Georgia vs. Florida State Capital One Orange Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 30, 2023

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The Capital One Orange Bowl will feature a matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Florida State Seminoles.

Georgia vs. Florida State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 23.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Georgia as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Georgia has -2897 odds to pick up the win, while Florida State is listed at +1078 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Georgia vs. Florida State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium

Betting Preview

Georgia

Georgia has been surging on both offense and defense, ranking eighth-best in total offense (483.1 yards per game) and ninth-best in total defense (295.7 yards allowed per game). Georgia has been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (ninth-best with 38.4 points per game) and scoring defense (ninth-best with 16.6 points allowed per game) this year. Georgia has been clicking on all fronts in the passing game this year, ranking 11th-best in passing (305.6 passing yards per game) and 11th-best in passing defense (177.7 passing yards allowed per game). Georgia sports the 42nd-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (177.5 per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 25th-best with just 118 rushing yards allowed per game. Georgia has been clicking on all fronts on third down this year, owning the second-best mark in third-down percentage (54.5%) and second-best in third-down defense (26.4% third-down conversion rate allowed). With 11 forced turnovers (92nd in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (31st in the FBS), Georgia’s +1+1 turnover margin ranks 54th in college football.

Florida State

Florida State has been keeping opposing offenses in check on defense, giving up only 305.9 total yards per game (13th-best). Offensively, it ranks 42nd by racking up 417.6 total yards per game. Florida State has been a top-25 unit on both sides of the ball this season, as it ranks 13th-best in points per game (37) and sixth-best in points surrendered per game (15.9). Florida State’s pass defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks sixth-best in the FBS with 170.5 passing yards ceded per contest. In terms of offense, it is generating 258.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 43rd. In terms of rushing, Florida State ranks 66th in the FBS on offense (159 rushing yards per game) and 40th defensively (135.5 rushing yards allowed per contest). Florida State’s third-down defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks third-best in the FBS with a 27.2% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is generating a 37.4% third-down rate, which ranks 81st. Florida State owns a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking seventh-best at +8.

Georgia vs. Florida State Betting Analysis

Georgia Betting Insights

Georgia has covered the spread four times this season (4-8-1). Georgia is winless against the spread when it has played as 23.5-point or greater favorites (0-5-1). Georgia games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Bulldogs have been favored on the moneyline 10 total times this season. They’ve finished 9-1 in those games. The Bulldogs have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -2897 or shorter.

Florida State Betting Insights

Florida State have put together an 8-5-0 record against the spread this year. Games involving Florida State have hit the over on seven occasions this season. The Seminoles won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Seminoles have played as an underdog of +1078 or more once this season and won that game.

Georgia vs. Florida State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Georgia

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.0 54.3 53.7
Implied Total AVG 38.7 41.6 35.3
ATS Record 4-8-1 2-4-1 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 4-0 5-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Florida State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.7 52.6 50.2
Implied Total AVG 34.6 35.9 32.6
ATS Record 8-5-0 5-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-6-0 5-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-0 6-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Georgia

  • In 13 games for the Bulldogs, Carson Beck has led the way with 3,743 yards (287.9 yards per game) while posting 22 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 72.4% completion percentage.
  • Beck has made an impact with his legs, scrambling for 127 yards and four TDs in 13 games.
  • Daijun Edwards has generated 818 rushing yards (5.2 yards per carry) and 11 touchdowns in 11 games for the Bulldogs.
  • Edwards has 19 receptions (1.7 per game) for 169 yards (15.4 per game) and zero touchdowns in 11 games for the Bulldogs.
  • Kendall Milton has contributed to the Bulldogs’ offense by rushing for 686 yards (62.4 yards per carry) and 12 rushing touchdowns.
  • As an important piece of the Bulldogs’ passing attack, Brock Bowers has compiled 713 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 56 receptions.
  • Tykee Smith has played 13 games, compiling two sacks to go with three TFL, 67 tackles, and four interceptions for the Bulldogs.
  • Smael Mondon Jr. has suited up for 13 games, delivering 67 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks for the Bulldogs.
  • With 54 tackles and two interceptions in 11 games, Javon Bullard has been an important part of the Bulldogs’ defense in 2023.
  • The Bulldogs’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Malaki Starks, who has suited up for 13 games, registering 48 tackles and two interceptions.

Florida State

  • Jordan Travis has 20 touchdown passes and two interceptions in 11 games, completing 64.2% of his throws for 2,745 yards (249.5 per game).
  • On the ground, Travis has scored seven touchdowns and accumulated 176 yards.
  • Trey Benson has run for 935 yards (71.9 per game) and 14 touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Benson also has 20 receptions for 227 yards and one TD.
  • In the passing game, Keon Coleman has scored 11 TDs, catching 50 balls for 658 yards (54.8 per game).
  • In 13 games, Lawrance Toafili has run for 463 yards (35.6 per game) and four TDs.
  • Toafili also has 21 receptions for 175 yards and one TD.
  • On defense, Kalen Deloach has helped lead the charge with one interception to go with 63 tackles, four TFL, seven sacks, and one pass defended in 12 games.
  • Tatum Bethune has been doing his part on defense, totaling one interception to go with 59 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended for the Seminoles.
  • Jared Verse has been doing his part on defense, compiling eight sacks to go with one TFL and 34 tackles for the Seminoles.
  • The Seminoles’ Patrick Payton has posted 40 tackles, three TFL, and four sacks in 11 games.

Georgia vs. Florida State Predictions and Pick

Georgia vs. Florida State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Florida State (+23.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (47)

How to Bet on Georgia vs. Florida State

You can bet on Georgia vs. Florida State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Georgia vs. Florida State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Georgia, and we project that Florida State will cover the spread (Georgia -23.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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