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The Paul Bunyan Trophy is on the line when the No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (7-0) and the Michigan State Spartans (3-4) meet.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 22.5 points, with bookmakers listing Michigan as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Michigan has -2345 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +1037 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 55 points.
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Game Info
How to Watch Michigan vs. Michigan State Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Stadium: Michigan Stadium
Betting Preview
Michigan
Michigan has been a handful for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (19th-best with 473.6 yards per game) and total defense (fifth-best with 250.0 yards allowed per game) this year. Michigan has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this season, as they rank sixth-best in scoring offense (42.7 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (12.1 points allowed per game). Michigan ranks 75th in passing yards this season (231.9 per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with 164.1 passing yards allowed per game. Michigan has been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (sixth-best with 241.7 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (fifth-best with 85.9 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. Michigan has been clicking on all fronts on third down this season, owning the 15th-best mark in third-down percentage (49.4%) and 21st-best in third-down defense (31.2% third-down conversion rate allowed). Michigan ranks 44th in college football with a +3 turnover margin after forcing 7 turnovers (112th in the FBS) and committing four (third in the FBS).
Michigan State
In terms of total yards, Michigan State ranks 104th in the FBS (349.0 total yards per game) and 104th on the other side of the ball (422.3 total yards allowed per contest). Michigan State is compiling 27.0 points per game on offense this season (77th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 27.1 points per contest (73rd-ranked) on defense. Michigan State ranks 64th in passing yards per game (242.9), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-worst in the FBS with 269.0 passing yards surrendered per contest. Michigan State’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 106.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 80th with 153.3 rushing yards surrendered per contest. From an offensive angle, Michigan State is generating a 42.5% third-down conversion rate (49th-ranked). It ranks 106th in the FBS on defense (43.6% third-down rate allowed). With 10 forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (50th in the FBS) this season, Michigan State ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of 0.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Analysis
Michigan Betting Insights
Michigan is 4-3-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 22.5-point favorites or more, Michigan has an ATS record of 2-2. This season, Michigan games have hit the over once. The Wolverines have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of six times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Wolverines have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -2345 or shorter and won every time.
Spartans Betting Insights
Michigan State is 3-4-0 against the spread this year. Michigan State is winless against the spread when it has played as 22.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). This year, three Michigan State games have gone over the point total. This season, the Spartans have been the underdog five times and won one of those games. The Spartans have played as an underdog of +1037 or more once this season and lost that game.
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Michigan vs. Michigan State Against The Spread & Betting Records
Michigan
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 57.3 | 60.3 | 49.8 |
| Implied Total AVG | 42.1 | 45.6 | 33.5 |
| ATS Record | 4-3-0 | 3-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 1-5-1 | 1-3-1 | 0-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 6-0 | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Spartans
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 55.7 | 55.0 | 57.5 |
| Implied Total AVG | 35.4 | 37.0 | 31.5 |
| ATS Record | 3-4-0 | 3-2-0 | 0-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-4-0 | 2-3-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Michigan
- Mike Morris has hit the gridiron for seven games, registering 5.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Wolverines.
- As part of the Wolverines’ defense, Junior Colson has totaled 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 47 tackles in seven games.
- Michael Barrett has hit the gridiron for seven games, collecting 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks for the Wolverines.
- With 0.5 sacks to go along with 24 tackles and two interceptions, Rod Moore has helped spur the Wolverines’ defense over seven games.
Spartans
- Jacoby Windmon has been wreaking havoc on defense, registering one interception to go with 36 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Spartans.
- Kendell Brooks has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering 55 tackles for the Spartans.
- The Spartans’ Cal Haladay has totaled 54 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in seven games.
- On defense, Angelo Grose has supplied 49 tackles and 2.0 TFL in seven games.
Michigan vs. Michigan State Predictions and Pick
Michigan vs. Michigan State betting card
- Pick ATS:
Wolverines (-22.5)
Pick OU:
Under (55)
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How to Bet on Michigan vs. Michigan State
You can bet on Michigan vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our pick to win this matchup is Michigan, and we project that Michigan will cover the spread (Michigan -22.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 55 points.