Liberty vs. Old Dominion Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Liberty Flames (3-1) and Old Dominion Monarchs (2-2) will face each other at Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Virginia.

Liberty vs. Old Dominion Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing Liberty as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Liberty has -188 odds to pick up the win, while Old Dominion is listed at +155 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 48 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Liberty vs. Old Dominion Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Norfolk, Virginia
  • Stadium: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium

Betting Preview

Liberty

Liberty is compiling 394.8 yards per game on offense (78th in the FBS), and rank 55th on defense, yielding 354.3 yards allowed per game. Liberty is putting up 26.8 points per game on offense (92nd in the FBS), and ranks 56th on defense with 22.5 points allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Liberty ranks 101st in the FBS with 203.3 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 53rd in passing yards allowed per contest (211.8). Liberty is compiling 191.5 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 38th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 71st, allowing 142.5 rushing yards per game. Liberty is putting up a 34.4% third-down percentage on offense (100th in the FBS), and ranks 41st defensively with a 32.8% third-down conversion rate allowed. Liberty ranks 41st in college football with a +2 turnover margin after forcing 12 turnovers (fifth in the FBS) while committing 10 (118th in the FBS).

Old Dominion

This season has been rough for Old Dominion on both offense and defense, as it is compiling just 297.3 total yards per game (15th-worst) and ceding 445.3 total yards per game (16th-worst). Old Dominion ranks 23rd-worst in points per game (21.0), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 66th in the FBS with 24.5 points surrendered per contest. From an offensive angle, Old Dominion is putting up 238.5 passing yards per game (75th-ranked). It ranks 97th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (258.0 passing yards surrendered per game). In terms of rushing, this season has been hard for Old Dominion on both sides of the ball, as it is compiling just 58.8 rushing yards per game (third-worst) and ceding 187.3 rushing yards per game (18th-worst). Old Dominion’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, posting a 20.8% third-down percentage, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 75th with a 38.8% third-down rate ceded. Old Dominion has compiled 10 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over five times, resulting in a +5 turnover margin, which ranks 14th-best in the FBS.

Liberty vs. Old Dominion Betting Analysis

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty has covered the spread twice over four games with a set spread. Liberty has not covered a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites. Games involving the Liberty have hit the over twice this season. The Flames have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Flames have played as a moneyline favorite of -188 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Monarchs Betting Insights

Old Dominion is 2-2-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 4.5-point or bigger underdogs, Old Dominion owns an ATS record of 2-1. Old Dominion games have gone over the total once this season. The Monarchs have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests. The Monarchs have a record of 0-0 when they’re set as an underdog of +155 or more by sportsbooks this season.

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Liberty vs. Old Dominion Against The Spread & Betting Records

Liberty

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.5 52.0 57.0
Implied Total AVG 33.8 34.0 33.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 0-2-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Monarchs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.0 52.0 52.0
Implied Total AVG 30.0 28.5 31.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Liberty

  • The Flames’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Durrell Johnson, who has suited up for four games and amassed 11 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • Ahmad Walker has played four games, delivering 17 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Flames.
  • As part of the Flames’ defense, TreShaun Clark has amassed 10 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.
  • Mike Smith Jr. has been a key part of the Flames’ defense in 2022, with one interception to go with 15 tackles and one pass defended in four games.

Monarchs

  • Ryan Henry has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling one interception to go with 15 tackles, 2.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Monarchs.
  • The Monarchs’ Jason Henderson has compiled 0.5 sacks to go with 28 tackles in four games.
  • In four games for the Monarchs, Terry Jones has delivered 15 tackles, one sack, and one interception.
  • R’Tarriun Johnson has compiled 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 14 tackles in four games for the Monarchs.

Liberty vs. Old Dominion Predictions and Pick

Liberty vs. Old Dominion betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Monarchs (+4.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (48)

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How to Bet on Liberty vs. Old Dominion

You can bet on Liberty vs. Old Dominion at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. Old Dominion picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Liberty, and we project that Old Dominion will cover the spread (Liberty -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 48 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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