Ole Miss Rebels vs. Troy Trojans Picks and Prediction – September 3

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The No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (0-0) play the Troy Trojans (0-0) in college football action at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi.

Ole Miss vs. Troy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 21.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Ole Miss as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Ole Miss has -2179 odds to pick up the win, while Troy is listed at +967 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Ole Miss vs. Troy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Oxford, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Betting Preview

Ole Miss

  • Ole Miss averaged 33.7 points per game last season, 7.6 more than Troy gave up per outing (26.1).
  • The Rebels were 8-2 against the spread and 10-0 overall in games when they put up over 26.1 points last year.
  • Ole Miss collected 155.9 more yards per game (493.2) than Troy gave up per matchup (337.3) last season.
  • The Rebels were 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 overall when the team piled up over 337.3 yards last year.
  • Last year Ole Miss ran for 76.8 more yards per game (219.2) than Troy allowed per outing (142.4).
  • When the Rebels rushed for over 142.4 yards last season, they had a 7-3 ATS record and a 9-1 overall record.


  • Troy put up just 1.9 fewer points per game (22.8) than Ole Miss surrendered (24.7) last year.
  • The Trojans were 2-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall last season when the team recorded over 24.7 points.
  • Troy racked up 82.4 fewer yards per game (338.0) than Ole Miss allowed (420.4) per outing last year.
  • Troy rushed for 99.3 yards per game last season, 91.1 fewer than the 190.4 Ole Miss allowed per contest.

Ole Miss vs. Troy Betting Analysis

Ole Miss Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, Ole Miss went 8-5-0 last season.
  • As a 21.5-point or greater favorite, Ole Miss had one win ATS (1-1) last year.
  • The Rebels won 85.7% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-1).
  • The Rebels never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -2179 or shorter.
  • Ole Miss had three of its 13 games hit the over last year.

Trojans Betting Insights

  • Troy posted a 3-8-0 record against the spread last season.
  • Last season, the Trojans were listed as the underdog in six games and failed to win any of those contests.
  • The Trojans were not a bigger underdog last season than the +967 moneyline set for this game.
  • Last season, five of Troy’s 11 games hit the over.

Ole Miss vs. Troy Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ole Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 69.9 68.3 73.4
Implied Total AVG 40.5 40.9 39.8
ATS Record 8-5-0 6-3-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-10-0 3-6-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 5-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.2 52.0 48.7
Implied Total AVG 29.8 29.0 30.5
ATS Record 3-8-0 1-4-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-1 3-1-1 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-3 0-3

Last Season’s Leaders

Ole Miss

  • On defense last year, Sam Williams helped keep opposing offenses in check with 39 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks in 13 games.
  • Chance Campbell had 66 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and six sacks.
  • A.J. Finley posted 69 tackles and three interceptions in 13 games played a season ago.
  • Mark Robinson delivered 53 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three sacks over 13 games played in 2021.


  • Carlton Martial was on the field for 12 games, compiling 2.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL, 105 tackles, and one interception.
  • On defense, Javon Solomon amassed 11.0 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL, 40 tackles, and one interception.
  • Richard Jibunor recorded two interceptions to go along with 35 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 7.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 12 games.
  • With 3.5 sacks to go along with 6.0 TFL, 40 tackles, and two interceptions, TJ Harris made a big difference on D.

Ole Miss vs. Troy Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Ole Miss, and we expect that Ole Miss will cover the spread (Ole Miss -21.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57 points.

Ole Miss vs. Troy betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (-21.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (57)

How to Bet on Ole Miss vs. Troy

You can bet on Ole Miss vs. Troy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ole Miss vs. Troy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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