SMU vs. Boston College Wasabi Fenway Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 28, 2023

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The Wasabi Fenway Bowl will see the SMU Mustangs play the Boston College Eagles.

SMU vs. Boston College Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with bookmakers listing SMU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, SMU has -564 odds to pick up the win, while Boston College is listed at +398 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 49.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch SMU vs. Boston College Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Betting Preview

SMU

SMU has been a handful for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (11th-best with 469.7 yards per game) and total defense (10th-best with 300.0 yards allowed per game) this year. SMU has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking sixth-best in scoring offense (40.6 points per game) and 12th-best in scoring defense (17.4 points allowed per game). SMU has been clicking on all fronts in the passing game this season, ranking 19th-best in passing (285.6 passing yards per game) and 22nd-best in passing defense (188.4 passing yards allowed per game). Defensively, SMU has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 18th-best by allowing only 111.6 per game. The Mustangs rank 31st on offense (184.1 rushing yards per game). SMU sports the 42nd-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (42.1% conversion rate), and has been more effective defensively, ranking third-best with a 27.1% third-down percentage allowed. SMU owns the 47th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing 11 turnovers (90th in the FBS) while turning it over nine times (23rd in the FBS).

Boston College

In terms of total yards, Boston College ranks 70th in the FBS (383.4 total yards per game) and 79th on the other side of the ball (390.6 total yards allowed per contest). Boston College is putting up 25.0 points per game on offense this season (81st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 29.5 points per contest (96th-ranked) on defense. In terms of passing, Boston College ranks 103rd in the FBS (191.0 passing yards per game) and 26th on the other side of the ball (196.6 passing yards allowed per contest). Boston College ranks 10th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game on defense (194.0), but at least it has been surging on offense, ranking 19th-best in rushing yards per contest (192.4). In terms of third-down efficiency, Boston College ranks 50th in the FBS (41.1% third-down conversion percentage) and 68th defensively (39.3% third-down rate allowed). Boston College has produced 12 forced turnovers (78th in the FBS) and committed 15 turnovers (90th in the FBS) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 91st in the FBS.

SMU vs. Boston College Betting Analysis

SMU Betting Insights

SMU has covered the spread eight times over 13 games with a set spread. In games it is played as 13.5-point favorites or more, SMU has an ATS record of 6-1. SMU games have gone over the total six times this season. The Mustangs have won all nine of the games they have been the moneyline favorite this season. The Mustangs have won all six games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -564 or shorter.

Boston College Betting Insights

Boston College is 4-8-0 against the spread this year. Boston College has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs. Boston College games have gone over the total eight times this season. This season, the Eagles have been the underdog seven times and won two of those games. This season, the Eagles have been at least a +398 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

SMU vs. Boston College Against The Spread & Betting Records

SMU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.2 58.6 57.9
Implied Total AVG 38.0 41.5 35.0
ATS Record 8-5-0 5-1-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-3-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 5-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

Boston College

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.8 49.6 50.0
Implied Total AVG 29.4 30.4 28.0
ATS Record 4-8-0 1-6-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 5-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 0-3 2-2

Players to Watch

SMU

  • In addition to his 3,204 passing yards and 59.9% completion percentage this season, Preston Stone has tallied 28 touchdowns against six interceptions.
  • Stone has been providing value with his legs, as he’s run for 198 yards (3.2 YPC) and four rushing touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Jaylan Knighton has collected 720 rushing yards (5.6 yards per carry) and seven touchdowns in 11 games for the Mustangs.
  • As part of the Mustangs’ air attack, RJ Maryland has grabbed 34 balls on zero targets for 518 yards and seven touchdowns.
  • Jordan Hudson has been targeted zero times for 28 catches, 412 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games.
  • The Mustangs’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Isaiah Nwokobia, who has suited up for 12 games and registered 51 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four interceptions.
  • Kobe Wilson has hit the gridiron for 13 games, totaling one interception to go along with 65 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended for the Mustangs.
  • The Mustangs’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Jonathan McGill, who has played 13 games and compiled one interception to go along with 48 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended.
  • The Mustangs’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Ahmad Walker, who has played 13 games, recording one sack to go with one TFL and 52 tackles.

Boston College

  • In 12 games, Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 2,168 yards (180.7 per game), with 15 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and a completion percentage of 57.1%.
  • Castellanos also has run for 957 yards and 11 TDs.
  • In 10 games, Kye Robichaux has rushed for 691 yards (69.1 per game) and seven TDs.
  • In the passing game, Lewis Bond has scored seven TDs, catching 48 balls for 611 yards (50.9 per game).
  • In nine games, Alex Broome has run for 258 yards (28.7 per game) and one TD.
  • In addition, Broome has five receptions for 43 yards and one touchdown.
  • In 12 games for the Eagles, John Pupel has delivered one TFL and 73 tackles.
  • The Eagles’ Vinny DePalma has delivered one TFL and 83 tackles in 12 games.
  • Elijah Jones has one TFL, 25 tackles, and five interceptions in 10 games.
  • Amari Jackson has amassed one interception to go with 34 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended In 11 games for the Eagles.

SMU vs. Boston College Predictions and Pick

SMU vs. Boston College betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    SMU (-13.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (49.5)

How to Bet on SMU vs. Boston College

You can bet on SMU vs. Boston College at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s SMU vs. Boston College picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is SMU, and we expect that SMU will cover the spread (SMU -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 49.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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