Download App
The Louisville Cardinals will play the USC Trojans in the Directv Holiday Bowl.
Louisville vs. USC Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Louisville as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Louisville has -193 odds to pick up the win, while USC is listed at +156 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 58 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Louisville vs. USC Live?
- Game Day: Wednesday, December 27, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Rancho San Diego, California
- Stadium: Petco Park
Betting Preview
Louisville
Louisville owns the 40th-ranked offense this season (420.8 yards per game), and has been even more effective on defense, ranking 17th-best with just 310.2 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Louisville has been a top-25 unit, ranking 22nd-best by surrendering just 19.7 points per game. The offense ranks 45th (30.9 points per game). Louisville is averaging 244.0 passing yards per game on offense (52nd in the FBS), and ranks 39th defensively with 205.4 passing yards allowed per game. Louisville owns the 45th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (176.8 per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 13th-best with just 104.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Defensively, Louisville has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking sixth-best by giving up a 27.9% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 97th (36.0% third-down conversion rate). Louisville ranks 41st in college football with a +3 turnover margin after forcing 16 turnovers (25th in the FBS) while committing 13 (66th in the FBS).
USC
USC ranks 11th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (440.5), but at least it has been excelling on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in total yards per game (469.3). On the defensive side of the ball, USC is a bottom-25 unit, surrendering 34.9 points per game (10th-worst). Fortunately, it is thriving on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 41.8 points per contest (fourth-best). While USC’s pass defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 15th-worst by giving up 255.2 passing yards per game, its offense ranks fifth-best with 329.8 passing yards per contest. USC has been struggling against the run, ranking 16th-worst with 185.3 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, compiling 139.6 rushing yards per contest (89th-ranked). With a 42.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, USC ranks 41st in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 107th, surrendering a 42.7% third-down rate. USC has a +5 turnover margin this season, which ranks 27th in the FBS.
Louisville vs. USC Betting Analysis
Louisville Betting Insights
Louisville has covered the spread six times over 13 games with a set spread. In games they were favored in by 4.5 points or more so far this season, the Louisville has gone 4-5 against the spread. Louisville games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season. The Cardinals have won 77.8% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (7-2). The Cardinals have a record of 5-1 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -193 or shorter (75%).
USC Betting Insights
USC has put together a record of 3-9-0 against the spread this season. USC is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs. USC’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this season. The Trojans have been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Trojans have played as an underdog of +156 or more once this season and lost that game.
Louisville vs. USC Against The Spread & Betting Records
Louisville
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 49.9 | 50.8 | 48.6 |
| Implied Total AVG | 30.2 | 32.9 | 25.8 |
| ATS Record | 6-7-0 | 5-3-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 7-6-0 | 4-4-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 7-2 | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
USC
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 66.6 | 65.7 | 67.8 |
| Implied Total AVG | 42.5 | 42.4 | 42.6 |
| ATS Record | 3-9-0 | 2-5-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-3-0 | 5-2-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 7-2 | 4-2 | 3-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Louisville
- Jawhar Jordan has been helping the offense in the running game, rushing for 1,128 yards and 13 touchdowns in 13 games.
- Jordan has been a factor in the receiving game, reeling in 21 balls on zero targets for 246 yards and one touchdown.
- In 13 games, Jack Plummer has passed for 3,063 yards (235.6 yards per game) to go along with 21 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a completion percentage of 63.5%.
- As a runner, Plummer has scampered for 42 yards (0.5 YPC) and one touchdown.
- Isaac Guerendo has helped the Cardinals’ offense by scampering for 649 yards (49.9 yards per carry) and eight rushing touchdowns.
- Guerendo has tallied 17 grabs (on zero targets) for 192 yards and zero touchdowns in addition to the numbers he’s produced on the ground.
- As a key cog in the Cardinals’ offense, Jamari Thrash has produced 858 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 63 receptions.
- As part of the Cardinals’ defense, Devin Neal has registered 58 tackles, two TFL, and four interceptions in 12 games.
- The Cardinals’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of TJ Quinn, who has suited up for 11 games and delivered 71 tackles and one interception.
- Ashton Gillotte has helped spur the Cardinals’ defense with 37 tackles, four TFL, and nine sacks in 11 games.
- Cam’Ron Kelly, as part of the Cardinals’ defensive unit, has recorded two TFL, 49 tackles, and two interceptions in 12 games.
USC
- Caleb Williams has passed for 3,633 yards (302.8 per game), completing 68.4% of his throws, with 30 touchdowns and five interceptions in 12 games.
- In 11 games, Marshawn Lloyd has run for 820 yards (74.5 per game) and nine TDs.
- Also, Lloyd has 13 catches for 232 yards and zero touchdowns.
- In 12 games, Brenden Rice has 45 receptions for 791 yards (65.9 per game) and 12 touchdowns.
- In 12 games, Tahj Washington has 52 receptions for 963 yards (80.3 per game) and six touchdowns.
- In 10 games for the Trojans, Mason Cobb has collected two TFL and 74 tackles.
- The Trojans’ Calen Bullock has posted 53 tackles and two interceptions in 12 games.
- Jaylin Smith has one sack to go with three TFL and 56 tackles in 11 games.
- The Trojans’ Solomon Byrd has delivered 37 tackles, six TFL, and five sacks in 12 games.
Louisville vs. USC Predictions and Pick
Louisville vs. USC betting card
- Pick ATS:
Louisville (-4.5)
- Pick OU: Over (58)
How to Bet on Louisville vs. USC
You can bet on Louisville vs. USC at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Louisville vs. USC picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.
Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.
Our prediction to win this contest is Louisville, and we expect that Louisville will cover the spread (Louisville -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 58 points.