UAB vs. Miami (OH) Hometown Lenders Bahamas Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 16, 2022

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The UAB Blazers will meet the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the Hometown Lenders Bahamas Bowl.

UAB vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UAB as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UAB has -436 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (OH) is listed at +319 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UAB vs. Miami (OH) Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium: Thomas Robinson Stadium

Betting Preview

UAB

UAB is totaling 442.3 yards per game on offense this year (30th in the FBS), and are surrendering 368.0 yards per game (57th) on the other side of the ball. UAB is putting up 30.6 points per game offensively this season (53rd in the FBS), and is giving up 23.4 points per game (40th) on defense. UAB is averaging 199.1 passing yards per game on offense this year (105th in the FBS), and is giving up 196.8 passing yards per game (28th) on defense. UAB owns the 95th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (171.2 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best with 243.2 rushing yards per game. UAB is averaging a 43.8% third-down conversion rate offensively this season (32nd in the FBS), and is allowing a 41.7% third-down conversion rate (97th) on the defensive side of the ball. With 16 forced turnovers (60th in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (45th in the FBS), UAB’s +1+1 turnover margin ranks 56th in college football.

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Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) ranks seventh-worst in total yards per game (294.0), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 58th in the FBS with 368.5 total yards allowed per contest. Miami (OH)’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 20.3 points per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 34th with 22.5 points ceded per contest. Miami (OH)’s passing game has not been getting things done, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS with 156.2 passing yards per game. It has been better defensively, allowing 235.8 passing yards per contest (84th-ranked). With 137.8 rushing yards per game on offense, Miami (OH) ranks 85th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 40th, allowing 132.8 rushing yards per contest. Miami (OH)’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling a 32.4% third-down percentage, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 67th with a 38.7% third-down rate surrendered. Miami (OH) has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +7 ranks 20th-best in the FBS, with 16 forced turnovers (60th in the nation) and nine turnovers committed (sixth in the nation).

UAB vs. Miami (OH) Betting Analysis

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UAB Betting Insights

UAB has put together a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season. UAB has an ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites. UAB games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Blazers have won five of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline this season (62.5%). The Blazers have played as a moneyline favorite of -436 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

RedHawks Betting Insights

Miami (OH) has gone 5-7-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 10.5-point underdogs or more, the RedHawks have an ATS record of 1-1. Miami (OH) games have gone over the total three times this season. This season, the RedHawks have been the underdog seven times and won three of those games. The RedHawks are 0-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +319 or more on the moneyline.

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UAB vs. Miami (OH) Against The Spread & Betting Records

UAB

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 58.0 52.3
Implied Total AVG 33.9 37.0 30.8
ATS Record 4-8-0 4-2-0 0-6-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 4-0 1-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

RedHawks

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.8 50.3 49.3
Implied Total AVG 29.7 31.3 28.0
ATS Record 5-7-0 2-4-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-9-0 2-4-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 1-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-4 1-2 2-2

Players to Watch

UAB

  • As part of the Blazers’ defense, Noah Wilder has recorded 93 tackles and four TFL in 10 games.
  • Jaylen Key has suited up for 12 games, registering three interceptions to go along with 58 tackles, three TFL, and one pass defended for the Blazers.
  • With 45 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and three interceptions in 11 games, Grayson Cash has been a significant piece of the Blazers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With one sack to go along with three TFL and 67 tackles, Tyler Taylor has helped propel the Blazers’ defense over 10 games.

RedHawks

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the RedHawks’ Ryan McWood has totaled 126 tackles, four TFL, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Matt Salopek has collected 92 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks in 11 games for the RedHawks.
  • Michael Dowell has collected two sacks to go with four TFL and 76 tackles in 11 games for the RedHawks.
  • John Saunders Jr. has recorded 42 tackles and two interceptions in 10 games for the RedHawks.

UAB vs. Miami (OH) Predictions and Pick

UAB vs. Miami (OH) betting card

    Pick ATS:

    RedHawks (+10.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (44.5)

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How to Bet on UAB vs. Miami (OH)

You can bet on UAB vs. Miami (OH) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UAB vs. Miami (OH) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is UAB, and we expect that Miami (OH) will cover the spread (UAB -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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