneers have -435 odds to pick up the win, while the Steelers are listed at +350 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 46 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Buccaneers vs. Steelers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Acrisure Stadium

Betting Preview


The Buccaneers are totaling 337.6 yards per game on offense (20th in NFL), and they rank sixth defensively with 309.0 yards allowed per game. The Buccaneers are putting up 20.6 points per game on offense this season (19th in NFL), and they are allowing 16.6 points per game (sixth) on the defensive side of the ball.

On offense, the Buccaneers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking third-best in the NFL by averaging 271.6 per game. They rank seventh on defense (193.0 passing yards allowed per game). The Buccaneers have been a bottom-five run offense this season, ranking second-worst with 66.0 rushing yards per contest. On defense, they are ranked 17th in the NFL (116.0 rushing yards allowed per game).

On offense, the Buccaneers rank 14th in the NFL with a 39.7% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in third-down conversion rate allowed (41.9%). The Buccaneers have the third-best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed (4.7), while their offense is ranked 19th, gaining 5.3 per play. With nine forced turnovers (fifth in NFL) against six turnovers committed (10th in NFL), the Buccaneers’ +3 turnover margin is the fourth-best in the NFL.


The Steelers have lots of room to improve, as they rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (295.8) and third-worst in total yards allowed per game (416.8). The Steelers’ offense has been bottom-five this season, compiling 15.4 points per game, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 26th with 25.6 points ceded per contest.

The Steelers rank 23rd in passing yards per game (207.2), but they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 287.6 passing yards surrendered per contest. The Steelers’ running game has not been getting things done, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 88.6 rushing yards per game. They have been more productive defensively, giving up 129.2 rushing yards per contest (22nd-ranked).

In terms of third-down efficiency, the Steelers rank 22nd in the NFL (36.4% third-down conversion rate) and 27th defensively (46.6% third-down rate allowed). The Steelers’ offense has been sputtering in terms of yards per play, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL at 4.8. They have been more effective defensively, giving up 5.9 yards per play (22nd-ranked). With 10 forced turnovers (fourth in NFL) and nine turnovers committed (25th in NFL) this season, the Steelers rank ninth in the NFL with a turnover margin of +1.

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Mike Edwards FB Elbow Questionable
Julio Jones WR Knee Doubtful
Shaquil Barrett OLB Illness Questionable
Akiem Hicks FB Foot Out
Logan Ryan FB Foot Out
Sean Murphy-Bunting CB Quad Out


Player Pos. Injury Status
Damontae Kazee FB Wrist Out
DeMarvin Leal DE Knee Out
Minkah Fitzpatrick FB Knee Out
Pat Freiermuth TE Concussion Out
Levi Wallace CB Head Out
Cameron Sutton CB Hamstring Out
Ahkello Witherspoon CB Hamstring Out

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Betting Analysis

Buccaneers Betting Insights

The Buccaneers have covered the spread two times this season (2-3-0). The Buccaneers are winless against the spread when they are 10-point favorites or more (0-1).

Games involving the Buccaneers have hit the over once this season. The Buccaneers were the moneyline favorite 17 total times last season. They finished 13-4 in those games.

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -435 or shorter, the Buccaneers went 9-2 (81.8%).

Steelers Betting Insights

The Steelers have covered the spread in a matchup one time this season (1-3-1). The Steelers are winless against the spread when they have played as 10-point underdogs or more (0-1).

This season, Steelers games have hit the over twice. The Steelers have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Steelers have played as an underdog of +350 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Buccaneers vs. Steelers Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.7 45.2 46.5
Implied Total AVG 25.0 25.3 24.5
ATS Record 2-3-0 0-3-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-4-0 1-2-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 1-2 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.6 40.5 42.3
Implied Total AVG 24.2 22.0 25.7
ATS Record 1-3-1 0-1-1 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Players to Watch


  • Tom Brady has 1,409 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), seven touchdowns and one interception this year. He has completed 68.1% of his passes, averaging 281.8 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • Leonard Fournette‘s rushing output this season includes 280 yards and one TD. He is averaging 56.0 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt (44th in the NFL).
  • He has caught 26 passes (on 30 targets) for 194 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 38.8 receiving yards and 5.2 catches per game.
  • In the passing game, Mike Evans, has racked up 316 receiving yards and three touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) after pulling down 20 balls on 29 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 79.0 yards and 5.0 receptions in four games.
  • Russell Gage has 23 catches for 172 yards and one touchdown. He’s been targeted 31 times in the air attack, and averages 4.6 receptions and 34.4 yards through five games played.
  • On defense, Devin White has 3.0 sacks (first on the Buccaneers) to go with 3.0 TFL and 40 tackles in 2022.
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. has 32 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception so far this season. He’s fourth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Mike Edwards has totaled 36 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception so far this year.
  • So far this season, Lavonte David has 34 tackles and 1.0 sack.


  • Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 653 yards this year, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He is completing 59.5% of his attempts while averaging 163.3 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Trubisky has added one rushing touchdown and 24 rushing yards (fifth on the Steelers).
  • Najee Harris has scored one rushing touchdown, while totaling 222 rushing yards (3.2 per attempt and 44.4 per game).
  • Harris has also picked up 64 receiving yards (12.8 per game) on 13 catches (2.6 per game). He’s been targeted 15 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • Pat Freiermuth has put up 235 receiving yards and one touchdown on 20 receptions, while being targeted 32 times on the season.
  • Diontae Johnson has 267 receiving yards from 28 receptions after receiving 50 targets.
  • In 2022, Alex Highsmith has recorded 25 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks over five games.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick’s stat sheet includes three interceptions (second in the NFL) as well as 33 tackles and four passes defended.
  • Myles Jack has 49 tackles.
  • Cameron Sutton’s stat sheet includes two interceptions (seventh in the NFL) as well as 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended in five games

Buccaneers vs. Steelers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Buccaneers, and we project that Steelers will cover the spread (Buccaneers -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 46 points.

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How to Bet on Buccaneers vs. Steelers

You can bet on Buccaneers vs. Steelers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buccaneers vs. Steelers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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