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The Utah State Aggies (3-5) and New Mexico Lobos (2-6) will face each other in clash of MWC rivals at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah.
Utah State vs. New Mexico Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 15.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Utah State as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Utah State has -747 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +510 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 42.5 points.
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Game Info
How to Watch Utah State vs. New Mexico Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
- Location: Logan, Utah
- Stadium: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium
Betting Preview
Utah State
Utah State is totaling 349.4 yards per game on offense this season (102nd in the FBS), and are allowing 398.9 yards per game (85th) on the defensive side of the ball. It’s been a hard stretch for Utah State, which ranks 15th-worst in scoring offense (19.1 points per game) and 23rd-worst in scoring defense (31.3 points per game allowed) in 2022. Utah State has been a bottom-25 pass offense this year, ranking 19th-worst with 183.1 passing yards per contest. The Ddfensive unit is ranked 27th in the FBS (194.5 passing yards allowed per game). Despite having a bottom-25 run defense that ranks 14th-worst in the FBS (204.4 rushing yards allowed per game), Utah State has had more success on offense, ranking 57th in the FBS by totaling 166.3 rushing yards per game. Utah State ranks 14th-worst in third-down conversion rate (30.8%), but has played better on defense, ranking 82nd with a 41.2% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 11 forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) against 19 turnovers committed (125th in the FBS), Utah State’s -8-8 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.
New Mexico
New Mexico has been struggling on offense, ranking worst with 243.8 total yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, surrendering 339.6 total yards per contest (31st-ranked). New Mexico’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling 16.8 points per game, which ranks eighth-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 60th with 24.9 points surrendered per contest. New Mexico’s passing game has been sputtering, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS with 115.3 passing yards per game. It has been better defensively, surrendering 203.8 passing yards per contest (35th-ranked). New Mexico is generating 128.5 rushing yards per game on offense this season (95th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 135.9 rushing yards per game (57th-ranked) on defense. New Mexico’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, posting a 22.3% third-down rate, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 32nd with a 33.6% third-down rate allowed. With 14 forced turnovers (30th in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (39th in the FBS) this season, New Mexico ranks 33rd in the FBS with a turnover margin of +4.
Utah State vs. New Mexico Betting Analysis
Utah State Betting Insights
Utah State is 2-6-0 against the spread this season. Utah State has yet to cover the spread when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites (0-1). This season, Utah State games have hit the over twice. The Aggies have been favored on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve finished 2-1 in those games. The Aggies have played as a moneyline favorite of -747 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
Lobos Betting Insights
New Mexico has put together a record of 3-4-1 against the spread this year. New Mexico has yet to cover the spread when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs (0-1-1). New Mexico’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Lobos have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won once. The Lobos have been at least a +510 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.
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Utah State vs. New Mexico Against The Spread & Betting Records
Utah State
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 55.8 | 58.3 | 53.3 |
| Implied Total AVG | 36.4 | 35.0 | 37.8 |
| ATS Record | 2-6-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 2-6-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
Lobos
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 40.9 | 40.1 | 42.3 |
| Implied Total AVG | 26.1 | 23.8 | 30.0 |
| ATS Record | 3-4-1 | 2-2-1 | 1-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 4-4-0 | 3-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Utah State
- The Aggies’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of AJ Vongphachanh, who has played eight games and registered 50 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks.
- MJ Tafisi has helped carry the Aggies’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 5.0 TFL and 50 tackles in eight games.
- With 35 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions in eight games, Hunter Reynolds has been a significant part of the Aggies’ defensive unit in 2022.
- Daniel Grzesiak has been a key piece of the Aggies’ defensive unit in 2022, with 16 tackles, 4.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in eight games.
Lobos
- On defense, A.J. Haulcy has helped keep opposing offenses in check with two interceptions to go with 32 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended in eight games.
- On defense, Cody Moon has helped lead the charge with 29 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in eight games.
- Jerrick Reed II has 3.0 TFL and 31 tackles in eight games.
- Reco Hannah has recorded 2.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 16 tackles, and one interception in eight games for the Lobos.
Utah State vs. New Mexico Predictions and Pick
Utah State vs. New Mexico betting card
- Pick ATS:
Lobos (+15.5)
Pick OU:
Over (42.5)
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How to Bet on Utah State vs. New Mexico
You can bet on Utah State vs. New Mexico at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our pick to win this matchup is Utah State, and we project that New Mexico will cover the spread (Utah State -15.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 42.5 points.