Tulane vs. SMU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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The No. 17 Tulane Green Wave (11-1) and No. 25 SMU Mustangs (10-2) will battle in clash of AAC rivals at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Tulane vs. SMU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Tulane as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tulane has -146 odds to pick up the win, while SMU is listed at +118 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Tulane vs. SMU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Yulman Stadium

Betting Preview

Tulane

Tulane ranks 65th in total offense (391 yards per game) and 29th in total defense (329.8 yards allowed per game) this year. Tulane owns the 63rd-ranked offense this year (27.9 points per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking 17th-best with only 18.3 points allowed per game. Tulane ranks 72nd in pass offense (221.1 passing yards per game) and 99th in pass defense (242.2 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Tulane has the 57th-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (169.9 per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking sixth-best with only 87.6 rushing yards allowed per game. Tulane is averaging a 41.6% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (50th in the FBS), and is allowing a 35.3% third-down conversion rate (38th) on the other side of the ball. Tulane owns the 21st-best turnover margin in college football at +6, forcing 19 turnovers (sixth in the FBS) while turning it over 13 times (72nd in the FBS).

SMU

SMU has been top-25 on both sides of the ball this season, as it ranks ninth-best in total yards per game (476.6) and 13th-best in total yards surrendered per game (302.6). Things have been positive for SMU on both offense and defense, as it is posting 41.8 points per game (fourth-best) and ceding just 17.7 points per game (13th-best). SMU has been top-25 in passing on both sides of the ball this season, as it ranks 16th-best in passing yards per game (292.5) and 15th-best in passing yards allowed per game (184.3). SMU is compiling 184.1 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (36th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 118.3 rushing yards per game (28th-ranked) on defense. SMU’s defense has been excelling on third down, giving up a 28.2% third-down conversion rate (fourth-best). On offense, it ranks 39th in the FBS with a 42.6% third-down rate. With 10 forced turnovers (95th in the FBS) and seven turnovers committed (10th in the FBS) this season, SMU ranks 40th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +3.

Tulane vs. SMU Betting Analysis

Tulane Betting Insights

Tulane is 5-7-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 3 points or more, Tulane are 5-6 against the spread. Games involving the Tulane have hit the over twice this season. The Green Wave have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of 10 times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Green Wave have played 10 times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -146 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.

SMU Betting Insights

SMU is 7-5-0 against the spread this season. SMU has yet to cover the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs. Games involving SMU have hit the over on six occasions this year. The Mustangs have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Mustangs have entered three games this season as the underdog by +118 or more and are in those contests.

Tulane vs. SMU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tulane

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.1 57.1 50.0
Implied Total AVG 34.6 37.9 30.0
ATS Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-10-0 1-6-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 5-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

SMU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.1 58.6 59.7
Implied Total AVG 39.1 41.5 36.7
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 5-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Tulane

  • In addition to his 2,168 passing yards and 66.4% completion percentage this year, Michael Pratt has thrown for 21 touchdowns against four interceptions.
  • In addition to the stats he’s generated in the passing game, Pratt has also chipped in 321 rushing yards and four touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Makhi Hughes has run for 1,246 rushing yards (5.4 yards per carry) and seven touchdowns in 12 games for the Green Wave.
  • Lawrence Keys III has been an important part of the Green Wave’s passing offense in 2023, tallying 33 receptions for 599 yards and seven touchdowns.
  • As an important piece of the Green Wave’s pass game, Chris Brazzell II has amassed 670 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 41 receptions.
  • As part of the Green Wave’s defensive unit, Jesus Machado has recorded 91 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in 12 games.
  • With 62 tackles, one TFL, and three sacks in 12 games, Tyler Grubbs has been a key piece of the Green Wave’s defensive unit in 2023.
  • Bailey Despanie has played 12 games, delivering 58 tackles, three TFL, and one interception for the Green Wave.
  • Jarius Monroe has been a significant contributor to the Green Wave’s defense in 2023, with two interceptions to go with 45 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in 12 games.

SMU

  • Preston Stone has thrown for 3,204 yards (267 per game), completing 59.9% of his throws, with 28 touchdowns and six interceptions in 12 games.
  • Stone also has rushed for 198 yards and four TDs.
  • Jaylan Knighton has rushed for 645 yards (64.5 per game) and six touchdowns in 10 games.
  • In 10 games, RJ Maryland has 29 receptions for 462 yards (46.2 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Jordan Hudson has 27 catches for 403 yards (36.6 per game) and seven touchdowns in 11 games.
  • In 11 games for the Mustangs, Isaiah Nwokobia has registered one sack to go with two TFL, 46 tackles, and three interceptions.
  • Kobe Wilson has compiled 57 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in 12 games for the Mustangs.
  • Jonathan McGill has been doing his part on defense, collecting one TFL, 43 tackles, and one interception for the Mustangs.
  • With 44 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in 12 games, Ahmad Walker has been doing his part on defense for the Mustangs.

Tulane vs. SMU Predictions and Pick

Tulane vs. SMU betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    SMU (+3)

  • Pick OU: Over (47.5)

How to Bet on Tulane vs. SMU

You can bet on Tulane vs. SMU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tulane vs. SMU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is SMU, and we predict that SMU will cover the spread (Tulane -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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