Texas Tech vs. Cal Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 16, 2023

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders will battle the California Golden Bears in the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl.

Texas Tech vs. Cal Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas Tech as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas Tech has -177 odds to pick up the win, while Cal is listed at +140 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 55.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Texas Tech vs. Cal Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Shreveport, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Independence Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas Tech

Texas Tech is totaling 387.7 yards per game on offense (64th in the FBS), and ranks 89th on defense, yielding 394.1 yards allowed per game. Texas Tech is averaging 26.8 points per game on offense (68th in the FBS), and ranks 72nd on the other side of the ball with 27.0 points allowed per game. Texas Tech is totaling 221.1 passing yards per game offensively this year (72nd in the FBS), and is surrendering 226.6 passing yards per game (69th) on defense. On offense, Texas Tech ranks 57th in the FBS with 166.6 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 94th in rushing yards allowed per contest (167.5). Texas Tech is averaging a 38.6% third-down percentage on offense this season (68th in the FBS), and is giving up a 42.1% third-down conversion rate (102nd) on the other side of the ball. With 12 forced turnovers (72nd in the FBS) against 18 turnovers committed (120th in the FBS), Texas Tech’s -6 turnover margin is the 20th-worst in college football.

Cal

Cal is posting 395.3 total yards per game on offense this season (57th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 417.2 total yards per game (108th-ranked). Cal ranks 39th in points per game (31.6), but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-worst in the FBS with 32.7 points ceded per contest. Cal ranks 81st in passing yards per game (213.8), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 283.3 passing yards surrendered per contest. With 181.6 rushing yards per game on offense, Cal ranks 37th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 39th, giving up 133.8 rushing yards per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Cal ranks 63rd in the FBS (39.5% third-down conversion rate) and 89th on defense (40.7% third-down rate allowed). Cal owns a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 47th in the FBS.

Texas Tech vs. Cal Betting Analysis

Texas Tech Betting Insights

Texas Tech has gone 5-7-0 against the spread this season. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites. Texas Tech games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Red Raiders have gone 4-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games). The Red Raiders are 0-1 (winning just 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -177 or shorter.

Cal Betting Insights

Cal has covered the spread in a matchup six times this year (6-6-0). Cal is 3-4 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. This year, Cal games have hit the over seven times. The Golden Bears have been underdogs in seven games this season and won one (14.3%) of those contests. The Golden Bears are this season when entering a game as the underdog by +140 or more on the moneyline.

Texas Tech vs. Cal Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas Tech

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 62.2 54.6
Implied Total AVG 33.4 35.8 31.0
ATS Record 5-7-0 3-3-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 3-3-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-4 3-1 1-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Cal

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.1 55.3 52.9
Implied Total AVG 32.4 32.0 32.8
ATS Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 3-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-6 0-3 1-3

Players to Watch

Texas Tech

  • The Red Raiders’ offense has been led by Tahj Brooks, who has rushed for 1,447 yards (120.6 yards per carry) and nine rushing touchdowns.
  • In 10 games, Behren Morton has aired it out for 1,498 yards (149.8 yards per game) to go along with 12 touchdowns, seven interceptions, and a completion percentage of 61.8%.
  • When he’s not moving the ball through the air, Morton has rushed for 9 yards (0.9 yards per game) and four touchdowns in 10 games.
  • Tyler Shough has been an important part of the Red Raiders’ offense this season, registering 746 passing yards with seven passing touchdowns, four interceptions and a 59.3% completion percentage.
  • On the ground, Shough has contributed 149 rushing yards and two touchdowns in five games.
  • Myles Price has received zero targets in 2023 and has converted them into 43 catches (4.3 per game) for 410 yards and five TDs in 10 games.
  • The Red Raiders’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Ben Roberts, who has played 12 games and recorded 91 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one interception.
  • Dadrion Taylor has hit the gridiron for 12 games, delivering four interceptions to go along with 63 tackles, one sack, and six passes defended for the Red Raiders.
  • With 67 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 11 games, CJ Baskerville has been an important contributor to the Red Raiders’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • Jesiah Pierre, as part of the Red Raiders’ defensive unit, has totaled 60 tackles in eight games.

Cal

  • Jaydn Ott has rushed for 1,261 yards (114.6 per game) and 11 touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Ott also has 21 catches for 141 yards and two TDs.
  • Fernando Mendoza has passed for 1,447 yards (180.9 per game), completing 62.4% of his throws, with 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions in eight games.
  • On the ground, Mendoza has scored two touchdowns and accumulated 80 yards.
  • Jeremiah Hunter has 59 receptions for 675 yards (56.3 per game) and seven touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Isaiah Ifanse has rushed for 365 yards (45.6 per game) and seven touchdowns in eight games.
  • In addition, Ifanse has eight catches for 50 yards and one touchdown.
  • Kaleb Elarms-Orr has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering one interception to go with 80 tackles, one sack, and three passes defended for the Golden Bears.
  • In 11 games for the Golden Bears, Pat McMorris has delivered one interception to go with 69 tackles, one sack, and three passes defended.
  • Craig Woodson has been wreaking havoc on defense, compiling one TFL, 69 tackles, and one interception for the Golden Bears.
  • The Golden Bears’ Cade Uluave has posted 53 tackles, two sacks, and two interceptions in six games.

Texas Tech vs. Cal Predictions and Pick

Texas Tech vs. Cal betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Cal (+3.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (55.5)

How to Bet on Texas Tech vs. Cal

You can bet on Texas Tech vs. Cal at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas Tech vs. Cal picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Texas Tech, and we predict that Cal will cover the spread (Texas Tech -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 55.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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