Georgia vs. TCU National Championship Prediction: Picks & Start Time – January 9, 2023

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The 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship features a matchup between the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (14-0) and the No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs (13-1).

Georgia vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with bookmakers listing Georgia as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Georgia has -511 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +378 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 63 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Georgia vs. TCU Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Inglewood, California
  • Stadium: SoFi Stadium

Betting Preview

Georgia

Georgia has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking seventh-best in total offense (494.9 yards per game) and 11th-best in total defense (304.6 yards allowed per game). Georgia has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank eighth-best in scoring offense (39.4 points per game) and fifth-best in scoring defense (14.8 points allowed per game). Georgia ranks 66th in pass defense this year (224.6 passing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in the FBS with 293.0 passing yards per game. Georgia has been shining on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 23rd-best in rushing offense (201.9 rushing yards per game) and best in rushing defense (80.0 rushing yards allowed per game). Georgia has been firing on all cylinders on third down this season, owning the eighth-best mark in third-down conversion rate (49.7%) and second-best in third-down defense (27.1% third-down conversion rate allowed). Georgia ranks 100th in college football with a -1 turnover margin after forcing 16 turnovers (69th in the FBS) and committing 17 (62nd in the FBS).

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TCU

TCU’s defense ranks 80th in the FBS with 395.3 total yards surrendered per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 13th-best by racking up 474.1 total yards per game. TCU’s defense ranks 64th in the FBS with 26.4 points surrendered per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks fourth-best by compiling 41.1 points per contest. With 269.6 passing yards per game on offense, TCU ranks 29th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 92nd, giving up 243.2 passing yards per contest. TCU’s run offense has been consistently moving the chains, piling up 204.5 rushing yards per game (20th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 72nd by surrendering 152.1 rushing yards per game. From an offensive perspective, TCU is generating a 41.1% third-down conversion rate (45th-ranked). It ranks 32nd in the FBS on the other side of the ball (34.5% third-down rate allowed). TCU has produced 21 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 12 times, resulting in a +9 turnover margin, which ranks 14th-best in the FBS.

Georgia vs. TCU Betting Analysis

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Georgia Betting Insights

Georgia has put together a record of 7-7-0 against the spread this season. In games it is played as 13.5-point favorites or more, Georgia has an ATS record of 6-6. Georgia games have gone over the total six times this season. The Bulldogs have yet to lose as the moneyline favorite this season, going 11-0. The Bulldogs have won all nine games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -511 or shorter.

Horned Frogs Betting Insights

TCU is 10-3-1 against the spread this season. TCU games have gone over the total eight times this year. The Horned Frogs have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won three of those games. The Horned Frogs have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +378 odds on them winning this game.

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Georgia vs. TCU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Georgia

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.6 57.2 52.9
Implied Total AVG 40.9 42.8 37.6
ATS Record 7-7-0 4-5-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-8-0 5-4-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-0 6-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Horned Frogs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 63.3 62.2 64.3
Implied Total AVG 36.1 36.4 35.9
ATS Record 10-3-1 5-2-0 5-1-1
Over/Under Record 8-6-0 5-2-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 5-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 1-1 2-0

Players to Watch

Georgia

  • Christopher Smith has played 13 games, amassing one sack to go with four TFL, 55 tackles, and three interceptions for the Bulldogs.
  • Malaki Starks has hit the gridiron for 13 games, registering two interceptions to go along with 65 tackles and seven passes defended for the Bulldogs.
  • The Bulldogs’ defensive unit has been helped by Jamon Dumas-Johnson, who has suited up for 13 games and recorded 60 tackles, seven TFL, four sacks, and three passes defended.
  • With one sack to go along with four TFL, 66 tackles, and one interception, Smael Mondon Jr. has helped carry the Bulldogs’ defense over 11 games.

Horned Frogs

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Horned Frogs’ Dee Winters has compiled 72 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 14 games.
  • The Horned Frogs’ Jamoi Hodge has delivered four sacks to go with six TFL, 75 tackles, and one interception in 14 games.
  • The Horned Frogs’ Mark Perry has registered 78 tackles, five TFL, and two passes defended in 14 games.
  • Johnny Hodges has collected one sack to go with five TFL and 81 tackles in 13 games for the Horned Frogs.

Georgia vs. TCU Predictions and Pick

Georgia vs. TCU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (+13.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (63)

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How to Bet on Georgia vs. TCU

You can bet on Georgia vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Georgia vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Georgia, and we predict that TCU will cover the spread (Georgia -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 63 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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