Florida State vs. Louisville Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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The No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (12-0) square off against the No. 15 Louisville Cardinals (10-2) at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Florida State vs. Louisville Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing Florida State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Florida State has -112 odds to pick up the win, while Louisville is listed at -109 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 46.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Florida State vs. Louisville Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Bank of America Stadium

Betting Preview

Florida State

Florida State owns the 30th-ranked offense this season (433.1 yards per game), and has been even better on defense, ranking 18th-best with only 315.8 yards allowed per game. Florida State has been shining on both sides of the ball, ranking 10th-best in scoring offense (38.8 points per game) and 10th-best in scoring defense (16.8 points allowed per game). On defense, Florida State has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 10th-best by giving up only 175.4 passing yards per game. The Seminoles rank 28th on offense (275.6 passing yards per game). Offensively, Florida State ranks 69th in the FBS with 157.5 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 47th in rushing yards allowed per contest (140.3). Florida State ranks 63rd in third-down conversion rate this year (40.0%), but has been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with a 28.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. Florida State has forced 11 total turnovers (83rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over four times (second in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +7, the 14th-best in college football.

Louisville

Louisville has excelled on both sides of the ball this season, ranking 25th-best in total offense (440.3 total yards per game) and 19th-best in total defense (316.8 total yards allowed per game). Louisville ranks 32nd in the FBS with 33.0 points per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 24th-best by giving up only 20.0 points per game. Louisville is accumulating 255.1 passing yards per contest on offense this season (48th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 217.9 passing yards per contest (56th-ranked) on defense. Louisville’s run defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with 98.8 rushing yards allowed per game. In terms of offense, it is generating 185.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 32nd. Louisville’s third-down defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with a 29.5% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is generating a 38.4% third-down rate, which ranks 71st. Louisville has a +4 turnover margin this season, which ranks 33rd in the FBS.

Florida State vs. Louisville Betting Analysis

Florida State Betting Insights

Florida State has covered the spread seven times this season (7-5-0). In games they were favored in by 1 point or more so far this season, the Florida State has gone 6-5 against the spread. Games involving Florida State have hit the over seven times this season. The Seminoles have won all 10 of the games they have been favored on the moneyline this season. The Seminoles have played in 10 games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -112 or shorter and won each time.

Louisville Betting Insights

Louisville has covered the spread six times this year (6-6-0). Louisville has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 1-point underdogs. Games involving Louisville have hit the over on seven occasions this year. The Cardinals have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Cardinals have been at least a -109 moneyline underdog two times this season and won each of those games.

Florida State vs. Louisville Against The Spread & Betting Records

Florida State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.1 53.4 50.2
Implied Total AVG 35.5 37.6 32.6
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 5-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Louisville

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.2 50.8 49.1
Implied Total AVG 30.8 32.9 26.8
ATS Record 6-6-0 5-3-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 4-4-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-2 5-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 1-0 1-0

Players to Watch

Florida State

  • Jordan Travis has helped drive the Seminoles’ offense this season, registering 2,745 passing yards with 20 passing touchdowns, two interceptions and a 64.2% completion percentage.
  • Travis has been providing value with his legs, as he’s rushed for 176 yards (2.4 YPC) and seven rushing touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Trey Benson has run for 868 rushing yards (6.2 yards per carry) and 14 touchdowns in 12 games for the Seminoles.
  • Benson has 18 receptions (1.5 per game) for 212 yards (17.7 per game) and one touchdown in 12 games for the Seminoles.
  • As part of the Seminoles’ offense, Keon Coleman has reeled in 46 balls on zero targets for 639 yards and 11 touchdowns.
  • In 12 games for the Seminoles, Lawrance Toafili has piled up 345 rushing yards (5.8 yards per carry) and three touchdowns.
  • The receiving skills of Toafili have led to 21 catches (on zero targets) for 175 yards and one touchdown.
  • As part of the Seminoles’ defense, Kalen Deloach has posted 60 tackles, four TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • The Seminoles’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Renardo Green, who has played 12 games and registered one TFL, 42 tackles, and one interception.
  • As part of the Seminoles’ defensive unit, Tatum Bethune has registered 51 tackles and one TFL in 12 games.
  • Jarrian Jones, as part of the Seminoles’ defense, has registered one sack to go with one TFL, 18 tackles, and three interceptions in 10 games.

Louisville

  • In 12 games, Jawhar Jordan has run for 1,076 yards (89.7 per game) and 13 touchdowns.
  • Jordan also has 18 receptions for 225 yards and one TD.
  • In 12 games, Jack Plummer has thrown for 2,952 yards (246.0 per game), with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and a completion percentage of 66.2%.
  • In addition, Plummer has rushed for 74 yards and one TD.
  • Isaac Guerendo has run for 639 yards (53.3 per game) and eight touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Guerendo also has 17 catches for 192 yards and zero TDs.
  • In the passing game, Jamari Thrash has scored six TDs, catching 56 balls for 801 yards (72.8 per game).
  • On defense, Devin Neal has helped set the tone with four interceptions to go with 53 tackles, two TFL, and four passes defended in 11 games.
  • Ashton Gillotte has been providing a big boost on defense, registering 35 tackles, four TFL, and nine sacks for the Cardinals.
  • The Cardinals’ TJ Quinn has delivered one interception to go with 60 tackles and two passes defended in 10 games.
  • With two interceptions to go with 43 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended in 11 games, Cam’Ron Kelly has been providing a big boost on defense for the Cardinals.

Florida State vs. Louisville Predictions and Pick

Florida State vs. Louisville betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Florida State (-1)

  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)

How to Bet on Florida State vs. Louisville

You can bet on Florida State vs. Louisville at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida State vs. Louisville picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Florida State, and we expect that Florida State will cover the spread (Florida State -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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