UCF vs. Georgia Tech Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 22, 2023

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The UCF Knights will play the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl.

UCF vs. Georgia Tech Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with bookmakers listing UCF as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCF has -220 odds to pick up the win, while Georgia Tech is listed at +176 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 66.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch UCF vs. Georgia Tech Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

UCF

UCF ranks 89th in total defense this year (394.1 yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking seventh-best in the FBS with 492.4 total yards per game. UCF is totaling 32.5 points per game on offense (33rd in the FBS), and ranks 59th on the other side of the ball with 25.4 points allowed per game. UCF is compiling 259.2 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 44th in the FBS. The defense ranks 39th, allowing 205.8 passing yards per contest. UCF has struggled on defense against the run, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS (188.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the team ranks fifth-best on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 233.3 rushing yards per game. UCF ranks 77th in third-down defense this year (39.6% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been shining on offense, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with a 48.7% third-down percentage. UCF owns the 75th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing 12 turnovers (74th in the FBS) while turning it over 13 times (70th in the FBS).

Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech ranks 28th in total yards per game (433.3), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 437.4 total yards conceded per contest. Georgia Tech is posting 31.2 points per contest on offense this season (43rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 30.5 points per game (103rd-ranked) on defense. In terms of passing, Georgia Tech ranks 55th in the FBS (235.5 passing yards per game) and 46th on defense (211.3 passing yards allowed per contest). While Georgia Tech’s run defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking third-worst by ceding 226.1 rushing yards per game, its offense is the 16th-best at 197.8 rushing yards per contest. Georgia Tech ranks 32nd in the FBS with a 44.2% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 108th with a 43.3% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. At -1, Georgia Tech sports the 75th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 17 forced turnovers (15th in the FBS) and 18 turnovers committed (117th in the FBS).

UCF vs. Georgia Tech Betting Analysis

UCF Betting Insights

UCF has covered the spread five times this season (5-7-0). UCF is 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 6-point favorites. This season, UCF games have hit the over six times. The Knights have compiled a 3-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games). The Knights have a 1-0 record (winning just 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -220 or shorter.

Georgia Tech Betting Insights

Georgia Tech has put together a record of 7-5-0 against the spread this year. In games this year when an underdog by 6 points or more, Georgia Tech has gone 4-2 against the spread. This year, Georgia Tech games have hit the over nine times. This season, the Yellow Jackets have been the underdog eight times and won four of those games. The Yellow Jackets have a record of when they’re set as an underdog of +176 or more by sportsbooks this season.

UCF vs. Georgia Tech Against The Spread & Betting Records

UCF

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.4 58.3 60.5
Implied Total AVG 35.3 37.2 33.3
ATS Record 5-7-0 3-3-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 4-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 1-2 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Georgia Tech

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.2 55.1 57.7
Implied Total AVG 35.6 36.3 34.6
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 9-3-0 6-1-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-4 1-2 3-2

Players to Watch

UCF

  • RJ Harvey has been putting up numbers in the ground game, rushing for 1,296 yards and 16 touchdowns in 12 games.
  • In the receiving game, Harvey has added 231 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 17 catches.
  • John Rhys Plumlee has hit the gridiron for 10 games in 2023, and he’s tallied 2,074 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 63.9% completion percentage.
  • As a runner, Plumlee has scrambled for 473 yards (5.2 YPC) and five touchdowns.
  • Javon Baker has been an important part of the Knights’ offense in 2023, amassing 43 catches for 967 yards and six touchdowns.
  • Kobe Hudson has received zero targets in 2023 and has converted them into 42 catches (3.5 per game) for 853 yards and seven TDs in 12 games.
  • With three sacks to go with one TFL and 84 tackles in 12 games, Jason Johnson has been a significant piece of the Knights’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • The Knights’ defense has been helped by Tre’Mon Morris-Brash, who has suited up for 12 games and recorded nine sacks to go with 10 TFL and 46 tackles.
  • The Knights’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Lee Hunter, who has suited up for 11 games and recorded 59 tackles, one TFL, and two sacks.
  • A big piece of the Knights’ defensive unit, Nikai Martinez has three interceptions to go with 43 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended in 11 games.

Georgia Tech

  • Haynes King has 26 touchdown passes and 15 interceptions in 12 games, completing 61.9% of his throws for 2,797 yards (233.1 per game).
  • Also, King has run for 648 yards and nine TDs.
  • In 12 games, Jamal Haynes has rushed for 931 yards (77.6 per game) and seven TDs.
  • Haynes also has 20 receptions for 151 yards and one TD.
  • In 11 games, Eric Singleton Jr. has 47 receptions for 706 yards (64.2 per game) and six touchdowns.
  • On the ground, Dontae Smith has scored three touchdowns and accumulated 439 yards (48.8 per game).
  • In the passing game, Smith has scored one touchdown, with eight receptions for 85 yards.
  • Jaylon King has been causing chaos on defense, amassing five interceptions to go with 61 tackles and six passes defended for the Yellow Jackets.
  • The Yellow Jackets’ Kyle Kennard has posted six sacks to go with five TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception in 12 games.
  • The Yellow Jackets’ Clayton Powell-Lee has amassed one interception to go with 67 tackles and two passes defended in 12 games.
  • Miles Brooks has totaled one interception to go with 61 tackles and two passes defended In 12 games for the Yellow Jackets.

UCF vs. Georgia Tech Predictions and Pick

UCF vs. Georgia Tech betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Georgia Tech (+6)

  • Pick OU: Under (66.5)

How to Bet on UCF vs. Georgia Tech

You can bet on UCF vs. Georgia Tech at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. Georgia Tech picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is UCF, and we expect that Georgia Tech will cover the spread (UCF -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 66.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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