TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The No. 8 TCU Horned Frogs (6-0) and No. 17 Kansas State Wildcats (5-1) will battle in clash of Big 12 foes at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas.

TCU vs. Kansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing TCU as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, TCU has -174 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas State is listed at +141 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 54.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Kansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Betting Preview


TCU has the 90th-ranked defense this year (400.0 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with a tally of 526.7 yards per game. TCU sports the 71st-ranked defense this year (26.5 points allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking third-best with 45.8 points per game. TCU ranks 103rd in pass defense this year (264.8 passing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 22nd-best in the FBS with 297.5 passing yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, TCU has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 14th-best in the FBS by averaging 229.2 per game. The Horned Frogs rank 54th on defense (135.2 rushing yards allowed per game). TCU ranks 42nd in third-down efficiency (44.4%) on offense and 69th in third-down conversion rate allowed (38.9%) on defense this season. TCU has the 27th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +4, forcing eight turnovers (88th in the FBS) while turning it over four times (fifth in the FBS).

Kansas State

Kansas State ranks 66th with 403.3 total yards per game on offense, and it ranks 46th with 354.5 total yards ceded per game on defense. Kansas State ranks 70th in the FBS with 28.7 points per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 14th-best by allowing just 16.7 points per game. Kansas State’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling 158.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 56th with 221.7 passing yards ceded per contest. Kansas State’s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks seventh-best in the FBS with 244.5 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 132.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 50th. Offensively, Kansas State is a bottom-25 unit on third down, producing a 31.8% third-down conversion percentage (15th-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on the other side of the ball, giving up a 29.1% third-down rate (12th-best). Kansas State sports a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking sixth-best at +8.

TCU vs. Kansas State Betting Analysis

TCU Betting Insights

TCU has covered the spread four times in six games with a set spread. In games it has played as 3.5-point favorites or more, TCU has an ATS record of 2-1-1. TCU games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Horned Frogs have not yet lost when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0. The Horned Frogs have won all four games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Kansas State has covered the spread in a game five times this year (5-1-0). Kansas State is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. Kansas State games have gone over the total twice this season. The Wildcats won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Wildcats have played as an underdog of +141 or more once this season and won that game.


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TCU vs. Kansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 67.8 68.7 67.0
Implied Total AVG 40.2 42.7 37.7
ATS Record 4-1-1 2-1-0 2-0-1
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 3-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.2 52.3 49.0
Implied Total AVG 31.5 33.0 28.5
ATS Record 5-1-0 3-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Players to Watch


  • The Horned Frogs’ defensive unit has been aided by Jamoi Hodge, who has suited up for six games and recorded 37 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • With 29 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in six games, Dee Winters has been an important piece of the Horned Frogs’ defense in 2022.
  • The Horned Frogs’ defense has been aided by Abraham Camara, who has played six games and compiled one interception to go along with 25 tackles and two passes defended.
  • A key contributor to the Horned Frogs’ defense, Mark Perry has 31 tackles and 2.0 TFL in six games.


  • Felix Anudike has been providing a big boost on defense, amassing 20 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Wildcats.
  • In six games for the Wildcats, Austin Moore has totaled one interception to go with 29 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • In six games for the Wildcats, Kobe Savage has delivered 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions.
  • With 15 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games, Khalid Duke has been providing a big boost on defense for the Wildcats.

TCU vs. Kansas State Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Kansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (-3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (54.5)


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How to Bet on TCU vs. Kansas State

You can bet on TCU vs. Kansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Kansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is TCU, and we predict that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 54.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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