Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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SEC rivals will battle when the Florida Gators (6-4) meet the Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6).

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing Florida as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Florida has -605 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +428 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Florida vs. Vanderbilt Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Vanderbilt Stadium

Betting Preview


Florida ranks 32nd in total offense (438.9 yards per game) and 103rd in total defense (421.0 yards allowed per game) this season. Florida ranks 42nd in scoring offense (31.9 points per game) and 73rd in scoring defense (26.9 points allowed per game) this season. On offense, Florida ranks 91st in the FBS with 213.2 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 97th in passing yards allowed per contest (249.8). Florida has the 95th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (171.2 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best with 225.7 rushing yards per game. Florida owns the 51st-ranked third-down offense this year (41.5% third-down conversion rate), but has been worse defensively, ranking fifth-worst with a 48.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 19 forced turnovers (18th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (25th in the FBS), Florida’s +8 turnover margin is the 11th-best in college football.


Vanderbilt’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in total defense this season, surrendering 457.8 total yards per game, which ranks eighth-worst. Offensively, it ranks 86th with 363.0 total yards per contest. Vanderbilt’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in scoring defense this season, conceding 35.2 points per game, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 81st with 26.4 points per contest. Vanderbilt’s defense has been bottom-25 in pass defense this season, allowing 293.5 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 103rd with 203.3 passing yards per contest. With 159.7 rushing yards per game on offense, Vanderbilt ranks 59th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 90th, surrendering 164.3 rushing yards per game. Vanderbilt ranks 74th in third-down conversion rate (37.9%) on offense, but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 21st-worst in the FBS with a 43.4% third-down percentage allowed. At +1, Vanderbilt has the 61st-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 14 forced turnovers (64th in the FBS) and 13 turnovers committed (51st in the FBS).

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Betting Analysis

Florida Betting Insights

Florida has covered the spread six times this season (6-4-0). Florida has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 14-point favorites. Games involving Florida have hit the over six times this season. The Gators have a 4-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Gators have played as a moneyline favorite of -605 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Commodores Betting Insights

Vanderbilt has covered the spread in a matchup four times this year (4-6-0). In games they have played as 14-point underdogs or more, the Commodores have an ATS record of 1-3. This season, six Vanderbilt games have gone over the point total. This season, the Commodores have won two out of the seven games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Commodores have a record of 1-3 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +428 on the moneyline.


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Florida vs. Vanderbilt Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.9 56.8 57.2
Implied Total AVG 34.6 34.6 34.7
ATS Record 6-4-0 3-4-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 3-4-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 4-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.0 56.1 54.3
Implied Total AVG 36.4 35.0 37.3
ATS Record 4-6-0 0-4-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 4-0-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 0-3 2-2

Players to Watch


  • The Gators’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Amari Burney, who has played 10 games and totaled 37 tackles, 4.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions.
  • With 56 tackles in 10 games, Rashad Torrence has been a big part of the Gators’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 43 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 10 games, Trey Dean III has been an important piece of the Gators’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Gators’ defense has been helped by the play of Ventrell Miller, who has played 10 games, posting 4.0 TFL and 40 tackles.


  • On defense, Anfernee Orji has helped lead the way with one interception to go with 60 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 10 games.
  • On defense, Jaylen Mahoney has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 39 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and one sack in 10 games.
  • CJ Taylor has 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 23 tackles, and one interception in 10 games.
  • On defense, De’Rickey Wright has supplied 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions in 10 games.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Predictions and Pick

Florida vs. Vanderbilt betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Commodores (+14)

    Pick OU:

    Over (57.5)


4.9/5 Read Review

Great promos & odds boosts

How to Bet on Florida vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Florida vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Florida, and we expect that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Florida -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 57.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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