Troy vs. Appalachian State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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Sun Belt rivals will clash when the Troy Trojans (10-2) battle the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4).

Troy vs. Appalachian State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Troy as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Troy has -223 odds to pick up the win, while Appalachian State is listed at +180 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 53 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. Appalachian State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Troy, Alabama
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Betting Preview

Troy

Troy owns the 44th-ranked offense this year (423.4 yards per game), and has been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best with just 300.3 yards allowed per game. Troy owns the 54th-ranked offense this year (29.7 points per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking ninth-best with only 16.7 points allowed per game. On offense, Troy ranks 28th in the FBS with 273.3 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 29th in passing yards allowed per contest (198). Troy sports the 78th-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (150.2 per game), and has been better defensively, ranking 14th-best with just 102.3 rushing yards allowed per game. On defense, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 15th-best by surrendering a 30.7% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 48th (41.7% third-down conversion rate). Troy has forced 12 total turnovers (70th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 12 times (54th in the FBS) for an even turnover margin, 65th-ranked in college football.

Appalachian State

Appalachian State’s defense ranks 70th in the FBS with 383.7 total yards given up per game, but it has been lifted up by its offense, which ranks 15th-best by accumulating 457.6 total yards per game. Appalachian State’s offense has been thriving, posting 35.8 points per game (17th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 70th by allowing 26.7 points per game. Appalachian State’s pass offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 23rd-best in the FBS with 278.4 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is allowing 214.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 49th. Appalachian State is compiling 179.2 rushing yards per game on offense this season (46th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 168.8 rushing yards per contest (97th-ranked) on defense. Appalachian State is posting a 42.5% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (41st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 39.9% third-down rate (78th-ranked) on defense. With 17 forced turnovers (11th in the FBS) and 13 turnovers committed (72nd in the FBS) this season, Appalachian State ranks 33rd in the FBS with a turnover margin of +4.

Troy vs. Appalachian State Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy has registered a 7-5-0 record against the spread this season. Troy has an ATS record of 6-2 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites. This season, Troy games have hit the over five times. The Trojans are 9-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 90% of those games). The Trojans have played eight times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -223 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Appalachian State Betting Insights

Appalachian State is 6-5-1 against the spread this year. Appalachian State has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs. Appalachian State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Mountaineers have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests. The Mountaineers have a record of in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +180 on the moneyline.

Troy vs. Appalachian State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.6 49.3 48.0
Implied Total AVG 30.0 30.7 29.3
ATS Record 7-5-0 2-4-0 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 5-1 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Appalachian State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.3 55.9 54.7
Implied Total AVG 32.8 33.5 32.0
ATS Record 6-5-1 3-3-0 3-2-1
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 4-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 5-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-0 2-2

Players to Watch

Troy

  • To go along with his 3,135 passing yards and 60.8% completion percentage this year, Gunnar Watson has tallied 26 touchdowns against five interceptions.
  • Kimani Vidal has put up 1,350 rushing yards (5.3 yards per carry) and nine touchdowns in 12 games for the Trojans.
  • The Trojans’ passing game has been aided by the receiving ability of Vidal, who has caught 17 balls (on zero targets) for 198 yards and one touchdown.
  • Chris Lewis has been an integral part of the Trojans’ offense in 2023, amassing 29 catches for 636 yards and nine touchdowns.
  • Jabre Barber has received zero targets in 2023 and has converted them into 59 grabs (4.9 per game) for 850 yards and five TDs in 12 games.
  • With 13 sacks to go with three TFL and 36 tackles in 10 games, Javon Solomon has been a key piece of the Trojans’ defense in 2023.
  • The Trojans’ defense has been aided by Reddy Steward, who has played 11 games and collected two TFL, 36 tackles, and four interceptions.
  • Richard Jibunor has helped carry the Trojans’ defense with 42 tackles, two TFL, and nine sacks in 10 games.
  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Jayden McDonald, who has suited up for 11 games, registering one sack to go with four TFL and 54 tackles.

Appalachian State

  • In 12 games, Joey Aguilar has passed for 3,271 yards (272.6 per game), with 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions, and a completion percentage of 63.5%.
  • Also, Aguilar has run for 274 yards and two TDs.
  • In 12 games, Kaedin Robinson has 53 catches for 717 yards (59.8 per game) and 10 touchdowns.
  • Nathaniel Noel has run for 780 yards (78 per game) and five touchdowns in 10 games.
  • On the ground, Kanye Roberts has scored five touchdowns and picked up 595 yards (59.5 per game).
  • Andrew Parker has compiled 78 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks in 11 games for the Mountaineers.
  • Nicholas Ross has compiled 75 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception in 11 games for the Mountaineers.
  • The Mountaineers’ Tyrek Funderburk has registered four interceptions to go with 36 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended in 10 games.
  • On defense, Jordan Favors has supplied 32 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions in 10 games.

Troy vs. Appalachian State Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. Appalachian State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Troy (-5.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (53)

How to Bet on Troy vs. Appalachian State

You can bet on Troy vs. Appalachian State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. Appalachian State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Troy, and we project that Troy will cover the spread (Troy -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 53 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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