Fresno State vs. Hawaii Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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MWC rivals will clash when the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-4) meet the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-7).

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 27 points, with sportsbooks listing Fresno State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -8500 odds to pick up the win, while Hawaii is listed at +1600 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 62.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Fresno State vs. Hawaii Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 2
  • Location: Fresno, California
  • Stadium: Bulldog Stadium at Jim Sweeney Field

Betting Preview

Fresno State

Fresno State ranks 72nd in total offense (389.6 yards per game) and 53rd in total defense (363.1 yards allowed per game) this year. On offense, Fresno State ranks 86th in the FBS with 26.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 53rd in points allowed (363.1 points allowed per contest). Fresno State is totaling 266.8 passing yards per game on offense (42nd in the FBS), and ranks 33rd on the other side of the ball with 200.9 passing yards allowed per game. Fresno State is compiling 122.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 104th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 91st, allowing 162.3 rushing yards per contest. Fresno State is averaging a 44.4% third-down conversion rate on offense this year (38th in the FBS), and is giving up a 38.0% third-down conversion rate (66th) on the defensive side of the ball. Fresno State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -4, forcing nine turnovers (96th in the FBS) while turning it over 13 times (78th in the FBS).

Hawaii

Hawaii has lots of room to get better, as it ranks 17th-worst in total yards per game (323.4) and 20th-worst in total yards surrendered per game (436.0). Hawaii has plenty of room to improve, as it ranks 11th-worst in points per game (18.3) this season and 12th-worst in points allowed per game (33.7). Hawaii’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling 192.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 39th with 206.9 passing yards surrendered per contest. Hawaii has been struggling to stop the run, ranking fourth-worst with 229.1 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 131.2 rushing yards per contest (93rd-ranked). Hawaii’s third-down offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up a 33.8% third-down percentage, which ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 60th with a 37.5% third-down rate ceded. Hawaii has registered 10 forced turnovers (88th in the FBS) and committed 13 turnovers (78th in the FBS) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Betting Analysis

Fresno State Betting Insights

Fresno State has covered the spread two times this season (2-6-0). Fresno State is winless against the spread when it has played as 27-point or greater favorites (0-1). This season, four Fresno State games have gone over the point total. The Bulldogs have gone 2-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games). The Bulldogs have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -8500 or shorter.

Rainbow Warriors Betting Insights

Hawaii has covered the spread six times in nine games with a set total. Hawaii has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 27-point underdogs. Hawaii games have gone over the total twice this year. The Rainbow Warriors have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won once. The Rainbow Warriors have played as an underdog of +1600 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Fresno State vs. Hawaii Against The Spread & Betting Records

Fresno State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.6 53.1 52.1
Implied Total AVG 33.8 34.5 33.0
ATS Record 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Rainbow Warriors

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.2 58.1 53.8
Implied Total AVG 36.0 34.4 38.0
ATS Record 6-3-0 3-2-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-7-0 1-4-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-6 1-3 0-3

Players to Watch

Fresno State

  • David Perales has hit the gridiron for eight games, delivering 7.5 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 21 tackles for the Bulldogs.
  • With one interception to go with 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in eight games, Bralyn Lux has been a big contributor to the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022.
  • The Bulldogs’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Levelle Bailey, who has suited up for eight games and recorded 32 tackles and 3.0 TFL.
  • Malachi Langley, as part of the Bulldogs’ defense, has recorded 1.0 TFL, 28 tackles, and one interception in eight games.

Rainbow Warriors

  • Peter Manuma has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting two interceptions to go with 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended for the Rainbow Warriors.
  • On defense, Penei Pavihi has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 39 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in nine games.
  • The Rainbow Warriors’ Malik Hausman has posted three interceptions to go with 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and six passes defended in nine games.
  • Virdel Edwards II has registered 25 tackles and two interceptions in nine games for the Rainbow Warriors.

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Predictions and Pick

Fresno State vs. Hawaii betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rainbow Warriors (+27)

    Pick OU:

    Under (62.5)

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How to Bet on Fresno State vs. Hawaii

You can bet on Fresno State vs. Hawaii at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Fresno State vs. Hawaii picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Fresno State, and we project that Hawaii will cover the spread (Fresno State -27). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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