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A skidding Green Bay Packers (3-4) team visits the Buffalo Bills (5-1) on Sunday, October 30, 2022 at Highmark Stadium. The Packers have lost three consecutive games.
Bills vs. Packers Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Bills as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bills have -460 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at +370 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 47 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Bills vs. Packers Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, October 30, 2022
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBC
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
Betting Preview
Bills
The Bills have been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both total offense (best with 440.8 yards per game) and total defense (best with 281.5 yards allowed per game) this year. The Bills have been firing on all cylinders this year, as they rank second-best in scoring offense (29.3 points per game) and best in scoring defense (13.5 points allowed per game).
The Bills rank 11th in pass defense this year (205.3 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 323.0 passing yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best by surrendering only 76.2 per game. They rank 16th on offense (117.8 rushing yards per game).
The Bills have the 13th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (38.9% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with a 52.8% third-down conversion rate. The Bills have been a tough opponent for opposing teams in terms of yards per play, as they rank top-five in both offensive yards per play (best with 6.6) and yards per play allowed on defense (fourth-best at 4.8) this year. The Bills own the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the league at +3, forcing 13 turnovers (third in NFL) while turning it over 10 times (21st in NFL).
Packers
In terms of total offense, the Packers rank 21st in the NFL (331.6 total yards per game) and seventh defensively (308.4 total yards allowed per game). The Packers are putting up 18.3 points per game on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 20.9 points per contest (14th-ranked) on defense.
The Packers rank 17th in the NFL with 221.3 passing yards per contest, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks best by giving up only 168.9 passing yards per game. From an offensive perspective, the Packers are generating 110.3 rushing yards per contest (18th-ranked). They rank 27th in the NFL on defense (139.6 rushing yards allowed per game).
The Packers’ defense has been keeping opposing offenses in check on third down, surrendering a 30.0% third-down conversion percentage (third-best). Offensively, they rank 25th in the NFL with a 35.4% third-down rate. From an offensive perspective, the Packers are accumulating 5.3 yards per play (17th-ranked). They rank 12th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.4 yards given up per play). The Packers own a -4 turnover margin this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL.
Bills vs. Packers Injury Report
Bills
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Brown | OT | Foot | Out |
| Taiwan Jones | RB | Knee | Questionable |
Packers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | WR | Hamstring | Questionable |
| Shemar Jean-Charles | CB | Ankle | Out |
| David Bakhtiari | OT | Knee | Questionable |
| Allen Lazard | WR | Shoulder | Out |
| Rashan Gary | LB | Concussion | Questionable |
Bills vs. Packers Betting Analysis
Bills Betting Insights
The Bills are 4-2-0 against the spread this season. The Bills have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
This season, Bills games have hit the over once. The Bills finished 9-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 64.3% of those games).
When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -460 or shorter, the Bills had a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of their games).
Packers Betting Insights
The Packers have covered the spread in a game two times this season (2-5-0).
This year, Packers games have hit the over three times. The Packers have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
The Packers have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +370 moneyline set for this game.
Bills vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records
Bills
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 50.5 | 46.0 | 52.8 |
| Implied Total AVG | 28.3 | 29.5 | 27.8 |
| ATS Record | 4-2-0 | 2-0-0 | 2-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 1-5-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Packers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.8 | 42.3 | 43.5 |
| Implied Total AVG | 24.6 | 25.8 | 23.0 |
| ATS Record | 2-5-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-4-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Players to Watch
Bills
- Josh Allen has 1,980 passing yards (sixth in the NFL), 17 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his attempts, averaging 330.0 yards per game and 8.3 per attempt.
- He has tacked on 257 rushing yards (42.8 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
- Stefon Diggs has caught 49 passes (fourth in the NFL) on 64 targets for 656 total yards (second in the NFL) and six touchdowns. He is averaging 8.2 catches and 109.3 yards per game through six games.
- Gabriel Davis has four touchdown catches this season (sixth in the NFL), and has 14 catches for 383 yards on 26 targets, while averaging 2.8 catches and 76.6 yards per game.
- Devin Singletary has rushed for 256 yards, averaging 42.7 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.
- Singletary has been targeted 29 times to the tune of 22 receptions, 167 yards and one TD.
- Over on defense, Matt Milano has 32 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one interception in 2022.
- Von Miller has 12 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 6.0 sacks so far this season.
- Tremaine Edmunds has put up 36 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this year.
- Gregory Rousseau has 16 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, and two passes defended.
Packers
- Aaron Rodgers has passed for 1,597 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions. He is completing 66.8% of his attempts while averaging 228.1 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
- Aaron Jones has scored one rushing touchdown, while totaling 432 rushing yards (5.5 per carry and 61.7 per game).
- Jones also has 26 catches for 176 yards (fifth on the Packers), with three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 33 times and averages 25.1 yards per game.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 340 receiving yards and four touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) on 26 receptions, while being targeted 41 times on the season.
- A.J. Dillon averages 43.0 rushing yards per game through seven games (301 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
- Dillon has also caught 13 passes for 80 yards (seventh on the Packers). He’s been targeted 20 times and averages 11.4 yards per game.
- So far in 2022, De’Vondre Campbell has amassed 61 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one interception over seven games.
- Rashan Gary has 28 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 6.0 sacks.
- Quay Walker has 1.0 TFL and 53 tackles.
- Preston Smith’s stat sheet includes 23 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in seven games
Bills vs. Packers Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this game is the Bills, and we project that Bills will cover the spread (Bills -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 47 points.
How to Bet on Bills vs. Packers
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