Bengals vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Week 15 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 18, 2022

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On Sunday, December 18, 2022, the Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) at Raymond James Stadium and will attempt to extend a five-game winning streak.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Bengals as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Bengals have -195 odds to pick up the win, while the Buccaneers are listed at +165 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bengals vs. Buccaneers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

Bengals

The Bengals have the 14th-ranked defense this year (331.1 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking fifth-best with 371.7 yards per game. The Bengals are averaging 25.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. On defense, they rank 11th, allowing 20.4 points per contest.

The Bengals own the 20th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (220.1 allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 268.1 passing yards per game. The Bengals are averaging 103.6 rushing yards per game on offense this year (24th in NFL), and they are giving up 111 rushing yards per game (11th) on defense.

On offense, the Bengals have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking third-best in the NFL by averaging a 47.5% third-down conversion rate. They rank 19th on defense (39.8% third-down conversion rate allowed). The Bengals are allowing 5.4 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (13th in the NFL), while putting up 5.7 per play (ninth in the league) on offense this season. The Bengals have forced 15 total turnovers (15th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 13 times (second in NFL) for a turnover margin of +2, 10th-ranked in the NFL.

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Buccaneers

With 338.6 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers rank 18th in the NFL in 2022. Defensively, they rank 10th, surrendering 320.7 total yards per contest. The Buccaneers have not been getting things done on offense, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 17.2 points per game. They have been better defensively, allowing 19.5 points per contest (ninth-ranked).

The Buccaneers’ pass offense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 265.7 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 195.2 passing yards per game, which ranks sixth. The Buccaneers rank worst in rushing yards per game (72.9), but they’ve been better defensively, ranking 20th in the NFL with 125.5 rushing yards allowed per contest.

From an offensive angle, the Buccaneers are posting a 38.1% third-down conversion percentage (21st-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL defensively (37.6% third-down rate allowed). With 5 yards per play on offense, the Buccaneers rank 25th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 10th, giving up 5.2 yards per play. With 12 forced turnovers (28th in NFL) and 14 turnovers committed (sixth in NFL) this season, the Buccaneers rank 18th in the NFL with a turnover margin of -2.

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Bengals vs. Buccaneers Injury Report

Bengals

Player Pos. Injury Status
Joe Burrow QB Elbow Probable
Trent Taylor WR Hamstring Questionable
Hayden Hurst TE Calf Questionable
Clay Johnston LB Head Questionable
Tyler Boyd WR Finger Questionable
Tee Higgins WR Hamstring Questionable
Trey Hendrickson DE Wrist Out
Jalen Davis CB Thumb Questionable
Joseph Ossai DE Shoulder Questionable
Mike Hilton CB Knee Questionable

Buccaneers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Julio Jones WR Knee Questionable
Tristan Wirfs OT Lower leg Questionable
Joe Tryon OLB Hip Questionable
Carl Nassib OLB Pectoral Questionable
Sean Murphy-Bunting CB Quad Probable
Genard Avery OLB Abdomen Questionable
Jamel Dean CB Toe Questionable

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Betting Analysis

Bengals Betting Insights

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The Bengals have registered a 10-3-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Bengals have an ATS record of 6-2.

Bengals games have gone over the total four times this season. The Bengals won 62.5% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-3).

The Bengals had a record of 2-1 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -195 or shorter (66.7%).

Buccaneers Betting Insights

The Buccaneers have covered the spread in a matchup three times this year (3-9-1). The Buccaneers have yet to cover a spread (0-1) when they are at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Games involving Buccaneers have hit the over three times this year. The Buccaneers lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.

The Buccaneers have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +165.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Bengals

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.4 47.5 43.6
Implied Total AVG 25.2 26.7 24
ATS Record 10-3-0 5-1-0 5-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-8-1 2-4-0 2-4-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 4-1 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Buccaneers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.7 44.3 43.1
Implied Total AVG 24.3 24.1 24.5
ATS Record 3-9-1 1-5-1 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 3-10-0 2-5-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-6 4-3 2-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Bengals

  • Joe Burrow ranks third in the NFL with 3,685 passing yards through 13 games this year, averaging 283.5 per game with a 68.1% completion percentage and 27 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against nine interceptions.
  • He has also rushed for 234 yards (third on the Bengals) and added five touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 18 rushing yards per game.
  • Joe Mixon has totaled 701 rushing yards with six touchdowns (63.7 yards per game through 11 games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 33rd in the NFL.
  • Mixon’s 54 targets through the air have resulted in 43 catches (3.9 per game) for 324 yards (29.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • In the passing game, Ja’Marr Chase, has totaled 821 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) after hauling in 64 balls on 97 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 91.2 yards and 7.1 receptions through nine games.
  • Samaje Perine has rushed for 349 yards, averaging 26.8 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
  • He has added 33 catches (on 45 targets) for 264 receiving yards with four touchdowns. He’s averaging 20.3 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions per game.
  • Over on defense, Sam Hubbard has 56 tackles, 11 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
  • Logan Wilson has 0.5 sacks to go with three TFL, 89 tackles, and one interception.
  • Vonn Bell has put up 65 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and four interceptions this year.
  • Germaine Pratt has one interception while adding 84 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.

Buccaneers

  • Tom Brady is averaging 6.2 passing yards per attempt (31st in the NFL) and 275.8 yards per game this year, completing 65.8% of his passes on the way to 3,585 total yards (fourth in the NFL), 17 touchdowns and five interceptions through 13 games.
  • Leonard Fournette has 524 rushing yards (leading the Buccaneers) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 43.7 yards per game and 3.5 per carry (47th in the NFL).
  • Fournette has also picked up 380 receiving yards (31.7 per game) on 55 catches (4.6 per game). He’s been targeted 64 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
  • In 12 games played this season, Mike Evans has 59 catches (4.9 receptions per game on 8.2 targets per game) for 805 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has been targeted 108 times, resulting in 73 catches for 702 yards .
  • In 2022, Devin White has recorded 99 tackles, six TFL, and 5.5 sacks through 13 games.
  • Lavonte David has two sacks in addition to his six TFL and 94 tackles through 13 games.
  • Carlton Davis has 53 tackles and two TFL in the 2022 season. He is fifth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Keanu Neal has 0.5 sacks as well as two TFL and 55 tackles.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Bengals, and we project that Bengals will cover the spread (Bengals -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44 points.

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How to Bet on Bengals vs. Buccaneers

You can bet on Bengals vs. Buccaneers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bengals vs. Buccaneers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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