Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 29, 2023

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The Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl will feature a matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Oregon State Beavers.

Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Notre Dame as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Notre Dame has -211 odds to pick up the win, while Oregon State is listed at +169 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 40.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: El Paso, Texas
  • Stadium: Sun Bowl

Betting Preview

Notre Dame

On defense, Notre Dame has been a top-25 unit, ranking eighth-best by allowing only 284.1 yards per game. The offense ranks 31st (430.0 yards per game). Notre Dame has been thriving on both offense and defense, ranking seventh-best in scoring offense (39.1 points per game) and eighth-best in scoring defense (16.6 points allowed per game). Notre Dame ranks 49th in passing yards this year (247.8 per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 154.2 passing yards allowed per game. Offensively, Notre Dame ranks 34th in the FBS with 182.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 32nd in rushing yards allowed per contest (129.9). Notre Dame is putting up a 43.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (39th in the FBS), and ranks 37th on defense with a 35.6% third-down conversion rate allowed. Notre Dame ranks 27th in college football with a +5 turnover margin after forcing 16 turnovers (26th in the FBS) while committing 11 (37th in the FBS).

Oregon State

Oregon State is posting 431.1 total yards per game on offense this season (30th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 340.1 total yards per game (35th-ranked). In terms of points scored Oregon State ranks 26th in the FBS (33.8 points per game), and it is 34th defensively (21.5 points allowed per contest). With 246.1 passing yards per game on offense, Oregon State ranks 50th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 84th, allowing 235.4 passing yards per contest. Oregon State has been excelling on run defense, giving up only 104.7 rushing yards per contest (12th-best). On offense, it ranks 29th in the FBS by posting 185.0 rushing yards per game. Oregon State is putting up a 40.3% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (57th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 37.5% third-down rate (56th-ranked) on defense. Oregon State has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking sixth-best at +9.

Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Betting Analysis

Notre Dame Betting Insights

Notre Dame has covered the spread eight times in 12 games with a set spread. In games this season when favored by 5.5 points or more, Notre Dame are 7-2 against the spread. Notre Dame games have gone over the total eight times this season. The Fighting Irish have been the moneyline favorite nine total times this season. They’ve gone 7-2 in those games. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -211 or shorter, the Fighting Irish have a 0-0 record (winning 85.7% of their games).

Oregon State Betting Insights

Oregon State has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-6-0). Oregon State has not covered the spread when it is at least 5.5-point underdogs (0-1). This year, six Oregon State games have gone over the point total. The Beavers lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Beavers have played as an underdog of +169 or more once this season and lost that game.

Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Notre Dame

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.3 52.3 49.9
Implied Total AVG 34.3 37.3 30.0
ATS Record 8-3-1 5-1-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 5-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-2 4-0 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Oregon State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.0 52.8 57.3
Implied Total AVG 33.2 33.2 33.2
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-2-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-3 5-1 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Notre Dame

  • Audric Estime has been putting up numbers in the running game, rushing for 1,341 yards and 18 touchdowns in 12 games.
  • In the receiving game, Estime has added 142 receiving yards and zero touchdowns on 17 grabs.
  • In 12 games, Sam Hartman has thrown for 2,689 yards (224.1 yards per game) to go along with 24 touchdowns, eight interceptions, and a completion percentage of 63.5%.
  • As a runner, Hartman has rushed for 123 yards (2.7 YPC) and three touchdowns.
  • Chris Tyree has been a key part of the Fighting Irish’s passing offense in 2023, amassing 26 catches for 484 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Jaden Greathouse has been targeted zero times for 16 catches, 252 yards and five touchdowns in seven games.
  • With 45 tackles and seven interceptions in 12 games, Xavier Watts has been a key contributor to the Fighting Irish’s defensive unit in 2023.
  • JD Bertrand has helped lead the Fighting Irish’s defense with two sacks to go along with two TFL and 71 tackles in 11 games.
  • Jack Kiser has played 12 games, compiling 52 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception for the Fighting Irish.
  • The Fighting Irish’s defensive unit has been helped by the play of Howard Cross III, who has played 11 games, collecting one sack to go with three TFL and 59 tackles.

Oregon State

  • D.J. Uiagalelei has passed for 2,638 yards (219.8 per game), completing 57.1% of his throws, with 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 12 games.
  • Uiagalelei also has rushed for 219 yards and six TDs.
  • Damien Martinez has rushed for 1,185 yards (98.8 per game) and nine touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Also, Martinez has 11 receptions for 126 yards and zero touchdowns.
  • In the passing game, Silas Bolden has scored five TDs, hauling in 51 balls for 718 yards (59.8 per game).
  • In 12 games, Deshaun Fenwick has run for 500 yards (41.7 per game) and five TDs.
  • In the passing game, Fenwick has scored two touchdowns, with nine catches for 76 yards.
  • Easton Mascarenas has totaled two interceptions to go with 92 tackles, one TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended in 11 games for the Beavers.
  • On defense, Kitan Oladapo has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 60 tackles, one sack, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • The Beavers’ Andrew Chatfield Jr. has compiled two interceptions to go with 26 tackles, three TFL, nine sacks, and two passes defended in 10 games.
  • Akili Arnold has registered 57 tackles and two interceptions in 10 games for the Beavers.

Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Predictions and Pick

Notre Dame vs. Oregon State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Notre Dame (-5.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (40.5)

How to Bet on Notre Dame vs. Oregon State

You can bet on Notre Dame vs. Oregon State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Notre Dame vs. Oregon State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Notre Dame, and we project that Notre Dame will cover the spread (Notre Dame -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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