Tennessee vs. LSU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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SEC foes will do battle when the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) meet the No. 25 LSU Tigers (4-1) at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

Tennessee vs. LSU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -152 odds to pick up the win, while LSU is listed at +123 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 65 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. LSU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Tiger Stadium

Betting Preview

Tennessee

Tennessee owns the 94th-ranked defense this year (407.0 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with a tally of 559.3 yards per game. Tennessee ranks 28th in scoring defense this season (19.0 points allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking second-best in the FBS with 48.5 points per game. Tennessee has struggled on defense against the pass, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS (309.3 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the Volunteers rank best on the other side of the ball, averaging 365.8 passing yards per game. Tennessee sports the 31st-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (193.5 per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking 21st-best with only 97.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Tennessee ranks 39th in third-down percentage this year (45.1%), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th-best in the FBS with a 28.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. Tennessee ranks 34th in college football with a +3 turnover margin after forcing 8 turnovers (45th in the FBS) while committing five (29th in the FBS).

LSU

LSU has been thriving on defense, giving up just 293.8 total yards per contest (19th-best). On offense, it ranks 42nd by putting up 443.4 total yards per game. LSU’s defensive unit has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 14th-best in the FBS with 14.8 points conceded per contest. In terms of offense, it is generating 35.6 points per game, which ranks 33rd. LSU has been excelling on pass defense, allowing only 183.8 passing yards per contest (25th-best). Offensively, it ranks 68th in the FBS by piling up 247.6 passing yards per game. LSU ranks 28th in the FBS with 195.8 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 32nd with 110.0 rushing yards allowed per game on the defensive side of the ball. LSU is posting a 45.5% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (36th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing a 34.8% third-down rate (51st-ranked) on defense. LSU has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 21st-best at +5.

Tennessee vs. LSU Betting Analysis

Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee has gone 3-1-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 3 points or more so far this season, the Tennessee went 3-1 against the spread. This season, three Tennessee games have gone over the point total. The Volunteers have been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Volunteers have played as a moneyline favorite of -152 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Tigers Betting Insights

LSU is 2-1-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 3-point underdogs or more, LSU has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. Games involving LSU have yet to hit the over once this season. The Tigers won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Tigers have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +123 moneyline set for this game.

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Tennessee vs. LSU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tennessee

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.6 65.3 62.5
Implied Total AVG 45.0 48.7 34.0
ATS Record 3-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 3-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.5 48.8 45.0
Implied Total AVG 31.0 33.0 27.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Tennessee

  • The Volunteers’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Kamal Hadden, who has suited up for four games and totaled 19 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two interceptions.
  • Jeremy Banks has helped carry the Volunteers’ defense with 1.0 TFL and 21 tackles in four games.
  • With 19 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in four games, Trevon Flowers has been a key piece of the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Aaron Beasley, as part of the Volunteers’ defense, has posted 1.0 TFL and 27 tackles in four games.

Tigers

  • On defense, BJ Ojulari has helped lead the charge with 12 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in five games.
  • On defense, Jay Ward has helped lead the charge with 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in five games.
  • Mekhi Wingo has recorded 0.5 sacks to go with 13 tackles in five games for the Tigers.
  • With nine tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in five games, West Weeks has been making a big difference on defense for the Tigers.

Tennessee vs. LSU Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. LSU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+3)

    Pick OU:

    Under (65)

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How to Bet on Tennessee vs. LSU

You can bet on Tennessee vs. LSU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. LSU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is LSU, and we project that LSU will cover the spread (Tennessee -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 65 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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