Florida State vs. Oklahoma Cheez-it Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 29, 2022

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The Florida State Seminoles will play the Oklahoma Sooners in the Cheez-it Bowl.

Florida State vs. Oklahoma Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Florida State as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Florida State has -388 odds to pick up the win, while Oklahoma is listed at +295 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 65.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Florida State vs. Oklahoma Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: Camping World Stadium

Betting Preview

Florida State

Florida State has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (11th-best with 475.7 yards per game) and total defense (13th-best with 307.3 yards allowed per game) this year. Florida State has been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (16th-best with 36.2 points per game) and scoring defense (17th-best with 19.7 points allowed per game) this year. Florida State ranks 39th in passing yards this season (257.8 per game), but has been shining on defense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 158.9 passing yards allowed per game. Florida State owns the 63rd-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (148.3 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 12th-best with 217.8 rushing yards per game. Florida State has been a handful for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (fourth-best with a 51.9% third-down conversion rate) and third-down defense (25th-best with a 33.7% third-down conversion rate allowed) this year. Florida State ranks 100th in college football with a -1 turnover margin after forcing 12 turnovers (107th in the FBS) and committing 13 (26th in the FBS).

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While Oklahoma’s defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking 12th-worst by conceding 450.5 total yards per game, its offense ranks 17th-best with 472.2 total yards per contest. From an offensive perspective, Oklahoma is posting 32.9 points per game (31st-ranked). It ranks 100th in the FBS defensively (29.6 points surrendered per game). Oklahoma has been struggling against the pass, ranking 21st-worst with 261.5 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been better offensively, putting up 255.6 passing yards per contest (41st-ranked). Oklahoma ranks 24th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game on defense (189.0), but at least it has been surging on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in rushing yards per contest (216.6). From an offensive perspective, Oklahoma is generating a 39.9% third-down conversion rate (58th-ranked). It ranks 83rd in the FBS on defense (40.3% third-down rate allowed). Oklahoma has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 25th-best at +6.

Florida State vs. Oklahoma Betting Analysis

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Florida State Betting Insights

Florida State is 8-4-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 10 points or more so far this season, the Florida State has gone 3-1 against the spread. Florida State games have gone over the total six times this season. The Seminoles have a 7-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 87.5% of those games). The Seminoles have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -388 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Sooners Betting Insights

Oklahoma is 4-8-0 against the spread this season. Oklahoma’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this year. The Sooners lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Sooners have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +295 odds on them winning this game.

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Florida State vs. Oklahoma Against The Spread & Betting Records

Florida State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.8 54.2 53.0
Implied Total AVG 33.3 35.5 29.0
ATS Record 8-4-0 4-4-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 5-3-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-1 4-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-1 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.2 63.4 65.4
Implied Total AVG 37.8 39.4 35.6
ATS Record 4-8-0 2-5-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-1 3-3-1 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-5 4-2 2-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Players to Watch

Florida State

  • As part of the Seminoles’ defense, Jammie Robinson has compiled 77 tackles, three TFL, and one interception in 11 games.
  • The Seminoles’ defense has been helped by Tatum Bethune, who has played 11 games and posted two sacks to go with seven TFL and 66 tackles.
  • Jared Verse has played 10 games, amassing 39 tackles, 12 TFL, and seven sacks for the Seminoles.
  • A key contributor to the Seminoles’ defense, Kalen Deloach has 50 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and six passes defended in 11 games.


  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Sooners’ Danny Stutsman has recorded 114 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • David Ugwoegbu has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting 95 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended for the Sooners.
  • In 11 games for the Sooners, DaShaun White has registered 71 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.
  • On defense, Justin Broiles has compiled 76 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 11 games.

Florida State vs. Oklahoma Predictions and Pick

Florida State vs. Oklahoma betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Sooners (+10)

    Pick OU:

    Under (65.5)

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How to Bet on Florida State vs. Oklahoma

You can bet on Florida State vs. Oklahoma at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida State vs. Oklahoma picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Florida State, and we expect that Oklahoma will cover the spread (Florida State -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 65.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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