Michigan vs. Iowa Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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The No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) and the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0) head to Indianapolis, Indiana to play at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Michigan vs. Iowa Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 22 points, with oddsmakers listing Michigan as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan has -3222 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa is listed at +1173 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 35.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Michigan vs. Iowa Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium

Betting Preview

Michigan

Michigan ranks 58th in total offense this season (395.5 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with 395.5 yards allowed per game. Michigan has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (13th-best with 37.6 points per game) and scoring defense (best with 10.3 points allowed per game) this season. Michigan sports the 65th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (224.8 passing yards per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking fourth-best with only 155.3 passing yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Michigan has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking seventh-best by surrendering just 91.4 per game. The Wolverines rank 55th on offense (170.8 rushing yards per game). Michigan has been making things happen on both sides of the ball on third down this year, owning the seventh-best mark in third-down percentage (49.6%) and 17th-best in third-down defense (31.2% third-down conversion rate allowed). With 17 forced turnovers (12th in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (fifth in the FBS), Michigan’s +11 turnover margin is the fourth-best in college football.

Iowa

While Iowa’s offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking worst with 248.9 total yards per game, its defense ranks seventh-best with just 283.5 total yards surrendered per contest. Iowa ranks 10th-worst in points per game on offense (18.0), but at least it has been dominating on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in points surrendered per contest (12.2). While Iowa’s pass offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking fourth-worst with 123.4 passing yards per game, its defense ranks ninth-best with just 174.3 passing yards allowed per contest. Iowa ranks 103rd in the FBS with 125.5 rushing yards per contest, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 18th-best by surrendering only 109.2 rushing yards per contest. Iowa ranks 11th-worst in third-down conversion rate (31.0%), but at least it has been shutting down opposing offenses on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 22nd-best in third-down rate surrendered (32.5%). With 12 forced turnovers (71st in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (86th in the FBS) this season, Iowa ranks 80th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -2.

Michigan vs. Iowa Betting Analysis

Michigan Betting Insights

Michigan has covered the spread six times in 12 games with a set spread. In games it has played as 22-point favorites or more, Michigan has an ATS record of 2-4-1. Games involving Michigan have hit the over seven times this season. The Wolverines have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of nine times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Wolverines have played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -3222 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.

Iowa Betting Insights

Iowa has covered the spread six times in 12 games with a set total. Iowa games have gone over the total twice this season. This season, the Hawkeyes have won two out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Hawkeyes have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +1173.

Michigan vs. Iowa Against The Spread & Betting Records

Michigan

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.5 50.4 45.8
Implied Total AVG 36.5 40.0 31.6
ATS Record 6-5-1 2-4-1 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 3-4-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 4-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Iowa

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 34.7 35.9 32.9
Implied Total AVG 22.0 23.4 20.0
ATS Record 6-5-1 3-3-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-10-0 2-5-0 0-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 6-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 0-0 2-1

Players to Watch

Michigan

  • The Wolverines’ offense has been led by Blake Corum, who has run for 976 yards (81.3 yards per carry) and 22 rushing touchdowns.
  • J.J. McCarthy has suited up for 12 games in 2023, and he’s delivered 2,483 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 74.3% completion percentage.
  • When he’s not airing it out, McCarthy has rushed for 181 yards (15.1 yards per game) and three touchdowns in 12 games.
  • As part of the Wolverines’ aerial attack, Roman Wilson has caught 40 balls on zero targets for 648 yards and 11 touchdowns.
  • Colston Loveland has been targeted zero times for 37 catches, 550 yards and four touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Mike Sainristil has helped spur the Wolverines’ defense with 26 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four interceptions in nine games.
  • With 67 tackles and two TFL in 11 games, Junior Colson has been a big piece of the Wolverines’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • The Wolverines’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Michael Barrett, who has suited up for 12 games and recorded 42 tackles and two sacks.
  • Will Johnson, as part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit, has compiled one TFL, 17 tackles, and three interceptions in nine games.

Iowa

  • In 12 games, Leshon Williams has run for 779 yards (64.9 per game) and one touchdown.
  • In the passing game, Williams has scored one touchdown, with 11 receptions for 68 yards.
  • On the ground, Kaleb Johnson has scored three touchdowns and picked up 415 yards (51.9 per game).
  • In 11 games, Deacon Hill has passed for 976 yards (88.7 per game), with five touchdowns and six interceptions, and a completion percentage of 48.3%.
  • In the passing game, Erick All has scored three TDs, hauling in 21 balls for 299 yards (42.7 per game).
  • On defense, Jay Higgins has helped keep opposing offenses in check with one interception to go with 127 tackles, one sack, and one pass defended in 12 games.
  • On defense, Nick Jackson has helped lead the way with 83 tackles, four TFL, and four sacks in 12 games.
  • Sebastian Castro has posted three TFL, 50 tackles, and three interceptions in 12 games for the Hawkeyes.
  • Quinn Schulte has compiled one interception to go with 53 tackles, two TFL, and one pass defended In 12 games for the Hawkeyes.

Michigan vs. Iowa Predictions and Pick

Michigan vs. Iowa betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Iowa (+22)

  • Pick OU: Over (35.5)

How to Bet on Michigan vs. Iowa

You can bet on Michigan vs. Iowa at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan vs. Iowa picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Michigan, and we predict that Iowa will cover the spread (Michigan -22). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 35.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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