San Diego State vs. Nevada Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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MWC opponents will do battle when the San Diego State Aztecs (3-3) face the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-5) at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada.

San Diego State vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing San Diego State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -284 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +223 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 35.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch San Diego State vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Reno, Nevada
  • Stadium: Mackay Stadium

Betting Preview

San Diego State

San Diego State ranks seventh-worst in total offense (284.3 yards per game), but has played slightly better on defense, ranking 87th with 394.2 yards allowed per game. San Diego State ranks 13th-worst in scoring offense (18.5 points per game), but has been a little better on defense, ranking 50th with 23.8 points allowed per contest. San Diego State ranks fifth-worst in passing offense (108.3 passing yards per game), but thas been slightly better on defense, ranking 66th with 227.5 passing yards allowed per game. San Diego State is putting up 176.0 rushing yards per game offensively this season (47th in the FBS), and is surrendering 166.7 rushing yards per game (91st) on defense. San Diego State has been a bottom-25 offense on third down this year, ranking third-worst with a 23.2% third-down percentage. On the defensive side of the ball, the Aztecs rank 88th in the FBS (41.7% third-down percentage allowed). San Diego State has the 60th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +1, forcing nine turnovers (69th in the FBS) while turning it over eight times (39th in the FBS).

Nevada

Nevada’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, compiling 291.0 total yards per game, which ranks 10th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 81st with 389.3 total yards allowed per contest. Nevada ranks 22nd-worst in points per game (21.7), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 86th in the FBS with 29.1 points ceded per contest. Nevada ranks 14th-worst in passing yards per game (166.9), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 37th in the FBS with 202.7 passing yards allowed per contest. Nevada’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, ceding 186.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 20th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 101st with 124.1 rushing yards per contest. Nevada’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, ceding a 43.8% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 93rd with a 43.8% third-down rate. Nevada has produced 15 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over six times, leading to a +9 turnover margin, which ranks fourth-best in the FBS.

San Diego State vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

San Diego State Betting Insights

San Diego State has covered the spread once in six games with a set spread. San Diego State has yet to cover the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 7-point favorites. This season, San Diego State games have hit the over twice. The Aztecs have put together a 2-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Aztecs have played as a moneyline favorite of -284 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

Nevada has covered the spread two times this season (2-5-0). Nevada is winless against the spread when it is 7-point underdogs or more (0-2). Games involving Nevada have hit the over on three occasions this year. The Wolf Pack have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Wolf Pack have not won as an underdog of +223 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.

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San Diego State vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

San Diego State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.9 47.0 43.8
Implied Total AVG 31.2 32.0 29.5
ATS Record 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.1 52.7 46.5
Implied Total AVG 29.7 28.0 31.0
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-2-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 2-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 0-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch

San Diego State

  • Michael Shawcroft has helped lead the Aztecs’ defense with 31 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in six games.
  • With 23 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in six games, Garret Fountain has been a big part of the Aztecs’ defense in 2022.
  • Caden McDonald has helped lead the Aztecs’ defense with 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one pass defended in six games.
  • With 19 tackles and one interception, Davaughn Celestine has helped carry the Aztecs’ defense over six games.

Wolf Pack

  • Bentlee Sanders has amassed five interceptions to go with 22 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five passes defended in seven games for the Wolf Pack.
  • Tyson Williams has delivered 29 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in seven games for the Wolf Pack.
  • Dom Peterson has 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 10 tackles in seven games.
  • On defense, Drue Watts has piled up 20 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games.

San Diego State vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

San Diego State vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (35.5)

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How to Bet on San Diego State vs. Nevada

You can bet on San Diego State vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Nevada, and we project that Nevada will cover the spread (San Diego State -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 35.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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