USC vs. Cal Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetcBWakGzusc trojans vs california golden bears Betsperts Media & Technology

The No. 9 USC Trojans (7-1) face a Pac-12 matchup with the California Golden Bears (3-5).

USC vs. Cal Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 21.5 points, with sportsbooks listing USC as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -1710 odds to pick up the win, while Cal is listed at +822 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 60.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. Cal Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Betting Preview

USC

USC ranks 87th in total defense this season (401.8 yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in the FBS with 493.5 total yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, USC has been a top-25 unit, ranking eighth-best in the FBS by putting up 41.0 points per game. The Trojans rank 51st on defense (24.0 points allowed per game). USC ranks 94th in pass defense this year (249.6 passing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in the FBS with 307.9 passing yards per game. USC ranks 42nd in run offense (185.6 rushing yards per game) and 76th in run defense (152.1 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. Offensively, USC has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the FBS by putting up a 54.7% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 87th on defense (41.6% third-down percentage allowed). USC owns the best turnover margin in college football at +16, forcing 17 turnovers (13th in the FBS) while turning it over one time (first in the FBS).

Cal

From an offensive angle, Cal is putting up 374.5 total yards per contest (83rd-ranked). It ranks 100th in the FBS on defense (416.8 total yards allowed per game). Cal ranks 101st in the FBS with 23.4 points per game on offense, and it ranks 62nd with 25.0 points ceded per contest on defense. Cal has been struggling to stop the pass, ranking sixth-worst with 292.3 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been more productive offensively, regstering 261.3 passing yards per contest (48th-ranked). Cal’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating 113.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 37th with 124.5 rushing yards conceded per contest. With a 35.1% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Cal ranks 101st in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 72nd, surrendering a 39.1% third-down rate. Cal owns a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking ninth-best at +8.

USC vs. Cal Betting Analysis

USC Betting Insights

USC is 5-3-0 against the spread this season. USC has 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 21.5-point favorites. USC games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Trojans have not yet lost a game they played as the moneyline favorite this season, going 7-0. The Trojans have played as a moneyline favorite of -1710 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Golden Bears Betting Insights

Cal has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set total. Cal games have gone over the total three times this season. The Golden Bears have been the underdog in four games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Golden Bears have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +822 moneyline set for this game.

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USC vs. Cal Against The Spread & Betting Records

USC

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.7 64.5 68.9
Implied Total AVG 40.5 42.5 38.5
ATS Record 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Golden Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.6 51.0 47.3
Implied Total AVG 30.4 31.0 29.3
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-1 3-2-0 0-2-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-2 0-2

Players to Watch

USC

  • The Trojans’ defense has been aided by Tuli Tuipulotu, who has suited up for eight games and collected 21 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and seven sacks.
  • Shane Lee has suited up for eight games, posting one interception to go along with 45 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Trojans.
  • Eric Gentry has suited up for eight games, compiling 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception for the Trojans.
  • A big part of the Trojans’ defense, Max Williams has two interceptions to go with 42 tackles and two passes defended in eight games.

Golden Bears

  • Jackson Sirmon has totaled one interception to go with 73 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended in eight games for the Golden Bears.
  • The Golden Bears’ Craig Woodson has recorded 3.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and two interceptions in eight games.
  • In eight games for the Golden Bears, Daniel Scott has totaled 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions.
  • Femi M. Oladejo has registered one interception to go with 45 tackles and three passes defended In eight games for the Golden Bears.

USC vs. Cal Predictions and Pick

USC vs. Cal betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-21.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (60.5)

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How to Bet on USC vs. Cal

You can bet on USC vs. Cal at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Cal picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is USC, and we project that USC will cover the spread (USC -21.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 60.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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