Kansas State vs. NC State Pop-tarts Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 28, 2023

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The Kansas State Wildcats will play the NC State Wolfpack in the Pop-tarts Bowl.

Kansas State vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Kansas State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kansas State has -151 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +124 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 48.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Kansas State vs. NC State Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: Camping World Stadium

Betting Preview

Kansas State

Kansas State ranks 62nd in total defense this season (375.1 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 20th-best in the FBS with 450.2 total yards per game. Kansas State ranks 31st in scoring defense this year (21.2 points allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with 37.8 points per game. Kansas State ranks 50th in pass offense (246.4 passing yards per game) and 76th in pass defense (230.2 passing yards allowed per game) this year. On offense, Kansas State has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 13th-best in the FBS by putting up 203.8 per game. The Wildcats rank 53rd on defense (144.9 rushing yards allowed per game). Kansas State has been making things happen on both sides of the ball on third down this year, owning the sixth-best mark in third-down conversion rate (49.1%) and seventh-best in third-down defense (28.7% third-down conversion rate allowed). Kansas State has the 35th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +4, forcing 14 turnovers (46th in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (32nd in the FBS).

NC State

From an offensive standpoint, NC State is compiling 347.0 total yards per contest (97th-ranked). It ranks 27th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (323.8 total yards allowed per game). NC State has been excelling on the defensive side of the ball, giving up only 20.2 points per contest (23rd-best). On offense, it ranks 70th by putting up 26.8 points per game. NC State ranks 100th in the FBS with 196.3 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 56th with 218.8 passing yards ceded per game on defense. NC State ranks 78th in the FBS with 150.8 rushing yards per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 14th-best by giving up only 105.1 rushing yards per contest. NC State ranks 64th in the FBS with a 39.3% third-down conversion rate, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks fifth-best by surrendering a 27.7% third-down rate. NC State has accumulated 19 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 12 times, resulting in a +7 turnover margin, which ranks 13th-best in the FBS.

Kansas State vs. NC State Betting Analysis

Kansas State Betting Insights

Kansas State has covered the spread in a matchup eight times this season (8-4-0). In games they were favored in by 3 points or more so far this season, the Kansas State has gone 6-4 against the spread. This season, Kansas State games have hit the over seven times. The Wildcats have been the moneyline favorite 10 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-3 in those games. The Wildcats are 3-2 (winning 70% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -151 or shorter.

NC State Betting Insights

NC State have registered a 7-5-0 record against the spread this season. In games it has played as 3-point or bigger underdogs, NC State has an ATS record of 3-2. This season, NC State games have hit the over four times. The Wolfpack have been underdogs in seven games this season and won four (57.1%) of those contests. This season, the Wolfpack have won three of their six games when they’re the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.

Kansas State vs. NC State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Kansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.1 54.1 54.1
Implied Total AVG 32.6 34.6 29.8
ATS Record 8-4-0 6-1-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 6-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

NC State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.3 49.4 44.3
Implied Total AVG 28.2 30.3 25.2
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-1 3-3-1 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 1-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-3 3-2 1-1

Players to Watch

Kansas State

  • In 12 games for the Wildcats, Will Howard has led the way with 2,643 yards (220.3 yards per game) while posting 24 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a 61.2% completion percentage.
  • In addition to the stats he’s generated in the passing game, Howard has also added 354 rushing yards and nine touchdowns in 12 games.
  • As part of the Wildcats’ running attack, DJ Giddens has run for 1,075 yards and nine touchdowns on 5.5 YPC.
  • As a receiver, Giddens has compiled 28 receptions on zero targets for 286 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Treshaun Ward has aided the Wildcats’ offense by rushing for 651 yards (59.2 yards per carry) and five rushing touchdowns.
  • Ward has tallied 17 catches (on zero targets) for 129 yards and two touchdowns in addition to the numbers he’s produced in the ground attack.
  • Ben Sinnott has been targeted zero times for 49 receptions, 676 yards and six touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Kobe Savage has played 11 games, delivering two TFL, 53 tackles, and three interceptions for the Wildcats.
  • As part of the Wildcats’ defense, Austin Moore has recorded one sack to go with seven TFL and 57 tackles in 11 games.
  • As part of the Wildcats’ defense, Marques Sigle has delivered one interception to go along with 56 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 10 games.
  • Will Lee III, as part of the Wildcats’ defense, has recorded one TFL, 39 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games.

NC State

  • In 11 games, Brennan Armstrong has passed for 1,619 yards (147.2 per game), with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions, and a completion percentage of 62.4%.
  • On the ground, Armstrong has scored six touchdowns and accumulated 544 yards.
  • In 12 games, Kevin Concepcion has 64 catches for 767 yards (63.9 per game) and 10 touchdowns.
  • In 12 games, Delbert Mimms has run for 269 yards (22.4 per game) and eight TDs.
  • MJ Morris has thrown for 719 yards (179.8 per game), completing 55.8% of his throws, with seven touchdowns and five interceptions in four games.
  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Wolfpack’s Payton Wilson has delivered 133 tackles, three TFL, five sacks, and three interceptions in 12 games.
  • The Wolfpack’s Sean Brown has recorded two sacks to go with two TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions in 12 games.
  • Jaylon Scott has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering one sack to go with two TFL and 65 tackles for the Wolfpack.
  • On defense, Devan Boykin has contributed 49 tackles and three interceptions in 10 games.

Kansas State vs. NC State Predictions and Pick

Kansas State vs. NC State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Kansas State (-3)

  • Pick OU: Over (48.5)

How to Bet on Kansas State vs. NC State

You can bet on Kansas State vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kansas State vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Kansas State, and we expect that Kansas State will cover the spread (Kansas State -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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