It’ll be the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) against the Troy Trojans (2-2) in college football play at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky.
Western Kentucky vs. Troy Odds
The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing Western Kentucky as the favorites.
As for the moneyline, Western Kentucky has -210 odds to pick up the win, while Troy is listed at +169 to claim victory.
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 54.5 points.
How to Watch Western Kentucky vs. Troy Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Bowling Green, Kentucky
- Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Western Kentucky sports the 41st-ranked defense this season (337.8 yards allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 10th-best with a tally of 508.3 yards per game. Offensively, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit, ranking seventh-best in the FBS by averaging 47.5 points per game. The Hilltoppers rank 36th on defense (19.3 points allowed per game). On the offensive side of the ball, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 11th-best in the FBS by totaling 339.5 per game. The Hilltoppers rank 69th on defense (227.5 passing yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, Western Kentucky ranks 59th in the FBS with 168.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 35th in rushing yards allowed per contest (110.3). On the defensive side of the ball, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 21st-best by giving up a 28.4% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 97th (34.9% third-down percentage). Western Kentucky has forced 13 total turnovers (third in the FBS) this season and have turned it over six times (66th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +7, the sixth-best in college football.
With 412.0 total yards per game on offense, Troy ranks 68th in the FBS in 2022. Defensively, it ranks 56th, surrendering 354.8 total yards per game. With 23.0 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, Troy ranks 105th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 47th, surrendering 21.0 points per game. Troy’s pass offense has been thriving, posting 343.3 passing yards per game (10th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 51st by allowing 208.0 passing yards per game. Troy’s running game has not been getting things done, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS with 68.8 rushing yards per game. It has been more productive on defense, giving up 146.8 rushing yards per contest (73rd-ranked). Troy’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit on third down this season, allowing a 45.5% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 77th with a 45.5% third-down rate. With six forced turnovers (56th in the FBS) and nine turnovers committed (112th in the FBS) this season, Troy ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -3.
Western Kentucky vs. Troy Betting Analysis
Western Kentucky Betting Insights
Western Kentucky has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 5-point favorites. This season, Western Kentucky games have hit the over twice. The Hilltoppers have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Hilltoppers have played as a moneyline favorite of -210 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.
Trojans Betting Insights
Troy have put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this year. In games it has played as 5-point underdogs or more, Troy has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. This season, Troy games have hit the over twice. The Trojans have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Trojans have won one of their three games when they’re the underdog by at least +169 on the moneyline.
Western Kentucky vs. Troy Against The Spread & Betting Records
|Point Total AVG||66.5||68.5||64.5|
|Implied Total AVG||44.0||50.0||38.0|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||2-0||1-0||1-0|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||0-1||0-0||0-1|
|Point Total AVG||53.8||52.8||54.8|
|Implied Total AVG||36.5||37.0||36.0|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||0-0||0-0||0-0|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||1-2||1-0||0-2|
Players to Watch
- Jaques Evans has hit the gridiron for four games, posting 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 23 tackles for the Hilltoppers.
- Kahlef Hailassie has played four games, delivering one interception to go along with 15 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Hilltoppers.
- With nine tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in four games, Barry Wagner Jr. has been a significant piece of the Hilltoppers’ defense in 2022.
- A big piece of the Hilltoppers’ defense, Aaron Key has three tackles and one sack in four games.
- In four games for the Trojans, T.J. Jackson has posted 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 17 tackles.
- On defense, Carlton Martial has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 29 tackles and 0.5 sacks in four games.
- In four games for the Trojans, Craig Slocum has posted 23 tackles.
- The Trojans’ Javon Solomon has collected 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in four games.
Western Kentucky vs. Troy Predictions and Pick
Western Kentucky vs. Troy betting card
- Pick ATS:
How to Bet on Western Kentucky vs. Troy
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Our prediction to win this game is Troy, and we predict that Troy will cover the spread (Western Kentucky -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 54.5 points.