Boise State vs. UNLV Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2023

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MWC foes will clash when the Boise State Broncos (7-5) face the UNLV Rebels (9-3).

Boise State vs. UNLV Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -134 odds to pick up the win, while UNLV is listed at +109 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 61.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. UNLV Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

Boise State is totaling 438.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks 27th in the FBS. On defense, the Broncos rank 67th, surrendering 382.1 yards per game. Boise State is averaging 32.0 points per game on offense, which ranks them 37th in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 60th, giving up 25.3 points per game. With 254.8 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS, Boise State has been forced to lean on their 60th-ranked passing offense (229.6 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. Boise State has the 32nd-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (127.3 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best with 208.7 rushing yards per game. Boise State owns the 59th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (37.9% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 19th-best with a 46.2% third-down conversion rate. With 13 forced turnovers (57th in the FBS) against 13 turnovers committed (72nd in the FBS), Boise State (0) has the 65th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

UNLV

In terms of total offense, UNLV ranks 39th in the FBS (426.0 total yards per game) and 85th defensively (392.3 total yards allowed per game). UNLV’s offense has been excelling, accumulating 35.5 points per game (19th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 63rd by allowing 25.6 points per game. From an offensive angle, UNLV is posting 236.6 passing yards per game (55th-ranked). It ranks 90th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (239.8 passing yards surrendered per game). UNLV’s run defense ranks 69th in the FBS with 152.6 rushing yards given up per contest, but it has been led by its offense, which ranks 22nd-best by generating 189.4 rushing yards per contest. UNLV’s third-down offense has been excelling, producing a 50.8% third-down conversion rate (third-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 28th by giving up a 34.6% third-down rate. UNLV has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 10th-best at +8.

Boise State vs. UNLV Betting Analysis

Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State has put together a 5-5-1 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 2 points or more, Boise State has gone 4-3 against the spread. Boise State games have gone over the total seven times this season. The Broncos have been the moneyline favorite seven total times this season. They’ve gone 6-1 in those games. The Broncos have a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of their games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -134 or shorter.

UNLV Betting Insights

UNLV has covered the spread 10 times this year (10-2-0). UNLV is 4-0 ATS when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. UNLV’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this year. The Rebels have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won three of those games. The Rebels have a record of in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +109 on the moneyline.

Boise State vs. UNLV Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.4 53.7 56.8
Implied Total AVG 31.8 32.0 31.7
ATS Record 5-5-1 4-1-0 1-4-1
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 2-3-0 5-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 4-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

UNLV

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.7 58.0 53.4
Implied Total AVG 32.8 32.8 32.8
ATS Record 10-2-0 4-2-0 6-0-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 4-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 1-0 2-1

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • Ashton Jeanty has been leading the way on the ground, rushing for 1,113 yards and 13 touchdowns in 10 games.
  • Jeanty has been a factor in the passing game, grabbing 37 balls on zero targets for 537 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Taylen Green has hit the gridiron for 12 games in 2023, and he’s tallied 1,526 passing yards, nine touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 55.3% completion percentage.
  • When he’s not airing it out, Green has run for 344 yards (28.7 yards per game) and seven touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Eric McAlister has been an integral piece of the Broncos’ passing attack in 2023, registering 47 receptions for 873 yards and five touchdowns.
  • To go along with 1,191 passing yards (132.3 yards per game) in nine games, Maddux Madsen has thrown for nine touchdowns, three interceptions, and a completion percentage of 61.4%.
  • Madsen has rushed for 120 yards (13.3 yards per game) and two touchdowns in nine games.
  • Ahmed Hassanein has helped spur the Broncos’ defense with 47 tackles, four TFL, and 11 sacks in 12 games.
  • With one interception to go with 57 tackles, one TFL, five sacks, and one pass defended in 12 games, Andrew Simpson has been a significant part of the Broncos’ defense in 2023.
  • Seyi Oladipo has played 11 games, recording 54 tackles, three TFL, and one interception for the Broncos.
  • Alexander Teubner has been a key piece of the Broncos’ defensive unit in 2023, with one interception to go with 59 tackles and one pass defended in 10 games.

UNLV

  • In 12 games, Jayden Maiava has passed for 2,626 yards (218.8 per game), with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions, and a completion percentage of 64.1%.
  • On the ground, Maiava has scored three touchdowns and accumulated 244 yards.
  • In 12 games, Ricky White has 76 receptions for 1,298 yards (108.2 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • In 12 games, Jai’Den Thomas has run for 501 yards (41.8 per game) and 12 TDs.
  • Vincent Davis has run for 667 yards (55.6 per game) and five touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Davis also has nine receptions for 86 yards and one TD.
  • Jackson Woodard has registered one interception to go with 95 tackles, one sack, and one pass defended in 12 games for the Rebels.
  • Cameron Oliver has recorded 44 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and three interceptions in 12 games for the Rebels.
  • The Rebels’ Marsel McDuffie has registered 64 tackles, two TFL, and one sack in 10 games.
  • On defense, Jaxen Turner has chipped in with 49 tackles and four interceptions in 12 games.

Boise State vs. UNLV Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. UNLV betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    UNLV (+2)

  • Pick OU: Under (61.5)

How to Bet on Boise State vs. UNLV

You can bet on Boise State vs. UNLV at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. UNLV picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is UNLV, and we project that UNLV will cover the spread (Boise State -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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