Miami vs. North Carolina Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Miami Hurricanes (2-2) have an ACC matchup with the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1).

Miami vs. North Carolina Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Miami as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Miami has -180 odds to pick up the win, while North Carolina is listed at +147 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 66 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Miami vs. North Carolina Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium

Betting Preview


Miami ranks 38th in total offense (447.5 yards per game) and 42nd in total defense (338.3 yards allowed per game) this year. Miami is totaling 35.0 points per game on offense (37th in the FBS), and ranks 33rd defensively with 20.5 points allowed per game. Miami is compiling 269.8 passing yards per game on offense (41st in the FBS), and ranks 96th on defense with 251.0 passing yards allowed per game. Miami has the 47th-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (177.8 per game), and has been more effective defensively, ranking 10th-best with only 87.3 rushing yards allowed per game. On the offensive side of the ball, Miami has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 22nd-best in the FBS by averaging a 48.3% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 40th on defense (33.3% third-down percentage allowed). With seven forced turnovers (62nd in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (46th in the FBS), Miami (+1) has the 51st-ranked turnover margin in college football.

North Carolina

North Carolina ranks 12th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (450.8), but at least it has been surging on offense, ranking sixth-best in total yards per game (507.2). While North Carolina’s defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking 20th-worst by surrendering 33.6 points per game, its offense ranks sixth-best with 45.4 points per contest. North Carolina’s passing attack has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 12th-best in the FBS with 319.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 257.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 102nd. North Carolina has been struggling in run defense, ranking 19th-worst with 193.0 rushing yards given up per game. It has been more effective on the other side of the ball, compiling 187.6 rushing yards per contest (39th-ranked). On defense, North Carolina is a bottom-25 unit on third down, allowing a 43.8% third-down conversion rate (23rd-worst). On the bright side, it is excelling on the offensive side of the ball, posting a 43.8% third-down rate (14th-best). At 0, North Carolina sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with five forced turnovers (98th in the FBS) and five turnovers committed (28th in the FBS).

Miami vs. North Carolina Betting Analysis

Miami Betting Insights

Miami has covered the spread once over four games with a set spread. Miami has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 4-point favorites. Games involving the Miami have hit the over twice this season. The Hurricanes have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Hurricanes have played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Tar Heels Betting Insights

North Carolina has put together a record of 2-2-1 against the spread this season. Games involving North Carolina have hit the over on three occasions this season. The Tar Heels won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Tar Heels have played as an underdog of +147 or more once this season and won that game.


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Miami vs. North Carolina Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.9 55.5 45.0
Implied Total AVG 40.3 45.0 26.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Tar Heels

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.9 56.3 60.3
Implied Total AVG 36.0 38.0 33.0
ATS Record 2-2-1 1-2-0 1-0-1
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Players to Watch


  • James Williams has helped spur the Hurricanes’ defense with six tackles and one interception in four games.
  • With eight tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in four games, Corey Flagg Jr. has been a big contributor to the Hurricanes’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • As part of the Hurricanes’ defense, Jahfari Harvey has delivered three tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • Kamren Kinchens has been a key part of the Hurricanes’ defensive unit in 2022, with two interceptions to go with three tackles and two passes defended in four games.

Tar Heels

  • On defense, Power Echols has helped lead the charge with 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games.
  • Cedric Gray has been wreaking havoc on defense, totaling two interceptions to go with 27 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended for the Tar Heels.
  • The Tar Heels’ Noah Taylor has totaled 12 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in five games.
  • With eight tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games, Kaimon Rucker has been making a big difference on defense for the Tar Heels.

Miami vs. North Carolina Predictions and Pick

Miami vs. North Carolina betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tar Heels (+4)

    Pick OU:

    Under (66)


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How to Bet on Miami vs. North Carolina

You can bet on Miami vs. North Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. North Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is North Carolina, and we predict that North Carolina will cover the spread (Miami -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 66 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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