Tennessee vs. Iowa Cheez-it Citrus Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – January 1, 2024

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The Cheez-it Citrus Bowl will feature a matchup between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Tennessee vs. Iowa Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -217 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa is listed at +171 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 37 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. Iowa Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: Camping World Stadium

Betting Preview


Tennessee ranks 31st in total offense (429.1 yards per game) and 59th in total defense (374.2 yards allowed per game) this season. Tennessee is putting up 31.5 points per game on offense (38th in the FBS), and ranks 35th on defense with 22.0 points allowed per game. Tennessee is putting up 242.2 passing yards per game on offense this year (51st in the FBS), and is giving up 243.8 passing yards per game (101st) on the other side of the ball. Tennessee is putting up 186.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 26th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 34th, allowing 130.4 rushing yards per contest. Tennessee is putting up a 42.0% third-down percentage offensively this year (43rd in the FBS), and is surrendering a 39.5% third-down percentage (74th) on the other side of the ball. Tennessee has forced 13 total turnovers (67th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over seven times (eighth in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +6, the 18th-best in college football.


While Iowa’s offense has been sputtering, ranking worst with 241.7 total yards per game, its defense ranks sixth-best with just 278.3 total yards allowed per contest. While Iowa’s offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking fourth-worst with 16.6 points per game, its defense ranks third-best with only 13.2 points ceded per contest. On offense, Iowa is a bottom-25 pass offense, putting up just 123.2 passing yards per game (fourth-worst). On the bright side, it is thriving on the other side of the ball, allowing only 172.2 passing yards per contest (sixth-best). Iowa has been dominant on run defense, giving up just 106.1 rushing yards per game (13th-best). On offense, it ranks 108th in the FBS by piling up 118.5 rushing yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, Iowa is bottom-25 on third down, posting a 30.7% third-down conversion percentage (10th-worst). On the bright side, it is thriving on the other side of the ball, surrendering a 31.6% third-down rate (15th-best). At -2, Iowa has the 83rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 12 forced turnovers (80th in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (74th in the FBS).

Tennessee vs. Iowa Betting Analysis

Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-6-0). In games it is played as 5.5-point favorites or more, Tennessee has an ATS record of 4-3. This season, six Tennessee games have gone over the point total. The Volunteers have put together a 6-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games). The Volunteers have played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -217 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Iowa Betting Insights

Iowa has gone 6-6-1 against the spread this year. Iowa is 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs. Iowa games have gone over the total twice this season. This season, the Hawkeyes have won two out of the four games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Hawkeyes are this season when entering a game as the underdog by +171 or more on the moneyline.

Tennessee vs. Iowa Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.5 58.5 53.7
Implied Total AVG 36.9 40.6 31.8
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-4-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 4-0 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 34.7 35.9 32.9
Implied Total AVG 22.5 24.1 20.0
ATS Record 6-6-1 3-4-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-11-0 2-6-0 0-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 6-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Players to Watch


  • With 17 receptions for 178 yards and one touchdown, Chas Nimrod has been an important piece of the Volunteers’ passing offense in 2023.
  • As a runner, Patrick Wilk has accumulated 33 rushing yards with zero rushing touchdowns in one game.
  • In one game, Ethan Davis has turned zero targets into two receptions, 33 yards and zero touchdowns for the Volunteers.
  • Hunter Salmon has received zero targets in 2023 and has turned them into two receptions (2.0 per game) for 21 yards and zero TDs in one game.
  • As part of the Volunteers’ defensive unit, Doneiko Slaughter has posted 32 tackles and one sack in seven games.
  • With 20 tackles, four TFL, and three sacks in four games, Kameron Butler has been an important contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • Jeremiah Telander has helped spur the Volunteers’ defense with 23 tackles and one pass defended in seven games.
  • The Volunteers’ defensive unit has been aided by Kurott Garland, who has suited up for six games, amassing two sacks to go with two TFL and 15 tackles.


  • In 13 games, Leshon Williams has rushed for 804 yards (61.8 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Also, Williams has 11 receptions for 68 yards and one touchdown.
  • On the ground, Kaleb Johnson has scored three touchdowns and picked up 429 yards (47.7 per game).
  • Deacon Hill has thrown for 1,096 yards (91.3 per game), completing 49.4% of his throws, with five touchdowns and six interceptions in 12 games.
  • In seven games, Erick All has 21 receptions for 299 yards (42.7 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Jay Higgins has been causing chaos on defense, amassing one interception to go with 141 tackles, one sack, and one pass defended for the Hawkeyes.
  • On defense, Nick Jackson has helped lead the charge with 91 tackles, four TFL, and four sacks in 13 games.
  • Sebastian Castro has been providing a big boost on defense, registering three TFL, 59 tackles, and three interceptions for the Hawkeyes.
  • The Hawkeyes’ Quinn Schulte has amassed 54 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 13 games.

Tennessee vs. Iowa Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. Iowa betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Tennessee (-5.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (37)

How to Bet on Tennessee vs. Iowa

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Iowa at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Iowa picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Tennessee, and we expect that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37 points.

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Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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