The Bowling Green Falcons will meet the New Mexico State Aggies in the Quick Lane Bowl.
Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Odds
The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Bowling Green as the favorites.
As for the moneyline, Bowling Green has -169 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico State is listed at +138 to claim victory.
Finally, the total for the game is set at 48.5 points.
How to Watch Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Live?
- Game Day: Monday, December 26, 2022
- Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Detroit, Michigan
- Stadium: Ford Field
While Bowling Green ranks 105th in total defense with 416.4 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been a little worse, ranking 25th-worst (332.9 yards per game). Despite sporting a bottom-25 scoring defense that ranks 15th-worst in the FBS (33.3 points allowed per game), Bowling Green has had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 97th in the FBS by totaling 23.8 points per game. On offense, Bowling Green ranks 59th in the FBS with 236.5 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 103rd in passing yards allowed per contest (256.2). Bowling Green ranks ninth-worst in rushing offense (96.4 rushing yards per game), but has been better on defense, ranking 82nd with 160.3 rushing yards allowed per game. Bowling Green ranks 18th-worst in third-down percentage (32.9%) and 13th-worst in third-down percentage allowed (45.0%) this season. Bowling Green ranks 100th in college football with an even turnover margin after forcing 19 turnovers (31st in the FBS) and committing 19 (91st in the FBS).
New Mexico State
New Mexico State’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, registering 324.4 total yards per game, which ranks 18th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 32nd with 338.7 total yards allowed per contest. From an offensive standpoint, New Mexico State is generating 25.6 points per game (81st-ranked). It ranks 52nd in the FBS on the other side of the ball (24.3 points allowed per game). New Mexico State ranks 12th-worst in passing yards per game on offense (169.3), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in passing yards allowed per game (183.7). In terms of rushing, New Mexico State ranks 65th in the FBS on offense (155.1 rushing yards per game) and 77th on the other side of the ball (155.0 rushing yards allowed per contest). In terms of third-down efficiency, New Mexico State ranks 97th in the FBS (36.1% third-down conversion rate) and 60th on defense (37.5% third-down rate allowed). At -5, New Mexico State sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 12 forced turnovers (106th in the FBS) and 17 turnovers committed (71st in the FBS).
Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Betting Analysis
Bowling Green Betting Insights
Bowling Green has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-7-1). Bowling Green is winless against the spread when it has played as 3.5-point or greater favorites (0-3). This season, seven Bowling Green games have gone over the point total. The Falcons have put together a 2-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Falcons have a 2-0 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -169 or shorter.
Aggies Betting Insights
New Mexico State has gone 6-5-0 against the spread this year. New Mexico State is 3-4 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. New Mexico State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this year. The Aggies have been underdogs in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests. The Aggies have a record of 1-0 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +138 on the moneyline.
Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Against The Spread & Betting Records
|Point Total AVG||51.6||51.8||51.4|
|Implied Total AVG||31.5||29.5||33.5|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||2-1||1-1||1-0|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||4-5||2-2||2-3|
|Point Total AVG||47.5||48.4||46.7|
|Implied Total AVG||33.2||30.2||35.7|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||3-1||2-1||1-0|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||2-4||1-1||1-3|
Players to Watch
- DJ Taylor has played 11 games, totaling one sack to go with two TFL, 84 tackles, and two interceptions for the Falcons.
- The Falcons’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Karl Brooks, who has suited up for 11 games and collected eight sacks to go with 14 TFL and 44 tackles.
- Chris Bacon has hit the gridiron for 11 games, recording 70 tackles and one interception for the Falcons.
- Darren Anders, as part of the Falcons’ defense, has delivered one sack to go with one TFL and 65 tackles in 11 games.
- Chris Ojoh has delivered 108 tackles, nine TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games for the Aggies.
- The Aggies’ Bryce Jackson has delivered two TFL, 56 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games.
- In 11 games for the Aggies, Lazarus Williams has amassed 39 tackles, eight TFL, and six sacks.
- Trevor Brohard has registered 63 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one pass defended In 11 games for the Aggies.
Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Predictions and Pick
Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State betting card
- Pick ATS:
How to Bet on Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State
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Our prediction to win this game is Bowling Green, and we expect that Bowling Green will cover the spread (Bowling Green -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48.5 points.