Texas vs. Washington CFP Semifinal At The Allstate Sugar Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – January 1, 2024

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The Texas Longhorns will meet the Washington Huskies in the CFP Semifinal At The Allstate Sugar Bowl.

Texas vs. Washington Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Texas has -174 odds to pick up the win, while Washington is listed at +140 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 62 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Texas vs. Washington Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Caesars Superdome

Betting Preview


Texas has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (ninth-best with 476.4 yards per game) and total defense (25th-best with 322.5 yards allowed per game) this year. Texas has been firing on all cylinders this year, as they rank 13th-best in scoring offense (36.2 points per game) and 11th-best in scoring defense (17.5 points allowed per game). Texas owns the 96th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (240.8 allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking 18th-best with 286.8 passing yards per game. Texas has been finding success on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 24th-best in rushing offense (189.5 rushing yards per game) and second-best in rushing defense (81.7 rushing yards allowed per game). Texas sports the 67th-ranked offense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (38.5% conversion rate), and has been better on defense, ranking second-best with a 25.9% third-down percentage allowed. With 18 forced turnovers (12th in the FBS) against 12 turnovers committed (44th in the FBS), Texas’ +6 turnover margin is the 20th-best in college football.


Washington’s offense has been consistently moving the chains, racking up 470.5 total yards per contest (10th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 96th by giving up 400.5 total yards per game. Washington’s offense has been dominant, racking up 37.7 points per game (10th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 50th by allowing 23.6 points per game. While Washington’s pass defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 12th-worst by ceding 263.2 passing yards per game, its offense ranks second-best with 343.8 passing yards per contest. With 126.6 rushing yards per game on offense, Washington ranks 101st in the FBS. On defense it ranks 43rd, allowing 137.3 rushing yards per contest. Washington’s third-down offense has been excelling, producing a 48.0% third-down conversion rate (11th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 90th by giving up a 40.6% third-down rate. Washington owns a +4 turnover margin this season, which ranks 36th in the FBS.

Texas vs. Washington Betting Analysis

Texas Betting Insights

Texas is 7-6-0 against the spread this season. In games it is played as 3.5-point favorites or more, Texas has an ATS record of 6-6. Games involving Texas have hit the over five times this season. The Longhorns have been favored on the moneyline 12 total times this season. They’ve gone 11-1 in those games. The Longhorns have a record of 7-1 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter (91.7%).

Washington Betting Insights

Washington is 6-6-1 against the spread this season. Washington is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. Games involving Washington have hit the over on six occasions this year. The Huskies have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Huskies have been at least a +140 moneyline underdog two times this season and won each of those games.

Texas vs. Washington Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.9 53.9 54.0
Implied Total AVG 35.0 36.6 33.2
ATS Record 7-6-0 4-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-1 3-4-0 2-3-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-1 7-0 4-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.3 61.1 64.3
Implied Total AVG 38.6 38.8 38.4
ATS Record 6-6-1 3-4-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 4-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 6-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 1-0 1-0

Players to Watch


  • To go along with his 3,161 passing yards and 70.7% completion percentage this season, Quinn Ewers has tallied 21 touchdowns against six interceptions.
  • Ewers has made an impact with his legs, scrambling for 21 yards and five TDs in 11 games.
  • As part of the Longhorns’ ground game, Jonathon Brooks has rushed for 1,138 yards and 10 touchdowns on 6.1 YPC.
  • The Longhorns’ passing game has been aided by the receiving skills of Brooks, who has grabbed 25 balls (on zero targets) for 286 yards and one touchdown.
  • As part of the Longhorns’ passing offense, Adonai Mitchell has reeled in 51 balls on zero targets for 813 yards and 10 touchdowns.
  • Xavier Worthy has been targeted zero times for 73 catches, 969 yards and five touchdowns in 13 games.
  • With one sack to go with four TFL, 74 tackles, and two interceptions in 12 games, Jaylan Ford has been a significant contributor to the Longhorns’ defense in 2023.
  • Anthony Hill Jr. has helped lead the Longhorns’ defense with five sacks to go along with two TFL and 57 tackles in 13 games.
  • The Longhorns’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Michael Taaffe, who has suited up for 12 games and registered three interceptions to go along with 37 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.
  • Jahdae Barron has been a key piece of the Longhorns’ defense in 2023, with one interception to go with 45 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 11 games.


  • Michael Penix Jr. has passed for 4,218 yards (324.5 per game), completing 65.7% of his passes, with 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 13 games.
  • In 13 games, Rome Odunze has 81 catches for 1,428 yards (109.8 per game) and 13 touchdowns.
  • In 12 games, Dillon Johnson has rushed for 1,113 yards (92.8 per game) and 14 TDs.
  • Johnson also has 19 receptions for 148 yards and zero TDs.
  • In 11 games, Ja’Lynn Polk has 60 catches for 1,000 yards (90.9 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • Edefuan Ulofoshio has amassed one interception to go with 76 tackles, two TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 12 games for the Huskies.
  • In 13 games for the Huskies, Dominique Hampton has totaled two interceptions to go with 82 tackles and two passes defended.
  • In 12 games for the Huskies, Carson Bruener has posted 63 tackles and one interception.
  • Mishael Powell has amassed 37 tackles and three interceptions in 13 games for the Huskies.

Texas vs. Washington Predictions and Pick

Texas vs. Washington betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Washington (+3.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (62)

How to Bet on Texas vs. Washington

You can bet on Texas vs. Washington at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Washington picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Texas, and we predict that Washington will cover the spread (Texas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62 points.

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Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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