Oregon vs. Liberty Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – January 1, 2024

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetB7PnBPB Betsperts Media & Technology

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets if your bet WINS!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
Up to $300 in bonus bets!
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
$1,500 First Bet Offer

The Vrbo Fiesta Bowl will feature a matchup between the Oregon Ducks and the Liberty Flames.

Oregon vs. Liberty Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 18.5 points, with bookmakers listing Oregon as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oregon has -1038 odds to pick up the win, while Liberty is listed at +625 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 71 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Oregon vs. Liberty Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona
  • Stadium: State Farm Stadium

Betting Preview

Oregon

Oregon has been shining on both sides of the ball, ranking second-best in total offense (528.8 yards per game) and 23rd-best in total defense (320.5 yards allowed per game). Oregon has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking second-best in scoring offense (44.2 points per game) and 10th-best in scoring defense (17.3 points allowed per game). On offense, Oregon has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking second-best in the FBS by totaling 342.8 per game. The Ducks rank 64th on defense (222.8 passing yards allowed per game). Oregon owns the 29th-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (186.1 per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 10th-best with only 97.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Oregon has the 34th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (35.2% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been more effective on offense, ranking third-best with a 50.7% third-down percentage. With 13 forced turnovers (67th in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (second in the FBS), Oregon’s +8 turnover margin is the seventh-best in college football.

Liberty

Liberty’s offense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks third-best in the FBS with 516.2 total yards per game. In terms of defense, it is giving up 356.4 total yards per game, which ranks 46th. Liberty’s offense has been thriving, compiling 40.8 points per game (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 44th by allowing 22.7 points per game. Liberty ranks 84th in the FBS with 212.0 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 100th with 243.5 passing yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Liberty has been top-25 in rushing on both offense and defense this season, as it ranks best in rushing yards per game (304.2) and 17th-best in rushing yards surrendered per game (112.8). Liberty’s third-down defense ranks 51st in the FBS with a 37.0% third-down conversion rate surrendered, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks fourth-best by putting up a 49.7% third-down rate. Liberty has generated 23 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over nine times, leading to a +14 turnover margin, which ranks second-best in the FBS.

Oregon vs. Liberty Betting Analysis

Oregon Betting Insights

Oregon is 9-3-1 against the spread this season. Oregon is 6-1 ATS when playing as at least 18.5-point favorites. Games involving Oregon have hit the over five times this season. The Ducks have won 90% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (9-1). The Ducks have won all four games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1038 or shorter.

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty is 9-4-0 against the spread this season. Liberty games have gone over the total eight times this year. The Flames will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Flames have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +625 moneyline set for this game.

Oregon vs. Liberty Against The Spread & Betting Records

Oregon

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 63.6 66.4 60.3
Implied Total AVG 41.9 46.6 36.5
ATS Record 9-3-1 5-2-0 4-1-1
Over/Under Record 5-8-0 3-4-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 5-0 4-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Liberty

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.4 56.1 56.9
Implied Total AVG 34.5 35.5 33.0
ATS Record 9-4-0 5-3-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 8-5-0 5-3-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 13-0 8-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Oregon

  • In 13 games for the Ducks, Bo Nix has led the way with 4,145 yards (318.8 yards per game) while recording 40 touchdowns, three interceptions and a 77.2% completion percentage.
  • Nix has been a factor with his legs, running for 228 yards and six TDs in 13 games.
  • Troy Franklin has been an important contributor for the Ducks, tallying 1,383 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns on 81 catches.
  • Mar’Keise Irving has contributed to the Ducks’ offense by rushing for 1,063 yards (81.8 yards per carry) and 10 rushing touchdowns.
  • Irving has delivered 395 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 53 grabs in the passing game.
  • In 13 games for the Ducks, Jordan James has accumulated 696 rushing yards (7.1 yards per carry) and 11 touchdowns.
  • In 13 games for the Ducks, James has 14 catches (1.1 per game) for 123 yards (9.5 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Evan Williams has hit the gridiron for 12 games, collecting four sacks to go with two TFL and 74 tackles for the Ducks.
  • Tysheem Johnson has played 13 games, posting two interceptions to go along with 58 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Ducks.
  • Jeffrey Bassa has helped carry the Ducks’ defense with one interception to go along with 59 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 12 games.
  • With two sacks to go along with two TFL, 33 tackles, and three interceptions, Khyree Jackson has helped carry the Ducks’ defense over 11 games.

Liberty

  • Kaidon Salter has 31 touchdown passes and five interceptions in 13 games, completing 60.9% of his throws for 2,750 yards (211.5 per game).
  • Also, Salter has run for 1,064 yards and 12 TDs.
  • On the ground, Quinton Cooley has scored 16 touchdowns and accumulated 1,322 yards (101.7 per game).
  • In 13 games, C.J. Daniels has 47 catches for 988 yards (76.0 per game) and 10 touchdowns.
  • Aaron Bedgood has 19 receptions for 218 yards (16.8 per game) and two touchdowns in 13 games.
  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Flames’ Tyren Dupree has delivered 103 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in 13 games.
  • Brylan Green has been doing his part on defense, totaling five interceptions to go with 38 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and six passes defended for the Flames.
  • The Flames’ Preston Hodge has compiled two interceptions to go with 46 tackles and three passes defended in 12 games.
  • With two interceptions to go with 49 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 10 games, Jerome Jolly Jr. has been providing a big boost on defense for the Flames.

Oregon vs. Liberty Predictions and Pick

Oregon vs. Liberty betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Liberty (+18.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (71)

How to Bet on Oregon vs. Liberty

You can bet on Oregon vs. Liberty at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oregon vs. Liberty picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Oregon, and we predict that Liberty will cover the spread (Oregon -18.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 71 points.

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets if your bet WINS!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
Up to $300 in bonus bets!
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
$1,500 First Bet Offer

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All