Dallas vs. Oklahoma City Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, May 11, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks will face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Mavericks are a 2.5-point favorite against the Thunder when Mavericks and Thunder take the court. The game features an over/under of 218.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds

Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Thunder

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorite.

Dallas vs. Oklahoma City Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dallas has -142 odds to win the game, while Oklahoma City is listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 218 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: ABC

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Mavericks have put together a record of 48-34-0 against the spread this season. Dallas has won 37, or 75.5%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season. This season, 36 of the Mavericks’ games have gone over the point total.

The Thunder have covered the spread 46 times in 82 games with a set spread. Oklahoma City has been an underdog in 21 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those contests. This year, 43 of the Thunder’s games have gone over the point total.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Key Players to Watch

Mavericks

Luka Doncic posts 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest, making 48.7% of shots from the field and 38.2% from downtown with 4.1 made 3-pointers per game (second in NBA). Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Daniel Gafford’s numbers on the season are 11.0 points, 1.6 assists and 7.6 boards per game. P.J. Washington averages 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per game, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 32.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gives the Thunder 30.1 points, 5.5 boards and 6.2 assists per game. He also averages 2.0 steals (first in league) and 0.9 blocks. Chet Holmgren contributes with 16.5 points per game, plus 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists. Jalen Williams gets the Thunder 19.1 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per game, plus 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks. Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 6.4 boards and 4.8 assists, making 47.5% of his shots from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

So far this year, the Mavericks are posting 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and giving up 115.6 points per contest (20th-ranked). With 42.9 rebounds per game, the Mavericks rank 21st in the NBA. They allow 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league. The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 dimes per game.

Dallas is averaging 118.7 points per game this season at home, which is 1.7 more points than it is averaging away from home (117.0). Dallas is top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.6 treys per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with a 36.9% shooting percentage from downtown. Dallas is giving up 13.1 three-pointers per game (18th-ranked in league). It is allowing opponents to shoot 36.8% (18th-ranked) from downtown.

The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Dallas has gone over the total in four of its past 10 outings. The Mavericks have been racking up 103.1 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s significantly lower than the 117.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Dallas has been locking down opponents on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 107.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 115.6 it has surrendered per game this season.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder are the third-best team in the league in points scored (120.1 per game) and 11th in points conceded (112.7). On the glass, Oklahoma City is fourth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (42.0 per game). It is 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game). This season the Thunder are ranked 11th in the NBA in assists at 27.1 per game.

At home, the Thunder average 123.1 points per game. Away, they score 117.0. The Thunder are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made (13.3 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (38.9%). Defensively, Oklahoma City is 22nd in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.4. It is 12th in 3-point percentage conceded at 36.1%.

The Thunder have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Oklahoma City has hit the over in three of its last 10 outings. Over its past 10 games, Oklahoma City is averaging 114.7 points per game, compared to its season average of 120.1. In their last 10 games, the Thunder are allowing 95.9 points per contest, 16.8 fewer points than their season average (112.7).

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Thunder, and we predict that Thunder will cover the spread (Mavericks -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 218 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Thunder

You can bet on Dallas vs. Oklahoma City at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dallas vs. Oklahoma City picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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