Ohio State vs. Missouri Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 29, 2023

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The Ohio State Buckeyes will battle the Missouri Tigers in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.

Ohio State vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Ohio State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Ohio State has -189 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +149 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Ohio State vs. Missouri Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

Ohio State

Ohio State owns the 36th-ranked offense this year (425.9 yards per game), and has been even more effective on defense, ranking third-best with just 260.2 yards allowed per game. Defensively, Ohio State has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by allowing only 11.0 points per game. The offense ranks 31st (32.8 points per game). Ohio State has been surging on both offense and defense in the passing game, ranking 21st-best in passing offense (282.7 passing yards per game) and best in passing defense (147.5 passing yards allowed per game). Defensively, Ohio State has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 17th-best by allowing just 112.7 per game. The Buckeyes rank 85th on offense (143.3 rushing yards per game). Ohio State has been clicking on all fronts on third down this year, owning the 20th-best mark in third-down conversion rate (45.8%) and sixth-best in third-down defense (28.2% third-down conversion rate allowed). Ohio State has forced nine total turnovers (115th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over eight times (14th in the FBS) for +1a turnover margin of +1, 54th-ranked in college football.

Missouri

Missouri’s offense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 23rd-best in the FBS with 443.0 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is giving up 347.3 total yards per game, which ranks 38th. Missouri’s offense has been consistently moving the chains, compiling 34.1 points per contest (24th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 38th by surrendering 22.3 points per game. With 271.6 passing yards per game on offense, Missouri ranks 29th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 65th, giving up 222.4 passing yards per game. In terms of rushing, Missouri ranks 54th in the FBS on offense (171.4 rushing yards per game) and 32nd defensively (124.8 rushing yards allowed per game). Missouri ranks 31st in the FBS with a 44.4% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 60th with a 38.6% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. Missouri has recorded nine forced turnovers (115th in the FBS) and committed eight turnovers (14th in the FBS) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 54th in the FBS.

Ohio State vs. Missouri Betting Analysis

Ohio State Betting Insights

Ohio State has covered the spread six times in 12 games with a set spread. Ohio State is 5-3-1 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites. Ohio State games have gone over the total three times this season. The Buckeyes have won all 10 of the games they have been the moneyline favorite this season. The Buckeyes have played eight times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -189 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.

Missouri Betting Insights

Missouri have compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread this season. Missouri is 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs. This season, eight Missouri games have gone over the point total. The Tigers have won three of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Tigers have been at least a +149 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

Ohio State vs. Missouri Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ohio State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.5 54.2 50.8
Implied Total AVG 36.4 40.0 32.8
ATS Record 6-4-2 5-1-0 1-3-2
Over/Under Record 3-9-0 1-5-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 5-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Missouri

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.6 53.8 53.3
Implied Total AVG 32.0 32.6 31.2
ATS Record 8-4-0 3-4-0 5-0-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 4-3-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 2-1 1-1

Players to Watch

Ohio State

  • With 67 receptions for 1,211 yards and 14 touchdowns, Marvin Harrison Jr. has been a big piece of the Buckeyes’ air attack in 2023.
  • Kyle McCord has suited up for 12 games in 2023, and he’s delivered 3,170 passing yards, 24 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 65.8% completion percentage.
  • TreVeyon Henderson has scampered for 854 rushing yards (94.9 yards per game) and 11 touchdowns while averaging 6.2 yards per carry in nine games for the Buckeyes.
  • Henderson has put up 229 receiving yards and zero touchdowns on 19 grabs as a receiver.
  • Cade Stover has received zero targets in 2023 and has turned them into 41 receptions (4.1 per game) for 576 yards and five TDs in 10 games.
  • Tommy Eichenberg has helped lead the Buckeyes’ defense with 76 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in 10 games.
  • With one interception to go with 73 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 12 games, Steele Chambers has been a significant contributor to the Buckeyes’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • Jordan Hancock has helped lead the Buckeyes’ defense with two interceptions to go along with 34 tackles, one sack, and four passes defended in 12 games.
  • A significant piece of the Buckeyes’ defense, Josh Proctor has one interception to go with 38 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in nine games.

Missouri

  • Brady Cook has 20 touchdown passes and five interceptions in 12 games, completing 66.7% of his throws for 3,166 yards (263.8 per game).
  • Cook also has run for 269 yards and eight TDs.
  • In 12 games, Cody Schrader has run for 1,489 yards (124.1 per game) and 13 TDs.
  • In the passing game, Schrader has scored zero touchdowns, with 22 catches for 191 yards.
  • In the passing game, Luther Burden III has scored eight TDs, hauling in 82 balls for 1,190 yards (99.2 per game).
  • Theo Wease Jr. has 45 catches for 639 yards (53.3 per game) and six touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Kris Abrams-Draine has registered four interceptions to go with 43 tackles, one TFL, and six passes defended in 11 games for the Tigers.
  • Ty’Ron Hopper has been causing chaos on defense, registering 53 tackles, two TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Tigers.
  • Jaylon Carlies has one sack to go with 50 tackles and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • The Tigers’ Daylan Carnell has registered 37 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 12 games.

Ohio State vs. Missouri Predictions and Pick

Ohio State vs. Missouri betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Ohio State (-4.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (51.5)

How to Bet on Ohio State vs. Missouri

You can bet on Ohio State vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ohio State vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Ohio State, and we expect that Ohio State will cover the spread (Ohio State -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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