UCLA vs. Boise State Starco Brands La Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 16, 2023

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The Starco Brands La Bowl will feature a matchup between the UCLA Bruins and the Boise State Broncos.

UCLA vs. Boise State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UCLA as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCLA has -244 odds to pick up the win, while Boise State is listed at +195 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47 points.

Game Info

How to Watch UCLA vs. Boise State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Inglewood, California
  • Stadium: SoFi Stadium

Betting Preview

UCLA

UCLA ranks 43rd in total offense this year (420.8 yards per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in the FBS with 420.8 yards allowed per game. On defense, UCLA has been a top-25 unit, ranking 15th-best by surrendering just 18.1 points per game. The offense ranks 79th (25.8 points per game). UCLA ranks 60th in pass offense (229.1 passing yards per game) and 72nd in pass defense (229.4 passing yards allowed per game) this season. UCLA has been surging on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 20th-best in rushing offense (191.8 rushing yards per game) and third-best in rushing defense (72.9 rushing yards allowed per game). UCLA is averaging a 44.6% third-down percentage offensively this year (27th in the FBS), and is allowing a 35.0% third-down conversion rate (31st) on the defensive side of the ball. With 17 forced turnovers (13th in the FBS) against 17 turnovers committed (110th in the FBS), UCLA (0) has the 66th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Boise State

Boise State’s offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 22nd-best in the FBS with 446.5 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is giving up 375.6 total yards per game, which ranks 63rd. With 32.9 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, Boise State ranks 32nd in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 59th, giving up 24.8 points per contest. Boise State’s defense has been bottom-25 in pass defense this season, allowing 251.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 59th with 229.3 passing yards per contest. Boise State’s run defense ranks 30th in the FBS with 123.7 rushing yards given up per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks seventh-best by posting 217.2 rushing yards per game. Boise State’s third-down offense has been excelling, producing a 46.5% third-down conversion percentage (17th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 58th by giving up a 38.1% third-down rate. After forcing 15 turnovers (35th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 14 times (84th in the FBS) this season, Boise State owns the 57th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

UCLA vs. Boise State Betting Analysis

UCLA Betting Insights

UCLA has covered the spread five times this season (5-7-0). UCLA has an ATS record of 3-4 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites. Games involving the UCLA have hit the over twice this season. The Bruins have won five of the eight games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%). The Bruins have a record of 2-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -244 or shorter (66.7%).

Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State have registered a 6-5-1 record against the spread this year. Boise State has not covered a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs. Boise State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under eight times this season. This season, the Broncos have been listed as the underdog in four games and failed to win any of those contests. The Broncos have played as an underdog of +195 or more once this season and lost that game.

UCLA vs. Boise State Against The Spread & Betting Records

UCLA

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 57.3 52.9
Implied Total AVG 33.4 36.5 30.3
ATS Record 5-7-0 2-4-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 2-10-0 1-5-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 3-2 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.9 53.7 57.5
Implied Total AVG 31.8 32.0 31.7
ATS Record 6-5-1 4-1-0 2-4-1
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 2-3-0 6-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-1 4-0 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

Players to Watch

UCLA

  • The Bruins’ offense has been led by Carson Steele, who has rushed for 846 yards (70.5 yards per carry) and six rushing touchdowns.
  • Steele has made an impact in the passing game, catching 17 balls on zero targets for 163 yards and two touchdowns.
  • As part of the Bruins’ running game, TJ Harden has scampered for 722 yards and six touchdowns on 5.3 YPC.
  • Harden has 14 catches (1.2 per game) for 110 yards (9.2 per game) and one touchdown in 12 games for the Bruins.
  • Logan Loya has been an integral piece of the Bruins’ air attack in 2023, tallying 58 catches for 650 yards and five touchdowns.
  • To go along with 984 passing yards (123.0 yards per game) in eight games, Ethan Garbers has passed for nine touchdowns, three interceptions, and a completion percentage of 66.4%.
  • Garbers has rushed for 89 yards (11.1 yards per game) and zero touchdowns in eight games.
  • Laiatu Latu has helped spur the Bruins’ defense with 41 tackles, seven TFL, 11 sacks, and two interceptions in 12 games.
  • Darius Muasau has helped lead the Bruins’ defense with three sacks to go along with five TFL, 52 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • The Bruins’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Kain Medrano, who has played 10 games and posted 39 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.
  • Grayson Murphy has been a significant piece of the Bruins’ defense in 2023, with 35 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks in 10 games.

Boise State

  • Ashton Jeanty has run for 1,266 yards (115.1 per game) and 14 touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Also, Jeanty has 39 catches for 552 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Taylen Green has passed for 1,752 yards (134.8 per game), completing 57.1% of his throws, with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 13 games.
  • On the ground, Green has scored nine touchdowns and accumulated 434 yards.
  • In nine games, Eric McAlister has 47 receptions for 873 yards (97.0 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • On the ground, George Holani has scored five touchdowns and picked up 606 yards (86.6 per game).
  • In the passing game, Holani has scored zero touchdowns, with 16 catches for 154 yards.
  • Andrew Simpson has recorded two interceptions to go with 58 tackles, one TFL, five sacks, and two passes defended in 13 games for the Broncos.
  • Ahmed Hassanein has delivered 51 tackles, four TFL, and 11 sacks in 13 games for the Broncos.
  • Alexander Teubner has registered 69 tackles and one interception in 11 games for the Broncos.
  • With one interception to go with 59 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in 12 games, Seyi Oladipo has been making a big difference on defense for the Broncos.

UCLA vs. Boise State Predictions and Pick

UCLA vs. Boise State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Boise State (+6.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (47)

How to Bet on UCLA vs. Boise State

You can bet on UCLA vs. Boise State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCLA vs. Boise State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Boise State, and we predict that Boise State will cover the spread (UCLA -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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