BYU vs. Liberty Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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FBS Independent opponents will clash when the BYU Cougars (4-3) meet the Liberty Flames (6-1).

BYU vs. Liberty Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing BYU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, BYU has -274 odds to pick up the win, while Liberty is listed at +217 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 58 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch BYU vs. Liberty Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Stadium: Williams Stadium

Betting Preview

BYU

From an offensive standpoint, BYU ranks 54th in the FBS with 425.1 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 94th in total defense (404.4 yards allowed per contest). From an offensive standpoint, BYU ranks 52nd in the FBS with 32.4 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 99th in points allowed (404.4 points allowed per contest). BYU ranks 33rd in pass offense (277.4 passing yards per game) and 51st in pass defense (215.3 passing yards allowed per game) this year. Despite having a bottom-25 run defense that ranks 19th-worst in the FBS (189.1 rushing yards allowed per game), BYU has played better on offense, ranking 71st in the FBS by putting up 147.7 rushing yards per game. Despite sporting a bottom-25 defense on third down that ranks eighth-worst in the FBS (47.5% third-down percentage), BYU has played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 48th in the FBS by posting a 43.8% third-down percentage. BYU has the 43rd-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing seven turnovers (98th in the FBS) while turning it over five times (11th in the FBS).

Liberty

Liberty is accumulating 403.6 total yards per contest on offense this season (65th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 341.4 total yards per game (32nd-ranked). Liberty is generating 29.7 points per game on offense this season (65th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 22.6 points per contest (42nd-ranked) on defense. Liberty ranks 83rd in the FBS with 223.1 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 40th with 210.1 passing yards given up per contest on defense. Liberty is compiling 180.4 rushing yards per game on offense this season (43rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 131.3 rushing yards per contest (49th-ranked) on defense. Liberty ranks 18th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (32.3%), but at least it has been shutting down opposing offenses on the other side of the ball, ranking 17th-best in third-down rate surrendered (30.5%). At +2, Liberty owns the 43rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 18 forced turnovers (first in the FBS) and 16 turnovers committed (125th in the FBS).

BYU vs. Liberty Betting Analysis

BYU Betting Insights

BYU has covered the spread two times this season (2-4-0). BYU has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 7-point favorites. Games involving BYU have hit the over five times this season. The Cougars have won four of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season (80%). The Cougars have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -274 or shorter.

Flames Betting Insights

Liberty has covered the spread three times in seven games with a set total. Liberty has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. This year, Liberty games have hit the over four times. The Flames have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Flames have played as an underdog of +217 or more once this season and lost that game.

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BYU vs. Liberty Against The Spread & Betting Records

BYU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.8 57.6 58.3
Implied Total AVG 34.5 35.3 33.0
ATS Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-1-0 3-1-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Flames

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.4 53.0 52.0
Implied Total AVG 33.7 36.0 32.0
ATS Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 0-3-0 4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Players to Watch

BYU

  • The Cougars’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Max Tooley, who has played seven games and posted 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions.
  • Ben Bywater has played seven games, totaling two interceptions to go along with 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Cougars.
  • John Nelson has hit the gridiron for seven games, registering 13 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Cougars.
  • The Cougars’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Talan Alfrey, who has played seven games, registering 22 tackles.

Flames

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Flames’ Durrell Johnson has compiled 16 tackles, 7.0 TFL, five sacks, and one interception in seven games.
  • Ahmad Walker has been providing a big boost on defense, recording 26 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Flames.
  • Dennis Osagiede has compiled 6.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 13 tackles in seven games for the Flames.
  • Robert Rahimi has collected 20 tackles and four interceptions in seven games for the Flames.

BYU vs. Liberty Predictions and Pick

BYU vs. Liberty betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Flames (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (58)

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How to Bet on BYU vs. Liberty

You can bet on BYU vs. Liberty at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s BYU vs. Liberty picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Liberty, and we project that Liberty will cover the spread (BYU -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 58 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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