Texas vs. Oklahoma State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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The No. 7 Texas Longhorns (11-1) hit the field against the No. 19 Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -703 odds to pick up the win, while Oklahoma State is listed at +485 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Texas vs. Oklahoma State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas

Texas sports the 27th-ranked defense this season (325.3 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 14th-best with a tally of 460.8 yards per game. Texas has been surging on both offense and defense, ranking 22nd-best in scoring offense (35.1 points per game) and 11th-best in scoring defense (17.3 points allowed per game). On offense, Texas ranks 30th in the FBS with 272.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 94th in passing yards allowed per contest (240.1). Texas has been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (23rd-best with 188.8 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (fifth-best with 85.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best by surrendering a 25.6% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 97th (36.1% third-down conversion rate). With 17 forced turnovers (11th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (41st in the FBS), Texas’ +6 turnover margin is the 21st-best in college football.

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State has been struggling defensively, ranking 20th-worst with 425.1 total yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 436.1 total yards per contest (28th-ranked). Oklahoma State ranks 49th in the FBS with 30.2 points per game on offense, and it ranks 77th with 27.3 points surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. Oklahoma State has been struggling to stop the pass, ranking 22nd-worst with 251.2 passing yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 265.4 passing yards per contest (37th-ranked). Oklahoma State ranks 56th in the FBS with 170.7 rushing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 106th with 173.9 rushing yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of third-down efficiency, Oklahoma State ranks 79th in the FBS (37.7% third-down conversion percentage) and 86th on the other side of the ball (40.5% third-down rate allowed). Oklahoma State owns a -2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 80th in the FBS.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Betting Analysis

Texas Betting Insights

Texas has covered the spread six times over 12 games with a set spread. Texas is 4-3 ATS when playing as at least 14.5-point favorites. Texas games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Longhorns have won 10 of the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (90.9%). The Longhorns have played in seven games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -703 or shorter and won each time.

Oklahoma State Betting Insights

Oklahoma State has put together a record of 7-5-0 against the spread this season. Oklahoma State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Cowboys have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won four of those games. The Cowboys have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +485 odds on them winning this game.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.6 53.3 54.0
Implied Total AVG 34.9 36.7 33.2
ATS Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-1 2-4-0 2-3-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-1 6-0 4-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Oklahoma State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.8 55.1 51.9
Implied Total AVG 30.9 33.1 27.8
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-4-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 3-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-1 3-0 1-1

Players to Watch

Texas

  • In 10 games for the Longhorns, Jonathon Brooks has tallied 1,138 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns while averaging 6.1 yards per carry.
  • In addition to the stats he’s put up in the ground attack, Brooks has 25 catches (on zero targets) for 286 yards and one touchdown.
  • In 10 games, Quinn Ewers has aired it out for 2,709 yards (270.9 yards per game) to go along with 17 touchdowns, five interceptions, and a completion percentage of 69.8%.
  • As a runner, Ewers has scampered for 15 yards (0.3 YPC) and five touchdowns.
  • As part of the Longhorns’ air attack, Xavier Worthy has reeled in 67 balls on zero targets for 883 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Adonai Mitchell has been targeted zero times for 45 catches, 704 yards and nine touchdowns in 12 games.
  • The Longhorns’ defense has been aided by the play of Jaylan Ford, who has played 11 games and totaled 71 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.
  • Anthony Hill Jr. has helped carry the Longhorns’ defense with four sacks to go along with two TFL and 51 tackles in 12 games.
  • Jerrin Thompson has helped spur the Longhorns’ defense with three interceptions to go along with 28 tackles and three passes defended in 10 games.
  • Jahdae Barron has been a big contributor to the Longhorns’ defensive unit in 2023, with one interception to go with 43 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 10 games.

Oklahoma State

  • Ollie Gordon has rushed for 1,579 yards (131.6 per game) and 20 touchdowns in 12 games.
  • In the passing game, Gordon has scored one touchdown, with 33 receptions for 272 yards.
  • In 12 games, Alan Bowman has passed for 2,808 yards (234.0 per game), with 10 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and a completion percentage of 59.9%.
  • In addition, Bowman has run for 20 yards and two TDs.
  • In 12 games, Brennan Presley has 74 catches for 737 yards (61.4 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Rashod Owens has 49 receptions for 646 yards (58.7 per game) and one touchdown in 11 games.
  • On defense, Nickolas Martin has helped lead the charge with one interception to go with 107 tackles, three TFL, six sacks, and one pass defended in 12 games.
  • In 12 games for the Cowboys, Kendal Daniels has amassed one interception to go with 81 tackles, one TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • In 11 games for the Cowboys, Trey Rucker has amassed 78 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.
  • With 58 tackles, five TFL, and five sacks in 11 games, Collin Oliver has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Cowboys.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Predictions and Pick

Texas vs. Oklahoma State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Texas (-14.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (57.5)

How to Bet on Texas vs. Oklahoma State

You can bet on Texas vs. Oklahoma State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Oklahoma State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Texas, and we project that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -14.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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