Georgia vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (9-0) have an SEC matchup versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-3).

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 16.5 points, with bookmakers listing Georgia as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Georgia has -867 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi State is listed at +560 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Georgia vs. Mississippi State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Betting Preview

Georgia

Georgia has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (third-best with 514.2 yards per game) and total defense (fifth-best with 265.6 yards allowed per game) this season. Georgia has been firing on all cylinders this year, as they rank 11th-best in scoring offense (40.1 points per game) and second-best in scoring defense (10.8 points allowed per game). Georgia has been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the passing game, with a top-25 ranking in both passing offense (10th-best with 320.2 passing yards per game) and passing defense (14th-best with 179.1 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Georgia ranks 30th in rushing yards this year (194.0 rushing yards per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with 86.4 rushing yards allowed per game. Georgia has been a handful for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (sixth-best with a 52.8% third-down conversion rate) and third-down defense (fourth-best with a 27.2% third-down percentage allowed) this year. With 11 forced turnovers (88th in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (25th in the FBS), Georgia (+1) owns the 61st-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Mississippi State

In terms of total offense, Mississippi State ranks 61st in the FBS (406.2 total yards per game) and 45th on defense (360.7 total yards allowed per game). Mississippi State ranks 39th in the FBS with 32.6 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 48th with 24.0 points allowed per game on defense. Mississippi State’s pass offense has been dominant, compiling 324.3 passing yards per contest (ninth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 38th by allowing 210.2 passing yards per game. Mississippi State’s running game has been sputtering, ranking third-worst in the FBS with 81.9 rushing yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, giving up 150.4 rushing yards per contest (74th-ranked). From an offensive angle, Mississippi State is posting a 38.2% third-down conversion rate (79th-ranked). It ranks 41st in the FBS on the other side of the ball (35.9% third-down rate allowed). Mississippi State has recorded 15 forced turnovers (39th in the FBS) and committed 13 turnovers (61st in the FBS) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 50th in the FBS.

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Betting Analysis

Georgia Betting Insights

Georgia has covered the spread four times over eight games with a set spread. Georgia has an ATS record of 3-4 when playing as at least 16.5-point favorites. Games involving the Georgia have hit the over twice this season. The Georgia Bulldogs have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of six times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Georgia Bulldogs have played five times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -867 or shorter, and won in each game.

Bulldogs Betting Insights

Mississippi State have put together a 4-4-1 record against the spread this year. Mississippi State is winless against the spread when it has played as 16.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). This season, five Mississippi State games have gone over the point total. The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have played as an underdog of +560 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Georgia vs. Mississippi State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Georgia

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.7 58.6 55.0
Implied Total AVG 44.8 45.7 42.0
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-3-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-6-0 2-4-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-0 4-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Bulldogs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.8 52.3 55.8
Implied Total AVG 33.3 33.8 32.8
ATS Record 4-4-1 3-1-1 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 5-0-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 5-0 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Georgia

  • With 3.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 28 tackles in nine games, Jamon Dumas-Johnson has been a significant part of the Georgia Bulldogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Georgia Bulldogs’ defense has been aided by Christopher Smith, who has suited up for nine games and amassed 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • As part of the Georgia Bulldogs’ defense, Malaki Starks has posted two interceptions to go along with 30 tackles and two passes defended in nine games.
  • With 2.0 sacks to go along with 4.0 TFL and 21 tackles, Javon Bullard has helped propel the Georgia Bulldogs’ defense over nine games.

Bulldogs

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ Nathaniel Watson has amassed 66 tackles, 4.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in nine games.
  • On defense, Tyrus Wheat has helped lead the charge with 32 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and five sacks in nine games.
  • Jett Johnson has 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL and 49 tackles in nine games.
  • With 32 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in nine games, Collin Duncan has been making a big difference on defense for the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Predictions and Pick

Georgia vs. Mississippi State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Georgia Bulldogs (-16.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (52.5)

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How to Bet on Georgia vs. Mississippi State

You can bet on Georgia vs. Mississippi State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Georgia vs. Mississippi State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Georgia, and we predict that Georgia will cover the spread (Georgia -16.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 52.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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