Michigan vs. Alabama CFP Semifinal At The Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Prudential Prediction: Picks & Start Time – January 1, 2024

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The CFP Semifinal At The Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Prudential will feature a matchup between the Michigan Wolverines and the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Michigan vs. Alabama Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Michigan as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan has -129 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama is listed at +106 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 46.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Michigan vs. Alabama Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Pasadena, California
  • Stadium: Rose Bowl

Betting Preview

Michigan

Defensively, Michigan has been a top-25 unit, ranking best by allowing just 239.7 yards per game. The offense ranks 71st (381.7 yards per game). Michigan has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (12th-best with 36.7 points per game) and scoring defense (best with 9.5 points allowed per game) this year. On defense, Michigan has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking second-best by giving up just 152.6 passing yards per game. The Wolverines rank 72nd on offense (218.8 passing yards per game). On the defensive side of the ball, Michigan has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking sixth-best by allowing only 87.1 per game. The Wolverines rank 61st on offense (162.9 rushing yards per game). Michigan has been making things happen on both sides of the ball on third down this year, owning the 14th-best mark in third-down conversion rate (46.7%) and 12th-best in third-down defense (30.8% third-down percentage allowed). Michigan has forced 17 total turnovers (18th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over six times (fourth in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +11, the third-best in college football.

Alabama

Alabama ranks 53rd in the FBS with 403.5 total yards per game, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 15th-best by allowing only 313.3 total yards per game. Alabama has been a top-25 unit on both sides of the ball this season, as it ranks 16th-best in points per game (35.1) and 15th-best in points surrendered per game (18.4). Alabama has been thriving on pass defense, giving up only 188.8 passing yards per game (23rd-best). Offensively, it ranks 61st in the FBS by racking up 228.5 passing yards per game. With 175.1 rushing yards per game on offense, Alabama ranks 44th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 32nd, allowing 124.5 rushing yards per game. Alabama’s third-down offense has been dominant, posting a 46.7% third-down conversion percentage (14th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 26th by surrendering a 33.9% third-down rate. Alabama has produced 14 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over seven times, leading to a +7 turnover margin, which ranks 14th-best in the FBS.

Michigan vs. Alabama Betting Analysis

Michigan Betting Insights

Michigan has covered the spread seven times in 13 games with a set spread. In games it is played as 2-point favorites or more, Michigan has an ATS record of 7-5-1. This season, seven Michigan games have gone over the point total. The Wolverines have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of 10 times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Wolverines have won all 10 games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter.

Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama have put together a 9-4-0 record against the spread this season. Alabama has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. Games involving Alabama have hit the over on nine occasions this season. The Crimson Tide won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Crimson Tide have entered two games this season as the underdog by +106 or more and won each of those games.

Michigan vs. Alabama Against The Spread & Betting Records

Michigan

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.5 50.4 44.1
Implied Total AVG 35.9 40.0 31.2
ATS Record 7-5-1 2-4-1 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 7-6-0 3-4-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 4-0 6-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.5 53.0 49.2
Implied Total AVG 34.2 35.3 32.6
ATS Record 9-4-0 6-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 9-4-0 5-3-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-1 5-1 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Michigan

  • Blake Corum has been getting things done in the ground game, rushing for 1,028 yards and 24 touchdowns in 13 games.
  • J.J. McCarthy has played 13 games in 2023, and he’s tallied 2,630 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 74.2% completion percentage.
  • When he’s not moving the ball through the air, McCarthy has scrambled for 146 yards (11.2 yards per game) and three touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Roman Wilson has been an important piece of the Wolverines’ passing attack in 2023, posting 41 receptions for 662 yards and 11 touchdowns.
  • Donovan Edwards has amassed 382 rushing yards (29.4 per game) with three rushing touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Edwards has compiled 30 receptions on zero targets for 249 yards and zero touchdowns as a pass-catcher in 2023.
  • As part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit, Mike Sainristil has registered 29 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and four interceptions in 10 games.
  • The Wolverines’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Junior Colson, who has suited up for 12 games and collected two TFL and 75 tackles.
  • As part of the Wolverines’ defense, Michael Barrett has delivered 49 tackles and two sacks in 13 games.
  • The Wolverines’ defense has been helped by the play of Derrick Moore, who has played 13 games, registering four sacks to go with three TFL and 32 tackles.

Alabama

  • In 12 games, Jalen Milroe has passed for 2,718 yards (226.5 per game), with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions, and a completion percentage of 65.5%.
  • On the ground, Milroe has scored 12 touchdowns and picked up 468 yards.
  • On the ground, Jase McClellan has scored six touchdowns and picked up 803 yards (66.9 per game).
  • Also, McClellan has 13 catches for 126 yards and zero touchdowns.
  • In 11 games, Jermaine Burton has 35 catches for 777 yards (70.6 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • On the ground, Roydell Williams has scored five touchdowns and picked up 561 yards (43.2 per game).
  • In the passing game, Williams has scored one touchdown, with 11 catches for 58 yards.
  • In 13 games for the Crimson Tide, Caleb Downs has recorded one TFL, 88 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Terrion Arnold has been doing his part on defense, delivering five interceptions to go with 58 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended for the Crimson Tide.
  • The Crimson Tide’s Dallas Turner has compiled 49 tackles, six TFL, and nine sacks in 12 games.
  • On defense, Chris Braswell has compiled 39 tackles, five TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 12 games.

Michigan vs. Alabama Predictions and Pick

Michigan vs. Alabama betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Michigan (-2)

  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)

How to Bet on Michigan vs. Alabama

You can bet on Michigan vs. Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan vs. Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Michigan, and we project that Michigan will cover the spread (Michigan -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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