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The Penn State Nittany Lions will battle the Ole Miss Rebels in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl.
Penn State vs. Ole Miss Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Penn State as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Penn State has -218 odds to pick up the win, while Ole Miss is listed at +175 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 53 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Penn State vs. Ole Miss Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, December 30, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Betting Preview
Penn State
Penn State ranks 62nd in total offense this year (392.3 yards per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the FBS with 392.3 yards allowed per game. Penn State has been finding success on both offense and defense, ranking 11th-best in scoring offense (37.2 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (11.4 points allowed per game). Penn State ranks 94th in passing yards this year (204.3 per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 154.9 passing yards allowed per game. Penn State has been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (25th-best with 188.0 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (best with 70.8 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. Penn State ranks 55th in third-down percentage this year (40.6%), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking seventh-best in the FBS with a 29.6% third-down percentage allowed. Penn State has forced 18 total turnovers (12th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over two times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +16, the best in college football.
Ole Miss
Ole Miss’ offense has been thriving, putting up 456.2 total yards per contest (16th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 58th by allowing 371.9 total yards per game. Ole Miss’ offense has been consistently moving the chains, piling up 34.8 points per contest (18th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 38th by surrendering 22.3 points per game. Ole Miss’ pass defense ranks 61st in the FBS with 220.0 passing yards given up per game, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 24th-best by racking up 276.6 passing yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, Ole Miss is compiling 179.6 rushing yards per game (37th-ranked). It ranks 69th in the FBS on defense (151.9 rushing yards given up per game). Ole Miss ranks 87th in the FBS with a 36.7% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 60th with a 38.5% third-down percentage allowed on defense. Ole Miss has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +7 ranks 13th-best in the FBS, with 14 forced turnovers (48th in the nation) and seven turnovers committed (eighth in the nation).
Penn State vs. Ole Miss Betting Analysis
Penn State Betting Insights
Penn State has gone 9-3-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 5.5 points or more, Penn State are 9-1 against the spread. This season, Penn State games have hit the over six times. The Nittany Lions have won all eight of the games they have been listed as the moneyline favorite this season. The Nittany Lions have played in eight games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter and won every time.
Ole Miss Betting Insights
Ole Miss is 6-4-2 against the spread this season. Ole Miss has not covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs (0-2). Games involving Ole Miss have hit the over on five occasions this season. The Rebels have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Rebels have entered four games this season as the underdog by +175 or more and are in those contests.
Penn State vs. Ole Miss Against The Spread & Betting Records
Penn State
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 46.9 | 46.9 | 46.9 |
| Implied Total AVG | 33.8 | 35.9 | 31.0 |
| ATS Record | 9-3-0 | 5-2-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-6-0 | 4-3-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 8-0 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Ole Miss
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 59.5 | 61.2 | 57.2 |
| Implied Total AVG | 37.4 | 40.1 | 33.6 |
| ATS Record | 6-4-2 | 4-2-1 | 2-2-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-7-0 | 4-3-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 7-0 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Penn State
- In addition to his 2,336 passing yards and 61.3% completion percentage this season, Drew Allar has tallied 23 touchdowns against one interception.
- Allar has been providing value with his legs, as he’s run for 170 yards (2.5 YPC) and four rushing touchdowns in 12 games.
- As part of the Nittany Lions’ ground game, Nicholas Singleton has run for 702 yards and eight touchdowns on 4.3 YPC.
- As a receiver, Singleton has contributed 22 receptions on zero targets for 222 yards and one touchdown.
- Kaytron Allen has scampered for 851 yards (70.9 yards per carry) and six rushing touchdowns for the Nittany Lions in 2023.
- Allen has put up 81 receiving yards and one touchdown on 14 receptions as a pass-catcher.
- Keandre Lambert has gotten zero targets in 2023 and has turned them into 53 catches (4.8 per game) for 673 yards and four TDs in 11 games.
- Kobe King has helped spur the Nittany Lions’ defense with 50 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in 11 games.
- Jaylen Reed has suited up for 11 games, compiling two interceptions to go along with 39 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Nittany Lions.
- Abdul Carter has helped lead the Nittany Lions’ defense with one interception to go along with 40 tackles, one TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.
- With six sacks to go along with four TFL and 35 tackles, Adisa Isaac has helped carry the Nittany Lions’ defense over 10 games.
Ole Miss
- In 12 games, Jaxson Dart has passed for 2,985 yards (248.8 per game), with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions, and a completion percentage of 65.2%.
- On the ground, Dart has scored seven touchdowns and picked up 377 yards.
- In 12 games, Quinshon Judkins has run for 1,052 yards (87.7 per game) and 15 TDs.
- Judkins also has 21 catches for 135 yards and one TD.
- Tre Harris has 47 receptions for 851 yards (85.1 per game) and eight touchdowns in 10 games.
- Dayton Wade has 52 catches for 769 yards (64.1 per game) and four touchdowns in 12 games.
- As a tone-setter on defense, the Rebels’ Trey Washington has registered 68 tackles, two TFL, and three interceptions in 11 games.
- In 11 games for the Rebels, John Saunders Jr. has collected three interceptions to go with 50 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.
- Ashanti Cistrunk has two sacks to go with two TFL, 57 tackles, and one interception in 10 games.
- Daijahn Anthony has registered one TFL, 49 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games for the Rebels.
Penn State vs. Ole Miss Predictions and Pick
Penn State vs. Ole Miss betting card
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (-5.5)
- Pick OU: Under (53)
How to Bet on Penn State vs. Ole Miss
You can bet on Penn State vs. Ole Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our pick to win this contest is Penn State, and we expect that Penn State will cover the spread (Penn State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 53 points.