MLB Best Bets: Baseball Picks for August 19th

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Yesterday was a tough one. Two 1st Half under 3.5 bets, both games went into the 5th inning with the total being under the 3.5 and both games saw a 2-run HR in the 5th doom the under. So it was an 0-2 day with a pair of bad beats. Those happen sometimes, the bad beats are just getting us ready for football season. We’re back today for Friday’s action. We do have some day baseball which is always a good thing. I’m on FanDuel for my odds today. If you haven’t signed up with them yet, you can do so below and get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000 on your initial wager. Onto the bets.

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Brewers vs Cubs Under 9.5 (-114)

We have day baseball today, so I want to make sure we get aa bet in. I like the under in this one for a few reasons. On paper, the pitching matchup in Aaron Ashby vs Keegan Thompson isn’t the best. But Ashby has been pitching a lot better as of late than his season numbers show. He went 6.0 IP with just 2 ER allowed last time out at St. Louis and has allowed 2 ER or less in 3 of his last 4 starts. In Keegan Thompson’s last two starts at home, he’s allowed just 1 ER through 13 IP. So both pitchers are trending in the right direction for an under here. In addition to that, the wind at Wrigley according to the weather reports will be blowing in, which always helps toward an under.

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Astros vs Braves 1st Half Under 4.5 (-134) & Alt. Under 3.5 (+128)

It’s a World Series rematch with what should be a great pitching matchup on paper. Astros ace Lance McCullers makes his second start of the season. He’ll likely be on a bit of a pitch count, but in his first start he tossed 6.0 scoreless innings with 5 Ks and just 2 Hits allowed. He did issue 4 walks, so that’s one cause for concern. Kyle Wright throws for Atlanta, he’s been really good all season. He’s recorded quality starts in 4 of his last 5 starts. Outside of the 21-run eruption Thursday vs the White Sox, the Astros offense hasn’t put up a ton of runs as of late. The three games prior vs Chicago they didn’t put up more than 3 in a night. Let’s roll the dice on the pitching.

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Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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