Boston vs. Cleveland Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, May 11, 2024

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The Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers are battling in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 next to come.

The Celtics are a 7.5-point favorite against the Cavaliers when the Celtics and the Cavaliers meet. The matchup features an over/under of 211.

Celtics vs. Cavaliers Odds

Point Spread for Celtics vs. Cavaliers

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Celtics as the favorite.

Boston vs. Cleveland Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boston has -310 odds to win the game, while Cleveland is listed at +250 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 211 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio
  • TV: ABC

Celtics vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this season. Boston has been the favorite in 79 games this season and won 63 (79.7%) of those contests. Games involving the Celtics have hit the over 43 times this season.

The Cavaliers have covered the spread 38 times in 82 games with a set spread. Cleveland has won in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This season, 40 of the Cavaliers’ games have gone over the point total.

Celtics vs. Cavaliers Key Players to Watch

Celtics

Jayson Tatum averages 26.9 points, 8.1 boards and 4.9 assists per game, making 47.1% of shots from the floor and 37.6% from downtown with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (seventh in league). Jaylen Brown puts up 23.0 points, 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.4% from downtown, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Derrick White’s numbers for the season are 15.2 points, 5.2 assists and 4.2 boards per game. Jrue Holiday is averaging 12.5 points, 4.8 assists and 5.4 boards per contest.

Cavaliers

Jarrett Allen gets the Cavaliers 16.5 points, 10.5 boards and 2.7 assists per contest. He also averages 0.7 steals and 1.1 blocks. Donovan Mitchell provides 26.6 points, 5.1 boards and 6.1 assists per contest, plus 1.8 steals and 0.5 blocks. Caris LeVert provides the Cavaliers 14.0 points, 4.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game, plus 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks. The Cavaliers get 12.2 points per game from Max Strus, plus 4.8 boards and 4.0 assists.

What you need to know about the Celtics

The Celtics have been getting things done on both offense and defense this year, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2). The Celtics are top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 46.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th with 43.3 rebounds allowed per contest. The Celtics are delivering 26.9 assists per game, which ranks them 14th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Boston is posting 123.1 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 5.1 more points than it is averaging when playing on the road (118.0). Boston is dominating in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in threes (16.5 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (38.8%). Boston ranks fourth-best in the NBA by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 35.2% to opponents. It ranks 14th in the league by surrendering 12.9 three-pointers per contest.

The Celtics have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread in that span. Six of Boston’s past 10 games have gone over the total. In their last 10 games, the Celtics have been scoring 112.5 points per contest, an average that’s significantly lower than the 120.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Boston has been locking down opponents on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 101.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 109.2 it has conceded per game this year.

What you need to know about the Cavaliers

The Cavaliers put up 112.6 points per game and allow 110.2, ranking them 20th in the league offensively and seventh on defense. Cleveland collects 43.3 rebounds per game and concede 42.7 boards, ranking 16th and 10th, respectively, in the NBA. At 28.0 assists per game, the Cavaliers are eighth in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are putting up more points at home (114.5 per game) than on the road (110.8). The Cavaliers make 13.5 3-pointers per game and shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc, ranking seventh and 15th, respectively, in the NBA. Cleveland is 10th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (12.5 per game) and 21st in 3-point percentage defensively (37.1%).

The Cavaliers have gone 5-5 in their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Five of Cleveland’s last 10 games have hit the over. Cleveland has fared worse offensively over its previous 10 games, compiling 99.4 points per contest, 13.2 fewer points its than season average of 112.6. The Cavaliers have performed better defensively in their past 10 games, ceding 103.6 points per contest, 6.6 fewer points than their season average of 110.2 allowed.

Celtics vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Celtics, and we expect that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 211 points.

How to bet Celtics vs. Cavaliers

You can bet on Boston vs. Cleveland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boston vs. Cleveland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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