Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-3) and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-3) will battle in clash of C-USA opponents at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with sportsbooks listing Western Kentucky as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Western Kentucky has -299 odds to pick up the win, while Middle Tennessee is listed at +236 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 67 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Murfreesboro, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium

Betting Preview

Western Kentucky

On offense, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit, ranking 13th-best in the FBS by compiling 497.3 yards per game. The defense ranks 70th (375.3 yards allowed per game). On the offensive side of the ball, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit, ranking 14th-best in the FBS by putting up 40.8 points per game. The Hilltoppers rank 51st on defense (23.7 points allowed per game). Western Kentucky ranks 88th in pass defense this year (243.8 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 356.2 passing yards per game. Western Kentucky is putting up 141.2 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 85th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 49th, giving up 131.5 rushing yards per game. Western Kentucky ranks 62nd in third-down efficiency (40.3%) on offense and 28th in third-down conversion rate allowed (31.6%) on defense this year. With 15 forced turnovers (third in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (54th in the FBS), Western Kentucky’s +7 turnover margin is the 10th-best in college football.

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee ranks 89th with 372.5 total yards per game on offense, and it ranks 106th with 423.7 total yards given up per game on defense. From an offensive angle, Middle Tennessee is putting up 29.8 points per game (70th-ranked). It ranks 101st in the FBS on defense (31.0 points given up per game). Middle Tennessee ranks 50th in passing yards per game (260.5), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 283.3 passing yards surrendered per contest. Middle Tennessee’s rushing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up 112.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 66th with 140.3 rushing yards surrendered per contest. Middle Tennessee has been struggling on third down, ranking 21st-worst with a 43.8% third-down conversion percentage allowed per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, posting a 38.7% third-down rate (78th-ranked). Middle Tennessee has generated 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over six times, leading to a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 15th-best in the FBS.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Analysis

Western Kentucky Betting Insights

Western Kentucky is 4-2-0 against the spread this season. Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 8-point favorites. Western Kentucky games have gone over the total three times this season. The Hilltoppers have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (2-1). The Hilltoppers have played as a moneyline favorite of -299 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Blue Raiders Betting Insights

Middle Tennessee have put together a 3-3-0 record against the spread this year. Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 8-point underdogs. This year, Middle Tennessee games have hit the over four times. The Blue Raiders have been underdogs in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests. The Blue Raiders have a record of 0-1 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +236 on the moneyline.

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Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Against The Spread & Betting Records

Western Kentucky

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.5 63.8 67.2
Implied Total AVG 41.0 43.3 38.7
ATS Record 4-2-0 1-2-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Blue Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.7 58.3 55.9
Implied Total AVG 35.0 35.0 35.0
ATS Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 0-1 2-2

Players to Watch

Western Kentucky

  • With 4.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 34 tackles in six games, Jaques Evans has been a big piece of the Hilltoppers’ defense in 2022.
  • With one interception to go with 21 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in six games, Derrick Smith has been a key part of the Hilltoppers’ defense in 2022.
  • Kahlef Hailassie has helped spur the Hilltoppers’ defense with one interception to go along with 19 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in six games.
  • Juwuan Jones, as part of the Hilltoppers’ defensive unit, has collected 1.5 sacks to go with 16 tackles and one interception in six games.

Blue Raiders

  • Jordan Ferguson has been providing a big boost on defense, recording 21 tackles, 3.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Blue Raiders.
  • Zaylin Wood has registered 13 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in six games for the Blue Raiders.
  • Decorian Patterson has 16 tackles and four interceptions in six games.
  • The Blue Raiders’ Jalen Davis has compiled 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in six games.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Predictions and Pick

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Blue Raiders (+8)

    Pick OU:

    Under (67)

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How to Bet on Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

You can bet on Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Western Kentucky, and we predict that Middle Tennessee will cover the spread (Western Kentucky -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 67 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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