Iowa State vs. Memphis AutoZone Liberty Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 29, 2023

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The AutoZone Liberty Bowl will feature a matchup between the Iowa State Cyclones and the Memphis Tigers.

Iowa State vs. Memphis Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Iowa State as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Iowa State has -397 odds to pick up the win, while Memphis is listed at +292 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 58.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Iowa State vs. Memphis Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

Iowa State

Iowa State ranks 84th in total offense (361.7 yards per game) and 40th in total defense (350.6 yards allowed per game) this season. Iowa State is totaling 26.3 points per game offensively this year (73rd in the FBS), and is allowing 21.7 points per game (35th) on defense. Iowa State is compiling 228.3 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 61st in the FBS. The defense ranks 57th, surrendering 217.7 passing yards per game. Offensively, Iowa State ranks 96th in the FBS with 133.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 36th in rushing yards allowed per contest (132.9). Iowa State is putting up a 37.9% third-down conversion rate on offense (75th in the FBS), and ranks 33rd on defense with a 35.0% third-down percentage allowed. Iowa State has the eighth-best turnover margin in college football at +8, forcing 16 turnovers (26th in the FBS) while turning it over eight times (15th in the FBS).


While Memphis’ defense has been sputtering, ranking 18th-worst by allowing 425.5 total yards per game, its offense ranks 16th-best with 453.4 total yards per contest. Memphis’ offense has been thriving, posting 39.7 points per game (sixth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 95th by allowing 29.0 points per game. Memphis ranks 18th-worst in passing yards allowed per game (253.2), but at least it has been getting things done on offense, ranking 14th-best in passing yards per game (301.4). With 152.0 rushing yards per game on offense, Memphis ranks 78th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 104th, allowing 172.3 rushing yards per contest. On third down, Memphis has dominated on both sides of the ball this season, ranking 25th-best in third-down conversion rate (44.9%) and 15th-best in third-down rate surrendered (31.6%). After forcing 17 turnovers (17th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (44th in the FBS) this season, Memphis owns the 27th-ranked turnover margin of +5.

Iowa State vs. Memphis Betting Analysis

Iowa State Betting Insights

Iowa State has covered the spread seven times over 12 games with a set spread. This season, five Iowa State games have gone over the point total. The Cyclones have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (4-2). The Cyclones have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -397 or shorter.

Memphis Betting Insights

Memphis is 4-7-1 against the spread this season. Memphis games have gone over the total 10 times this season. This season, the Tigers have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests. The Tigers have played as an underdog of +292 or more once this season and won that game.

Iowa State vs. Memphis Against The Spread & Betting Records

Iowa State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.2 43.8 44.7
Implied Total AVG 25.5 24.7 26.3
ATS Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 1-5-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 2-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-2 2-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.0 57.8 60.8
Implied Total AVG 36.2 36.0 36.4
ATS Record 4-7-1 1-5-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 10-2-0 6-1-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 3-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-3 0-0

Players to Watch

Iowa State

  • Rocco Becht has led the charge for the Cyclones’ offense this season, posting 2,674 passing yards with 20 passing touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 63.5% completion percentage.
  • Becht has made an impact with his legs, rushing for 67 yards and three TDs in 12 games.
  • In 11 games in 2023, Jaylin Noel has been targeted zero times for 60 receptions, 741 yards and six touchdowns.
  • Jayden Higgins has been a key part of the Cyclones’ passing offense in 2023, registering 44 catches for 769 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Abu Sama III has rushed for 610 yards (8.5 yards per carry) and six touchdowns as part of the Cyclones’ running attack.
  • The Cyclones’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Beau Freyler, who has played 11 games and delivered 89 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and three interceptions.
  • The Cyclones’ defense has been aided by the play of Jeremiah Cooper, who has suited up for 10 games and registered one TFL, 36 tackles, and five interceptions.
  • Caleb Bacon has played 11 games, delivering 41 tackles, five TFL, and three sacks for the Cyclones.
  • T.J. Tampa has been a key contributor to the Cyclones’ defense in 2023, with two interceptions to go with 40 tackles and three passes defended in 11 games.


  • Seth Henigan has passed for 3,516 yards (293.0 per game), completing 66.4% of his passes, with 28 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 12 games.
  • Henigan also has rushed for 247 yards and four TDs.
  • In 12 games, Blake Watson has rushed for 1,045 yards (87.1 per game) and 14 TDs.
  • In the passing game, Watson has scored three touchdowns, with 50 receptions for 463 yards.
  • In 12 games, Roc Taylor has 61 catches for 981 yards (81.8 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • In the passing game, DeMeer Blankumsee has scored six TDs, hauling in 51 balls for 825 yards (68.8 per game).
  • In 12 games for the Tigers, Chandler Martin has totaled two sacks to go with five TFL, 81 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Geoff Cantin-Arku has delivered 69 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception in 12 games for the Tigers.
  • The Tigers’ Simeon Blair has collected two interceptions to go with 57 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended in 12 games.
  • On defense, Cameron Smith has supplied 47 tackles and three interceptions in 11 games.

Iowa State vs. Memphis Predictions and Pick

Iowa State vs. Memphis betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Memphis (+10.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (58.5)

How to Bet on Iowa State vs. Memphis

You can bet on Iowa State vs. Memphis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa State vs. Memphis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Iowa State, and we project that Memphis will cover the spread (Iowa State -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 58.5 points.

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Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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